Whitecap Resources

WCP-T

Analysis and Opinions about WCP-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 30, 2019
Is the dividend safe? The dividend is safe, unless oil prices plunge and stay below $50. All oil stocks are beaten down. He doesn't like their asset base or well-abandonment liability (wells they leave behind) that may or may not hurt them decades in the future depending on the government. That said, companies like WCP use their wells for a long time and re-purpose them. You could wait it out and collect the 5.9% dividend though.
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Is the dividend safe? The dividend is safe, unless oil prices plunge and stay below $50. All oil stocks are beaten down. He doesn't like their asset base or well-abandonment liability (wells they leave behind) that may or may not hurt them decades in the future depending on the government. That said, companies like WCP use their wells for a long time and re-purpose them. You could wait it out and collect the 5.9% dividend though.
BUY
BUY
April 18, 2019
About a 5.6% dividend yield, and they want to follow the dividend model. 84% oil. Sees them having growth in production this year. Really likes it. Target of $8 in 12 months. Prefers Whitecap to Crescent Point.
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About a 5.6% dividend yield, and they want to follow the dividend model. 84% oil. Sees them having growth in production this year. Really likes it. Target of $8 in 12 months. Prefers Whitecap to Crescent Point.
BUY
BUY
April 16, 2019
Likes it. This and CPG-T are his entry points into the oil sector. He has $8 target and it pays a 6.9% yield. This is a great opportunity at a fine valuation. You can start enter oil using this, but be cautious that we need to see massive rises in international oil for Canadian oil companies to benefit.
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Likes it. This and CPG-T are his entry points into the oil sector. He has $8 target and it pays a 6.9% yield. This is a great opportunity at a fine valuation. You can start enter oil using this, but be cautious that we need to see massive rises in international oil for Canadian oil companies to benefit.
WAIT
WAIT
April 11, 2019
A mid-sized, growth oil producer. Last year, like so many, suffered from the WCS differential. But Alberta's oil production limits and increase in shipping by rail, WCP has benefitted. It's not cheap historically and a good operator. If you think he differentials will stay narrow, this is a quality way to play it. He doesn't think the differential will remain this narrow, though. So, he's waiting it to see more clarity in Canadian pipelines.
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A mid-sized, growth oil producer. Last year, like so many, suffered from the WCS differential. But Alberta's oil production limits and increase in shipping by rail, WCP has benefitted. It's not cheap historically and a good operator. If you think he differentials will stay narrow, this is a quality way to play it. He doesn't think the differential will remain this narrow, though. So, he's waiting it to see more clarity in Canadian pipelines.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
March 28, 2019
He has an $8 target on it. The dividend is a monthly 6.8% dividend yield that is attractive. They have 85% oil and 15% natural gas. The dividend payout is pretty low. They may raise the dividend again. The balance sheet is in good shape with 32% debt. If it backs off it is a tremendous buy.
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He has an $8 target on it. The dividend is a monthly 6.8% dividend yield that is attractive. They have 85% oil and 15% natural gas. The dividend payout is pretty low. They may raise the dividend again. The balance sheet is in good shape with 32% debt. If it backs off it is a tremendous buy.
BUY
BUY
March 8, 2019
This is in the small mid cap space. They are geographically diverse and this is a concern. At $60 oil, the dividend is absolutely safe. They are trading at 87% of the wells that are on stream today. So everything else you are getting for free. Very undervalued.
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This is in the small mid cap space. They are geographically diverse and this is a concern. At $60 oil, the dividend is absolutely safe. They are trading at 87% of the wells that are on stream today. So everything else you are getting for free. Very undervalued.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 1, 2019
WCP-T is a good mid-cap energy company, but he is not excited about the space right now. He is not looking to add in this environment, but when he returns WCP-T would be a great company. His largest holding is VET-T.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
February 1, 2019
WCP-T is a good mid-cap energy company, but he is not excited about the space right now. He is not looking to add in this environment, but when he returns WCP-T would be a great company. His largest holding is VET-T.
WATCH
WATCH
January 31, 2019
He likes it. It is not a large cap. Money flows have primarily been in the large caps for energy. We are just starting to see money flow into the mid-caps. This one has a nice dividend and has been punished. It could still stay lower for longer. Higher commodity prices and getting pipelines built will all help. He likes the fact that it is light oil and has a dividend.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
January 31, 2019
He likes it. It is not a large cap. Money flows have primarily been in the large caps for energy. We are just starting to see money flow into the mid-caps. This one has a nice dividend and has been punished. It could still stay lower for longer. Higher commodity prices and getting pipelines built will all help. He likes the fact that it is light oil and has a dividend.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 25, 2019
This used to be a darling, but when WTI goes up these light oil producers just don't move. The street got concerned about their level of M&A and started to compared to PenWest. Netbacks are similar to their peers. Not a lot of reasons to own this -- especially compared to US Permian companies.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
January 25, 2019
This used to be a darling, but when WTI goes up these light oil producers just don't move. The street got concerned about their level of M&A and started to compared to PenWest. Netbacks are similar to their peers. Not a lot of reasons to own this -- especially compared to US Permian companies.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 15, 2019
Yield of 7% which is not entirely safe. He's nervous about all Canadian oil dividends given CPG's cut today. WCP's management has been murky with its policies, so he's stayed away. To play an oil recovery, go to the majors instead like CNQ and Suncor with safer dividends. There could be a spike in oil companies if oil returns to $70. But there's better growth in the U.S. The Canadian oil space will continue to struggle. He prefers others like Vermillion that he owns.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
January 15, 2019
Yield of 7% which is not entirely safe. He's nervous about all Canadian oil dividends given CPG's cut today. WCP's management has been murky with its policies, so he's stayed away. To play an oil recovery, go to the majors instead like CNQ and Suncor with safer dividends. There could be a spike in oil companies if oil returns to $70. But there's better growth in the U.S. The Canadian oil space will continue to struggle. He prefers others like Vermillion that he owns.
WATCH
WATCH
January 3, 2019
It is one of those fallen darlings of the energy patch. It has a pretty good dividend yield. The management team is very good. They lay out objectives and generally meet them. It may not go up for the next little while but he does not think energy will disappear.
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It is one of those fallen darlings of the energy patch. It has a pretty good dividend yield. The management team is very good. They lay out objectives and generally meet them. It may not go up for the next little while but he does not think energy will disappear.
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 28, 2018
All energy stocks totally bombed out. If the 4-year cycle reset takes hold, the stock has bottomed and begun to retrace. This stock is not his preference, but if you're going to buy, this is the time to buy.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
December 28, 2018
All energy stocks totally bombed out. If the 4-year cycle reset takes hold, the stock has bottomed and begun to retrace. This stock is not his preference, but if you're going to buy, this is the time to buy.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 17, 2018
The dividend is safe. They have a strong balance sheet. They are still making lots of cash flow. The payout ratio is pretty low. (Analysts’ price target is $10.79)
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
December 17, 2018
The dividend is safe. They have a strong balance sheet. They are still making lots of cash flow. The payout ratio is pretty low. (Analysts’ price target is $10.79)
HOLD
HOLD
December 14, 2018
Is the dividend safe? The dividend will depend on the oil price. He assumes $60 WTI and $20 heavy differentials and $10 light oil differential. WCP-T would have a 95% payout ratio based on these assumptions. It would trade at 4 times cash flow.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
December 14, 2018
Is the dividend safe? The dividend will depend on the oil price. He assumes $60 WTI and $20 heavy differentials and $10 light oil differential. WCP-T would have a 95% payout ratio based on these assumptions. It would trade at 4 times cash flow.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
November 22, 2018
He owns a lot less of all oil companies than a couple of years ago. It is a tough business because you can't support your revenue line. They are good stewards of capital. Under the right circumstances, this would be a stock to buy. You have to be patient with it. The discount in crude will narrow back to its long term average. He does not see Line 5 in Michigan being shut down, as the democrat rep there has promised.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
November 22, 2018
He owns a lot less of all oil companies than a couple of years ago. It is a tough business because you can't support your revenue line. They are good stewards of capital. Under the right circumstances, this would be a stock to buy. You have to be patient with it. The discount in crude will narrow back to its long term average. He does not see Line 5 in Michigan being shut down, as the democrat rep there has promised.
WAIT
WAIT
November 16, 2018
They are more exposed to Canadian light differential. It is a good name but he struggles with what is the buy thesis. He thinks there are better opportunities.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
November 16, 2018
They are more exposed to Canadian light differential. It is a good name but he struggles with what is the buy thesis. He thinks there are better opportunities.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
November 14, 2018
(A Top Pick Feb 02/18, Down 34%) This is a light oil company. She is still buying at these levels. She thinks dividend is safe. She thinks it will improve when light oil differentials improve over the next few quarters.
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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
November 14, 2018
(A Top Pick Feb 02/18, Down 34%) This is a light oil company. She is still buying at these levels. She thinks dividend is safe. She thinks it will improve when light oil differentials improve over the next few quarters.
HOLD
HOLD
October 2, 2018

One of the top Canadian oil producers. It's a victim of a whole sector that investors haven't been interested in. There's potential for a rebound trade in this entire group, and if so, then WCP is definitely one to hold. Wait and see in the next six months and hopefully you will get a pop. Otherwise look at Cardinal Energy.

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One of the top Canadian oil producers. It's a victim of a whole sector that investors haven't been interested in. There's potential for a rebound trade in this entire group, and if so, then WCP is definitely one to hold. Wait and see in the next six months and hopefully you will get a pop. Otherwise look at Cardinal Energy.

BUY
BUY
September 28, 2018

This is a name that is well held institutionally and in the retail market. There may be some acquisition overhang that will ultimately be beneficial. Management will do small acquisitions, but the big deals are likely done he thinks. This company has an attractive payout ratio (near 80%) and so the dividend should be sustainable. It has been a core holding of theirs for years.

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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
September 28, 2018

This is a name that is well held institutionally and in the retail market. There may be some acquisition overhang that will ultimately be beneficial. Management will do small acquisitions, but the big deals are likely done he thinks. This company has an attractive payout ratio (near 80%) and so the dividend should be sustainable. It has been a core holding of theirs for years.

HOLD
HOLD
August 24, 2018

This is a dividend paying stock and sometimes can hold a stock for the dividend. This stock has good support at $7.50. Would hold it and collect the dividend if prepared to allow it to drop to its support. Upside looks to be around $10.00.

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This is a dividend paying stock and sometimes can hold a stock for the dividend. This stock has good support at $7.50. Would hold it and collect the dividend if prepared to allow it to drop to its support. Upside looks to be around $10.00.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
August 13, 2018

39% debt to equity. They have long life assets. Pay a monthly dividend. This could be an interesting story. Book value is $7.79. Would be a buy at less than $8.00

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39% debt to equity. They have long life assets. Pay a monthly dividend. This could be an interesting story. Book value is $7.79. Would be a buy at less than $8.00

BUY
BUY
July 20, 2018

Is a lower risk way to gain access to Canadian light oil. He thinks Canada is now the place to be. Predominantly light oil producer. Stock has been lagging. Sees them having about 80% upside at $80 oil. Safe balance sheet. Current valuation is so low.

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Is a lower risk way to gain access to Canadian light oil. He thinks Canada is now the place to be. Predominantly light oil producer. Stock has been lagging. Sees them having about 80% upside at $80 oil. Safe balance sheet. Current valuation is so low.

COMMENT
COMMENT
July 16, 2018

One of the better-managed oil companies. Their properties, management and balance sheet are good. It has a lot of potential to come back if prices rise--but this could be a long wait. In energy, you can make money elsewhere such as
Suncor. Ask yourself: how did this stock enhance my portfolio?

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One of the better-managed oil companies. Their properties, management and balance sheet are good. It has a lot of potential to come back if prices rise--but this could be a long wait. In energy, you can make money elsewhere such as
Suncor. Ask yourself: how did this stock enhance my portfolio?

COMMENT
COMMENT
June 29, 2018

Whitecap vs. Tourmaline (TOU-T) Decent multiple, plus bunch of growth potential, pretty good rocks. Whitecap is a more interesting name because of oil weighting, so they’d choose that one.

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Whitecap vs. Tourmaline (TOU-T) Decent multiple, plus bunch of growth potential, pretty good rocks. Whitecap is a more interesting name because of oil weighting, so they’d choose that one.

HOLD
HOLD
June 18, 2018

Stay with it. He is working on analysis of it now. He likes the company and the assets. It has some of the best engineering teams for recovery. You are looking at a potential double over the next 4 to 5 years.

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Stay with it. He is working on analysis of it now. He likes the company and the assets. It has some of the best engineering teams for recovery. You are looking at a potential double over the next 4 to 5 years.

BUY
BUY
June 11, 2018

A good bread and butter name to own. There has been a bit of a rally so far this year. The reason energy stocks have gone up in Canada is because US investors are coming into our names because they are seeing few names that don’t have takeaway issues. It is a lower risk name. He sees 4 times forward cash flow, where as it used to be 8. Where we are in oil prices, these names are trading at half their historical multiples, even if you don’t think oil is going up. It's a steady Eddie name. He is looking for more growth and so doesn't own this name.

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A good bread and butter name to own. There has been a bit of a rally so far this year. The reason energy stocks have gone up in Canada is because US investors are coming into our names because they are seeing few names that don’t have takeaway issues. It is a lower risk name. He sees 4 times forward cash flow, where as it used to be 8. Where we are in oil prices, these names are trading at half their historical multiples, even if you don’t think oil is going up. It's a steady Eddie name. He is looking for more growth and so doesn't own this name.

BUY
BUY
April 17, 2018

He bought some on the day of the interview (price $8.65 on interview day). The company sells at 4.4x cash flow and the company offers 8 years of existing cash flow from their current producing fields. He thinks it is financially positioned to make more acquisitions next year.

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He bought some on the day of the interview (price $8.65 on interview day). The company sells at 4.4x cash flow and the company offers 8 years of existing cash flow from their current producing fields. He thinks it is financially positioned to make more acquisitions next year.

COMMENT
COMMENT
April 10, 2018

In terms of technical analysis, a base forms after a stock decline--and this one has. Dropped from a high of $12. Formed a base around $9 for a while last fall. It's forming a new base now with a small upside. A base sees consolidation. WCP has the short-term potential to reach $8.90 when it'll hit resistance. On the downside, $7.40 would be its base and your exit point. Advantage Oil is a better oil stock. WCP is now finding a bottom. A base is 5-10% trading range.

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In terms of technical analysis, a base forms after a stock decline--and this one has. Dropped from a high of $12. Formed a base around $9 for a while last fall. It's forming a new base now with a small upside. A base sees consolidation. WCP has the short-term potential to reach $8.90 when it'll hit resistance. On the downside, $7.40 would be its base and your exit point. Advantage Oil is a better oil stock. WCP is now finding a bottom. A base is 5-10% trading range.

HOLD
HOLD
March 8, 2018

Every single name is at a 52 week or longer low. This is a core holding if you are looking for yield in the energy space. It has a good management team and track record. They take some backlash for M&A activity. He likes it for the long term. You have to put the charts aside.

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Every single name is at a 52 week or longer low. This is a core holding if you are looking for yield in the energy space. It has a good management team and track record. They take some backlash for M&A activity. He likes it for the long term. You have to put the charts aside.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
February 5, 2018

They are light oil. Their corporate decline rate has dropped. They increased their dividend yield with a recent acquisition. A solid light oil company. (Analysts’ target: $13.00).

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Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)
February 5, 2018

They are light oil. Their corporate decline rate has dropped. They increased their dividend yield with a recent acquisition. A solid light oil company. (Analysts’ target: $13.00).

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