CELG-Q
(A Top Pick Oct 22/18, Up 25%) The Bristol acquisition was perfect. CELG boasts strong competitive barriers to their products and their product pipeline will pleasantly surprise the market. He's not worried about the US election and the negative effect on US healthcare; in fact, he loves buying stocks when others fear or hate them.
(A Top Pick Oct 22/18, Up 25%) The Bristol acquisition was perfect. CELG boasts strong competitive barriers to their products and their product pipeline will pleasantly surprise the market. He's not worried about the US election and the negative effect on US healthcare; in fact, he loves buying stocks when others fear or hate them.
He started buying BMY-N ahead of the merger discussions with CELG-Q. If the merger fails, holding the buyer is safer as arbitragers unwind hedges. The combined company would be a good cash flow generator, which would help internal growth and debt pay down.
Heading into the election cycle, pharma will be under pressure. He prefers being into medical devices. He has a hard time being excited about either CELG or BMY, especially if the market is currently jittery. (Analysts’ price target is $100.33)
(no dividend yield, Analysts' price target: not given) A global biotech focussed on cancer. They've stumbled recently, but phase 3 trials have been positive. Their drugs have a diminished chance of going generic, according to data. Attractive value. smart managers and a rich pipeline of drugs coming.
(no dividend yield, Analysts' price target: not given) A global biotech focussed on cancer. They've stumbled recently, but phase 3 trials have been positive. Their drugs have a diminished chance of going generic, according to data. Attractive value. smart managers and a rich pipeline of drugs coming.
They have a good cash float, which will lead to a share buyback, he feels. He sees resistance at $90-$100, which will be tough to battle through. He would suggest taking a loss if you hold this one, because the future capex requirements will be more expensive as interest rates rise. He would prefer IHI-N if you like the healthcare space as he does.
They have a good cash float, which will lead to a share buyback, he feels. He sees resistance at $90-$100, which will be tough to battle through. He would suggest taking a loss if you hold this one, because the future capex requirements will be more expensive as interest rates rise. He would prefer IHI-N if you like the healthcare space as he does.
They were working on some drug trials which didn't work as expected. Acqusitions didnt work out either The balance sheet is weaker than before. Some of their drugs will soon lose their patent.
They were working on some drug trials which didn't work as expected. Acqusitions didnt work out either The balance sheet is weaker than before. Some of their drugs will soon lose their patent.
Stock price has pushed up above the 200-day moving average. Longer term, this is an important space to be in. Good pipeline. Hold onto it at this point. Valuation is cheap. Trading at 9x earnings, expected 20% growth rate.
Stock price has pushed up above the 200-day moving average. Longer term, this is an important space to be in. Good pipeline. Hold onto it at this point. Valuation is cheap. Trading at 9x earnings, expected 20% growth rate.
(A Top Pick September 19, 2017. Down 37%). About 70% of the stocks he buys turn into gains. Celgene was one of the losses. Generally, the goal is to cut losses quickly. However, Celgene’s earnings have been rising, not falling. The difference is that the market has lost confidence in the company and dropped the valuation from a premium level to an extreme discount. The company has had some missteps, failed drug trials, that pare down its long term growth. Looking at Celgene at today’s price, he is keeping it because it offers good value at this price.
(A Top Pick September 19, 2017. Down 37%). About 70% of the stocks he buys turn into gains. Celgene was one of the losses. Generally, the goal is to cut losses quickly. However, Celgene’s earnings have been rising, not falling. The difference is that the market has lost confidence in the company and dropped the valuation from a premium level to an extreme discount. The company has had some missteps, failed drug trials, that pare down its long term growth. Looking at Celgene at today’s price, he is keeping it because it offers good value at this price.
Nice chart. Really nice base in May/June around $79. If it can stay above $83, it’s looking pretty good. Potential to consolidate around $100, as an end of year target. If it drops another $8, start reducing. Take a small position only.
Nice chart. Really nice base in May/June around $79. If it can stay above $83, it’s looking pretty good. Potential to consolidate around $100, as an end of year target. If it drops another $8, start reducing. Take a small position only.
The biotech sector is performing well. He would prefer to own the XBI-N ETF to get a basket and diversify risk.
The biotech sector is performing well. He would prefer to own the XBI-N ETF to get a basket and diversify risk.
It is turning around. It got hammered and is showing some potential. It looks like it is breaking the downtrend. He is keeping a sharp eye on it. He is optimistic.
It is turning around. It got hammered and is showing some potential. It looks like it is breaking the downtrend. He is keeping a sharp eye on it. He is optimistic.
Own widely. They had a number of missteps. They reduced their guidance. Great valuation. Some competitive threads coming in 2021-22. He would be cautious. (Analysts’ price target is $113.68)
Own widely. They had a number of missteps. They reduced their guidance. Great valuation. Some competitive threads coming in 2021-22. He would be cautious. (Analysts’ price target is $113.68)
He has started watching this bio-tech company as their earnings have been improving. The technical chart looks bearish to him now. He will watch them. (Analysts’ price target is $114)
He has started watching this bio-tech company as their earnings have been improving. The technical chart looks bearish to him now. He will watch them. (Analysts’ price target is $114)
This sector is fragmented and under valued. He likes it but has some short term issues that have hurt the stock. This is a negative momentum stock. Expects this to be higher in a year or 2. His favourite is Gilead in the sector.
This sector is fragmented and under valued. He likes it but has some short term issues that have hurt the stock. This is a negative momentum stock. Expects this to be higher in a year or 2. His favourite is Gilead in the sector.
He's long owned this. They has a nasty surprise in 2017 when a drug failed to get approval, plus other issues. Currently it's selling at 9x earnings. Firmly believe their new products--with big upside--will carry this company higher. (Analysts' price target: $111.83)
He's long owned this. They has a nasty surprise in 2017 when a drug failed to get approval, plus other issues. Currently it's selling at 9x earnings. Firmly believe their new products--with big upside--will carry this company higher. (Analysts' price target: $111.83)
(A Top Pick May 28/17, Down 32%) It is considered best of class but stumbled and there is a negative sentiment to health care stocks. It is growing double digits but trading at a single digit multiple so he is just holding it for now.
(A Top Pick May 28/17, Down 32%) It is considered best of class but stumbled and there is a negative sentiment to health care stocks. It is growing double digits but trading at a single digit multiple so he is just holding it for now.
Not cheap, based on its historic valuation. Fundamentally, it's a good business, but its chart is unhealthy. Healthcare should be in any portfolio and this is a quality company. But Celgene ranks near the bottom of his medical/health stocks, 45 out of 49.
Not cheap, based on its historic valuation. Fundamentally, it's a good business, but its chart is unhealthy. Healthcare should be in any portfolio and this is a quality company. But Celgene ranks near the bottom of his medical/health stocks, 45 out of 49.
Sold it a while ago. Looks cheap from a valuation standpoint trading at 9 times forward earning with a 19% growth rate. Investors are concerned about their cancer drugs patents expiring in a couple of years. Dark cloud surrounding the company.
Sold it a while ago. Looks cheap from a valuation standpoint trading at 9 times forward earning with a 19% growth rate. Investors are concerned about their cancer drugs patents expiring in a couple of years. Dark cloud surrounding the company.
They completed a $5 billion buyback recently. They put up a beat on recent earnings, but there were concerns about future earnings. He does not like the space as there is a wall of sellers to overcome and bio-tech is running out of technical momentum. They have great forecasted cash flow, but watch out if they miss their guidance.
They completed a $5 billion buyback recently. They put up a beat on recent earnings, but there were concerns about future earnings. He does not like the space as there is a wall of sellers to overcome and bio-tech is running out of technical momentum. They have great forecasted cash flow, but watch out if they miss their guidance.
We have some erosion here. You have to live with the overreaction. Around the $75 - $85 range there is probably a really good opportunity.
We have some erosion here. You have to live with the overreaction. Around the $75 - $85 range there is probably a really good opportunity.
A disappointment, having fallen on a number of missteps including negative trial results and management issues. With biotechs, the odds of getting a drug out of trials into production is small. So, it's best to have a stable of drugs and some of them will go through. Doesn't know if this is at a bottom here, but it should do well long-term. Carries an attractive below-10x earnings multiple.
A disappointment, having fallen on a number of missteps including negative trial results and management issues. With biotechs, the odds of getting a drug out of trials into production is small. So, it's best to have a stable of drugs and some of them will go through. Doesn't know if this is at a bottom here, but it should do well long-term. Carries an attractive below-10x earnings multiple.
It broke down in a lousy earnings report late last year. It broke its trend line, and more importantly the level of support at $97 has been broken. There is a lot of air or space now below this price. He is concerned about the look of it from a technical perspective. It might pop back up to its previous support level.
It broke down in a lousy earnings report late last year. It broke its trend line, and more importantly the level of support at $97 has been broken. There is a lot of air or space now below this price. He is concerned about the look of it from a technical perspective. It might pop back up to its previous support level.
Sticking with it. Valuations are too attractive to ignore. All they need are a few winning drugs and to offer proper guidance. Let's see some of their trials succeed--even good results will do. Their pipeline is too robust to stay at 8.5x forwarded earning. But management needs to regain credibility. (Analysts' target of $116.08)
Sticking with it. Valuations are too attractive to ignore. All they need are a few winning drugs and to offer proper guidance. Let's see some of their trials succeed--even good results will do. Their pipeline is too robust to stay at 8.5x forwarded earning. But management needs to regain credibility. (Analysts' target of $116.08)
(A Top Pick May 10/17, Down 26%) Was once a widely-owned, then despised, stock. New management came in, then there was a downrgade, then their Crohn's disease drug missed, then received an FDA letter for a mass drug is incomplete, which almost never happens. They've made a lot of mistakes in a short time. It still enjoys near-20% EPS growth. They have a dozen phase-two drugs in progress--a deep pipeline--but management has disappointed. That said, he continues to have faith in CELG.
(A Top Pick May 10/17, Down 26%) Was once a widely-owned, then despised, stock. New management came in, then there was a downrgade, then their Crohn's disease drug missed, then received an FDA letter for a mass drug is incomplete, which almost never happens. They've made a lot of mistakes in a short time. It still enjoys near-20% EPS growth. They have a dozen phase-two drugs in progress--a deep pipeline--but management has disappointed. That said, he continues to have faith in CELG.
Many growth opportunities but took some hits, falling from $150. Great opportunity now. FDA approval is coming up, so there's potential. 10.5x earnings. Could grow 15-20%. (Analysts' target of $116.32)
Many growth opportunities but took some hits, falling from $150. Great opportunity now. FDA approval is coming up, so there's potential. 10.5x earnings. Could grow 15-20%. (Analysts' target of $116.32)
Boasts 10-11x forward earnings with a 15% growth rate. FDA trial approvals would increase investor confidence further, but they have a good pipeline of products. Likes it longer term.
Boasts 10-11x forward earnings with a 15% growth rate. FDA trial approvals would increase investor confidence further, but they have a good pipeline of products. Likes it longer term.
(A Top Pick Dec 03/18, Up 47%) Celgene had made a number of mis-steps, including management applying for multiple FDA approvals. One thing he really liked about the acquisition was the price it was bought. The acquisition by BMY helped them diversify and it seems to be going well.