Tesla Inc (TSLA-Q)

Ultimate hype stock, speculative. If you look at the operating fundamentals, margin profile isn't good and FCF is less robust. Those fundamentals are weakening. Last quarter was negative, expects disappointment in upcoming reporting. Previously, always able to overcome negative sentiment with growth. If your heart's set on it, wait for that, may drop further. 

Competitive pressures, especially out of China, are intensifying. Valuation always implies that its future is more than just a car company, and this is too tough for him to handicap. Consumer preferences have changed, tilting more to hybrids.

He's shorting it. The company has no governance over Elon Musk. What about allegations of drug use? Questionable acquisitions? The fundamentals are weakening--EV adoption is slipping and China is supporting its own EV-makers that compete with Tesla. Also, Tesla is cutting prices. Musk is a liar to keep his price stock up.

She's long and owns it personally. The chart looks terrible now and could go lower. But she won't count out Elon Musk, one of the most innovative people around. The earnings report will be bad, but we will get clarity. There will be a chance to step into this. If they do a full pivot into self-drivng robo-taxi, this will lead to a re-evaluation of this stock. Tesla remains the top-selling brand in China. They will announce a new giant factory in India.

Trades at 90x PE and is declining on nearly every metric. GM trades at 4.7x PE. Tesla is not a growth company anymore.

The street loved Elon Musk only when the stock was doing fine, and now when TSLA is not doing well, the knives are out. Musk always treated the street with contempt and now he's getting that back to him. Some consider him a one-trick pony or has lost his touch. He thinks he's a genius.

It has a high-growth valuation without growth this year. Car deliveries are very disappointing. Demand has normalized post-Covid. Margins are disappointing, more like any car company. He's waiting for the next catalyst and Elon Musk is a genius. What's popped share recently are self-driving cars, but still years away. Doesn't know if this will be a winner short term.

It's holding around $170-180, and the company has a new iteration (of Roadster) coming that he thinks will help. Don't give up on it.

Today's share price increase was significant. Shares have come down too far, 30% this year. 

It's true that a TSLA is more like an iPhone than a car. Price erosion, margins have come down. Distracted by making trucks. Best EV company in NA today. Ford and friends have trouble getting their act together, because they have 2 different businesses on the go.

The big issue is that they need to come out with a car that's smaller and cheaper. Biggest competition is from Chinese companies, with smaller cars of pretty good quality. Similar to what the Japanese car industry did in the 1970s.

Ignore social media, where negative chatter is coming from anonymous accounts without technical background. Note that the Chinese are dominating EVs, which will be a big issue moving forward. Tesla's valuation is extreme compared to peers in this space. Professional traders are lining up to short this when the stock breaks. Carbon offsets have benefited Tesla huge. A trader can make money on this, but investors should avoid it.

Looks good. After a dip, recovery is always swift. Problem is that the lows keep going lower each time. Don't touch until gets solidly above $210. If you own it, hold. Get out if goes below $185.

Big downtrend, but some technical indicators indicate oversold. So it may return to trend, which is higher than it is right now. Could see $220-220 in the near term. Still doesn't like it longer term. He's done a video on his blog.