Chipotle Mexican Grill

CMG-N

NYSE:CMG

822.48
2.75 (0.34%)
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission-style burritos.
More at Wikipedia

Analysis and Opinions about CMG-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
August 6, 2019

Time to add? They are only in 26 states so far, so there is a long playing field for SHAK-N. It trades at a high multiple, so if they disappoint it can become very painful quickly. Be cautious. He prefers to own the established names like SBUX-Q or CMG-N.

Time to add? They are only in 26 states so far, so there is a long playing field for SHAK-N. It trades at a high multiple, so if they disappoint it can become very painful quickly. Be cautious. He prefers to own the established names like SBUX-Q or CMG-N.

David Burrows
President & Chief Investment Strategist, Barometer Capital Management
Price
$790.610
Owned
_N/A
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 27, 2018

(A Top Pick July 19/17 - Down 12%) She had it with the expectation that it’s taken over. 4% yield in the meantime.

(A Top Pick July 19/17 - Down 12%) She had it with the expectation that it’s taken over. 4% yield in the meantime.

Veronika Hirsch
Chief Investment Officer, Arrow Capital
Price
$465.400
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 17, 2018

Not keen on it. What made them terrific before may not continue: quality food and good value, then people got sick. He's unconvinced they can regain that public goodwill.

Not keen on it. What made them terrific before may not continue: quality food and good value, then people got sick. He's unconvinced they can regain that public goodwill.

Ashley Misquitta, CFA
Senior Portfolio Manager, Empire Life
Price
$334.610
Owned
Unknown
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
March 14, 2018

He continues to watch this stock, he thinks it is worth $180 and the recent close makes it too expensive. However, he has been saying this since it traded $500. He will wait for his target.

He continues to watch this stock, he thinks it is worth $180 and the recent close makes it too expensive. However, he has been saying this since it traded $500. He will wait for his target.

Brian Acker, CA
Chief Executive Officer, President and Chief Inves, Acker Finley Inc.
Price
$319.660
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 18, 2018

*Short* (A Top Pick Nov 3/17, Up 11%) It was a combination of an e-coli scare, overvaluation and a growth stock becoming a value play. It is still not a cheap enough stock for him to find any level of support.

*Short* (A Top Pick Nov 3/17, Up 11%) It was a combination of an e-coli scare, overvaluation and a growth stock becoming a value play. It is still not a cheap enough stock for him to find any level of support.

Jason Mann
CIO & Co-Founder, Edgehill Patners
Price
$337.530
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 7, 2017

He is more positive on this on the margin. Technically it still has a little bit of work to do. The earnings trends are more on the positive inflection, as opposed to a “show me” story. It has pulled back more recently. Looking at a slightly longer-term chart, you can see the cup coming up and breaking out on a medium-term basis. This is shaping up nicely, and he is positive on the space itself.

He is more positive on this on the margin. Technically it still has a little bit of work to do. The earnings trends are more on the positive inflection, as opposed to a “show me” story. It has pulled back more recently. Looking at a slightly longer-term chart, you can see the cup coming up and breaking out on a medium-term basis. This is shaping up nicely, and he is positive on the space itself.

Cameron Hurst
Chief Investment Officer, Equium Capital Management
Price
$413.890
Owned
Unknown
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
June 2, 2017

His model price is $203. He was praying the stock would come back to his model price. Bill Ackman has now taken a position in the company and is doing some activist stuff. He would love to see this come back to $394.

His model price is $203. He was praying the stock would come back to his model price. Bill Ackman has now taken a position in the company and is doing some activist stuff. He would love to see this come back to $394.

Brian Acker, CA
Chief Executive Officer, President and Chief Inves, Acker Finley Inc.
Price
$478.070
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 6, 2017

They had some earnings hits in the last couple of quarters. It is not cheap, 30-40 times earnings, but the growth rate is really good. It still has some more to prove in his opinion. There are so many people who bought this in 2014/15 and are under water and want to sell this to get their money back and it creates some resistance levels.

They had some earnings hits in the last couple of quarters. It is not cheap, 30-40 times earnings, but the growth rate is really good. It still has some more to prove in his opinion. There are so many people who bought this in 2014/15 and are under water and want to sell this to get their money back and it creates some resistance levels.

Cameron Hurst
Chief Investment Officer, Equium Capital Management
Price
$450.290
Owned
Unknown
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 3, 2016

Short. They ran into E. Coli problems just over a year ago, a month after the stock peaked. The stock is down materially over the last year and is still expensive, priced for growth. It is 120 times earnings. They keep missing on earnings.

Short. They ran into E. Coli problems just over a year ago, a month after the stock peaked. The stock is down materially over the last year and is still expensive, priced for growth. It is 120 times earnings. They keep missing on earnings.

Jason Mann
CIO & Co-Founder, Edgehill Patners
Price
$374.710
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 2, 2016

*Short*(Pairs Trade with a Long on A&W Revenue Royalties (AW.UN-T). This is having all kinds of problems. Their same-store sales are still in decline. The declines are improving every quarter, but not in a major way.

*Short*(Pairs Trade with a Long on A&W Revenue Royalties (AW.UN-T). This is having all kinds of problems. Their same-store sales are still in decline. The declines are improving every quarter, but not in a major way.

Veronika Hirsch
Chief Investment Officer, Arrow Capital
Price
$369.630
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 6, 2016

This had 2 outbreaks, one on top of the other. The issue is, can they gain back consumers’ trust. You go there because it’s cool and very healthy, as compared to others. They have a long way to climb back. If they can do that, this would be a screaming buy.

This had 2 outbreaks, one on top of the other. The issue is, can they gain back consumers’ trust. You go there because it’s cool and very healthy, as compared to others. They have a long way to climb back. If they can do that, this would be a screaming buy.

Jim Huang
President, T.I.P. Wealth Management
Price
$445.270
Owned
Unknown
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 27, 2016

(A Top Pick April 15/15. Down 38.43%.) Had owned this for quite a few years. Got stopped out during the E. coli outbreak, but still lost money on the trade.

(A Top Pick April 15/15. Down 38.43%.) Had owned this for quite a few years. Got stopped out during the E. coli outbreak, but still lost money on the trade.

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$417.220
Owned
No
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
April 15, 2015

An opportunity to pick up a pretty good name that has done a sideways move for some time. Millennials (generation Y) are taking to the name. The company is able to price what they want because consumers believe they are getting good value for their money and the quality is very high. Store count is around 1600 in the US, which he thinks is a very low concentration, considering what they have ahead of them. This doesn’t even consider what they are doing internationally.

An opportunity to pick up a pretty good name that has done a sideways move for some time. Millennials (generation Y) are taking to the name. The company is able to price what they want because consumers believe they are getting good value for their money and the quality is very high. Store count is around 1600 in the US, which he thinks is a very low concentration, considering what they have ahead of them. This doesn’t even consider what they are doing internationally.

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$677.600
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 23, 2014

There is a lot of momentum behind the stock. Trading at 42X forward earnings, which is pretty expensive. Growth rate is 20%, so you are paying 2X PEG ratio.

There is a lot of momentum behind the stock. Trading at 42X forward earnings, which is pretty expensive. Growth rate is 20%, so you are paying 2X PEG ratio.

Stan Wong
Director & Portfolio Manager, Private Wealth Management, ScotiaMcleod
Price
$661.270
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 17, 2013

(A Top Pick Dec 19/12. Up 77.45%.) Seemed like a powerful trend to him, principally driven by their attention to organic high-quality and basically competing with the fast food industry.

(A Top Pick Dec 19/12. Up 77.45%.) Seemed like a powerful trend to him, principally driven by their attention to organic high-quality and basically competing with the fast food industry.

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$512.640
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 19, 2012

High-quality organic food. Every once in a while there is a name that is very, very popular. This is the stock that has the most amount of excitement but also the most amount of volatility. Huge swings. But he feels it is time for some serious business and this is an area he feels investors should take a look at. Have something like 40% margins and 1000 stores. Looking for another $50 from here.

High-quality organic food. Every once in a while there is a name that is very, very popular. This is the stock that has the most amount of excitement but also the most amount of volatility. Huge swings. But he feels it is time for some serious business and this is an area he feels investors should take a look at. Have something like 40% margins and 1000 stores. Looking for another $50 from here.

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$288.890
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 23, 2012

This is not the kind of a stock he looks at because it is a high growth stock and a high multiple stock. Their growth is slowing down. There is a lot of competition in Mexican food. At 30X earnings he is staying away. Doesn’t pay a dividend.

This is not the kind of a stock he looks at because it is a high growth stock and a high multiple stock. Their growth is slowing down. There is a lot of competition in Mexican food. At 30X earnings he is staying away. Doesn’t pay a dividend.

Barry Schwartz
CIO & Portfolio Manager, Baskin Wealth Management
Price
$236.240
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 24, 2012

Not really familiar with it but it is higher end. All these companies are going to suffer from higher input costs, affecting margins. Expensive stock in terms of PE and that is why it went down. If it happens again you could see it at $2.50.

Not really familiar with it but it is higher end. All these companies are going to suffer from higher input costs, affecting margins. Expensive stock in terms of PE and that is why it went down. If it happens again you could see it at $2.50.

Chyanne Fickes
Vice President of Investments, Stone Funds
Price
$295.000
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 19, 2012
Chart shows a long upward trend from early 2009 but there was choppiness in 2011. Has a little bit of a wedge pattern so if it broke down to about the $325 level, there is probably a good chance to Short there and the most logical place for support would be at around $288-$290. Shorting when you have such a nice trend can be dangerous. If you want to buy, try to get it at the $330 level.
Chart shows a long upward trend from early 2009 but there was choppiness in 2011. Has a little bit of a wedge pattern so if it broke down to about the $325 level, there is probably a good chance to Short there and the most logical place for support would be at around $288-$290. Shorting when you have such a nice trend can be dangerous. If you want to buy, try to get it at the $330 level.
Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI
Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder, Castlemoore Inc.
Price
$358.090
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 1, 2011

Buying a Put when it reaches its high of around $347-$350 with the idea of selling it if it goes down to $320-$310. Good strategy? This is a classic earnings momentum stock. He doesn't like to buy options because by definition you could lose 100% if you're wrong. If you are going to do it, buy a longer dated option (2 month or 3 month), pay the premium and then sell it as it migrates in 1 month.

Buying a Put when it reaches its high of around $347-$350 with the idea of selling it if it goes down to $320-$310. Good strategy? This is a classic earnings momentum stock. He doesn't like to buy options because by definition you could lose 100% if you're wrong. If you are going to do it, buy a longer dated option (2 month or 3 month), pay the premium and then sell it as it migrates in 1 month.

Derek Webb, CFA
Chairman, CIO, Webb Asset Management
Price
$323.040
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 4, 2011
Wants to buy a $3.10 Put for August up. (Caller thinks stock is going to go below $310.) Currently trading at $315, which is pretty good for a restaurant. Chart indicates there is a lot of biting going on and doesn't look like it is exhausting. This move would be a bit tricky now.
Wants to buy a $3.10 Put for August up. (Caller thinks stock is going to go below $310.) Currently trading at $315, which is pretty good for a restaurant. Chart indicates there is a lot of biting going on and doesn't look like it is exhausting. This move would be a bit tricky now.
Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI CIM
VP & Portfolio Manager, Chief Investment Officer, Castlemoore Inc.
Price
$315.720
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
May 4, 2011
This is the kind of staple industry that just chugs along. Chart looks good. Nothing jumps out and is in a good sector.
This is the kind of staple industry that just chugs along. Chart looks good. Nothing jumps out and is in a good sector.
Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI
Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder, Castlemoore Inc.
Price
$260.530
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
January 14, 2011
Great earnings. Stock will probably split. Whenever they open a shop there is literally a line 2 hours before they open. Stock is going a lot higher.
Great earnings. Stock will probably split. Whenever they open a shop there is literally a line 2 hours before they open. Stock is going a lot higher.
Derek Webb, CFA
Chairman, CIO, Webb Asset Management
Price
$234.890
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
November 30, 2010

(Top Pick Nov 4/10, 4.25% yield for 43 days) Short Chipotle / buy December puts. Was a company he did not own but wanted to own.

(Top Pick Nov 4/10, 4.25% yield for 43 days) Short Chipotle / buy December puts. Was a company he did not own but wanted to own.

Derek Webb, CFA
Chairman, CIO, Webb Asset Management
Price
$258.490
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 19, 2010
Strategy of Buying Puts thinking the stock might go down for a while? He doesn’t use options. Chart shows a pretty good upward trend from early 2009 and has gone parabolic in the last half of this year. It could come back to the $200 level but he can see it moving higher. Unbound volume indicates it is being accumulated.
Strategy of Buying Puts thinking the stock might go down for a while? He doesn’t use options. Chart shows a pretty good upward trend from early 2009 and has gone parabolic in the last half of this year. It could come back to the $200 level but he can see it moving higher. Unbound volume indicates it is being accumulated.
Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSI
Chief Portfolio Manager & Founder, Castlemoore Inc.
Price
$232.270
Owned
No
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 4, 2010
Short Chipotle / buy December puts. An earnings stock that is on fire. People line up at restaurants 2 hours before lunch and dinner.
Short Chipotle / buy December puts. An earnings stock that is on fire. People line up at restaurants 2 hours before lunch and dinner.
Derek Webb, CFA
Chairman, CIO, Webb Asset Management
Price
$222.860
Owned
Yes
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