Exchange Income

EIF-T

Analysis and Opinions about EIF-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 2, 2017

(A Top Pick March 14/17. Up 9%.) *Short* A small manufacturer and aviation company. The aviation side of the business is far more important to them. They operate several regional airlines that service northern Canada, as well as the east coast. They also have an aircraft leasing business, Regional1 in the US. His issue is very much around their allocation of capital and that they spend their cash flow in a very dramatic way. CapX is greater than their operational cash flow, plus they have debt, plus they pay a dividend. Not a sustainable way to run a business.

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(A Top Pick March 14/17. Up 9%.) *Short* A small manufacturer and aviation company. The aviation side of the business is far more important to them. They operate several regional airlines that service northern Canada, as well as the east coast. They also have an aircraft leasing business, Regional1 in the US. His issue is very much around their allocation of capital and that they spend their cash flow in a very dramatic way. CapX is greater than their operational cash flow, plus they have debt, plus they pay a dividend. Not a sustainable way to run a business.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
May 2, 2017

*Short*. Recently, the Northwest Company (NWC-T) who owns and distributes goods to northern communities, used to be a large customer, but are now a competitor having bought North Star Airline and planning on expanding routes, in direct competition with this company and some of their subsidiaries BearSkin and Perimeter. This still has capital problems and should not be paying dividends. Dividend yield of 6.2%. (Analysts’ price target is $47.)

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*Short*. Recently, the Northwest Company (NWC-T) who owns and distributes goods to northern communities, used to be a large customer, but are now a competitor having bought North Star Airline and planning on expanding routes, in direct competition with this company and some of their subsidiaries BearSkin and Perimeter. This still has capital problems and should not be paying dividends. Dividend yield of 6.2%. (Analysts’ price target is $47.)

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
April 27, 2017

Believes it has a pretty handsome yield. He used to own it years ago. It is a proper business. He thinks it has a good long term yield and should be picked away at on weakness.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
April 27, 2017

Believes it has a pretty handsome yield. He used to own it years ago. It is a proper business. He thinks it has a good long term yield and should be picked away at on weakness.

PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
April 21, 2017

He models a 12% EBITDA growth over the next couple of years. Trades at a valuation that is lower than its five-year average. Debt to EBITDA continues to improve at around 2.2. The 5.5% dividend yield looks pretty safe. Missed on Q4 due to weather and equipment issues. You could be picking away at this time.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
April 21, 2017

He models a 12% EBITDA growth over the next couple of years. Trades at a valuation that is lower than its five-year average. Debt to EBITDA continues to improve at around 2.2. The 5.5% dividend yield looks pretty safe. Missed on Q4 due to weather and equipment issues. You could be picking away at this time.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
April 11, 2017

Shareholders have had really good returns in a short period of time, where there has been substantial growth, so things have to take a little bit of a breather at some point. This is an acquisition oriented company, so they are going to have higher debt levels at certain points. A solid company. Pays a nice solid dividend in the 5%-5.5% area. If you can buy this on a little bit of a dip, there are opportunities here.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
April 11, 2017

Shareholders have had really good returns in a short period of time, where there has been substantial growth, so things have to take a little bit of a breather at some point. This is an acquisition oriented company, so they are going to have higher debt levels at certain points. A solid company. Pays a nice solid dividend in the 5%-5.5% area. If you can buy this on a little bit of a dip, there are opportunities here.

BUY
BUY
March 24, 2017

It has a 61% payout ratio so the dividend looks good. It is trading below its 5 year average The balance sheet is not bad, but they missed on Q4 due to weather and equipment issues which they have now mitigated, so you could go in and buy it.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
March 24, 2017

It has a 61% payout ratio so the dividend looks good. It is trading below its 5 year average The balance sheet is not bad, but they missed on Q4 due to weather and equipment issues which they have now mitigated, so you could go in and buy it.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
March 23, 2017

(Top Pick Apr 7/16, Up 43%) It is a good quality pick. This has been a total under-the-radar story. They did a phenomenal job of managing their assets. They have raised the dividend multiple times.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
March 23, 2017

(Top Pick Apr 7/16, Up 43%) It is a good quality pick. This has been a total under-the-radar story. They did a phenomenal job of managing their assets. They have raised the dividend multiple times.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 14, 2017

*Short* This is sort of a mini conglomerate. They have a bunch of small regional airlines in Canada, as well as an aviation leasing business in the US, along with some small manufacturing businesses in Canada. This is what he would call “an access to Canada short” in that the underlying businesses do not generate enough cash to sustain the company as a whole. Subsequently they need to continue coming back to the market doing equity issue after equity issue. All the industries that they operate in are high capital intensive businesses. Just in CapX alone they have outspent their cash flow way, way back. Yet they pay a dividend yield of 5.34% and have a debt they have to service. If there was any market downturn and equity markets were actually shut off to this sort of constant equity issuance, the dividend would be in very, very serious trouble. (Analysts’ price target is $47.)

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
March 14, 2017

*Short* This is sort of a mini conglomerate. They have a bunch of small regional airlines in Canada, as well as an aviation leasing business in the US, along with some small manufacturing businesses in Canada. This is what he would call “an access to Canada short” in that the underlying businesses do not generate enough cash to sustain the company as a whole. Subsequently they need to continue coming back to the market doing equity issue after equity issue. All the industries that they operate in are high capital intensive businesses. Just in CapX alone they have outspent their cash flow way, way back. Yet they pay a dividend yield of 5.34% and have a debt they have to service. If there was any market downturn and equity markets were actually shut off to this sort of constant equity issuance, the dividend would be in very, very serious trouble. (Analysts’ price target is $47.)

COMMENT
COMMENT
February 24, 2017

This buys different businesses and generates cash flow, and their job is to pay the dividends from those businesses. They focus on businesses where you cannot get exposure from the public market. They’ve done a pretty good job over the last several years, and the dividend yield is sustainable at this point. A good hold for the longer-term at this point.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
February 24, 2017

This buys different businesses and generates cash flow, and their job is to pay the dividends from those businesses. They focus on businesses where you cannot get exposure from the public market. They’ve done a pretty good job over the last several years, and the dividend yield is sustainable at this point. A good hold for the longer-term at this point.

HOLD
HOLD
February 21, 2017

(Market Call Minute.) A good, well-run company. It has had a heck of a run over the last year.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
February 21, 2017

(Market Call Minute.) A good, well-run company. It has had a heck of a run over the last year.

COMMENT
COMMENT
February 1, 2017

Had owned this for some time, but sold it too early. One of Canada’s really great growth stories. It is going through a bit of back-and-forth here as many stocks are. Feels the valuation has gone about as far as it was going to go. He would look at this again at some time.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
February 1, 2017

Had owned this for some time, but sold it too early. One of Canada’s really great growth stories. It is going through a bit of back-and-forth here as many stocks are. Feels the valuation has gone about as far as it was going to go. He would look at this again at some time.

HOLD
HOLD
January 25, 2017

Has been invested in this for some time now. Management is excellent. They have a business where they acquire a bunch of other operating businesses. They’ve really focused on airlines and manufacturing. In their history, they did the West Tower transaction and things were growing great, but then ran into a lot of problems. The company successfully sold that and redeployed the capital, which is a hallmark of a good management team. The stock isn’t cheap, but has a good dividend. They tend to be serial issuers, and as they add acquisitions, they issue more stock. If you don’t own, he would wait to pick up a new issue at a cheaper price. 5.1% dividend yield.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
January 25, 2017

Has been invested in this for some time now. Management is excellent. They have a business where they acquire a bunch of other operating businesses. They’ve really focused on airlines and manufacturing. In their history, they did the West Tower transaction and things were growing great, but then ran into a lot of problems. The company successfully sold that and redeployed the capital, which is a hallmark of a good management team. The stock isn’t cheap, but has a good dividend. They tend to be serial issuers, and as they add acquisitions, they issue more stock. If you don’t own, he would wait to pick up a new issue at a cheaper price. 5.1% dividend yield.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 6, 2017

A growth by acquisition company, engaged in aviation manufacturing. They have some scheduled chartered airline services. The company has done extremely well. Ranks 63 in his database, roughly the top 10%. Earnings are expected to grow modestly by about 5%. A PE of 17X. ROE is reasonable at 14%. Unfortunately, free cash flow currently is -5%. This doesn’t seem cheap. Prefers others.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
January 6, 2017

A growth by acquisition company, engaged in aviation manufacturing. They have some scheduled chartered airline services. The company has done extremely well. Ranks 63 in his database, roughly the top 10%. Earnings are expected to grow modestly by about 5%. A PE of 17X. ROE is reasonable at 14%. Unfortunately, free cash flow currently is -5%. This doesn’t seem cheap. Prefers others.

HOLD
HOLD
November 22, 2016

Manufactures airplane parts. He likes this. A surprisingly good business. They consistently produce 13%-50% ROC, year in and year out. Pays a nice dividend of just under 5%. Valuation is still reasonable. The balance sheet looks great. Not a lot of debt.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
November 22, 2016

Manufactures airplane parts. He likes this. A surprisingly good business. They consistently produce 13%-50% ROC, year in and year out. Pays a nice dividend of just under 5%. Valuation is still reasonable. The balance sheet looks great. Not a lot of debt.

COMMENT
COMMENT
November 2, 2016

This has been a very, very strong stock for the past couple of months. Their last quarter, which is typically their weakest quarter, had absolute stunning blow away numbers. Raised their dividend by about 5%, and the payout ratio went down dramatically in the quarter. Their divisions are firing on all cylinders. Very heavily tied to aviation and aeronautics, and he would like to see them do another deal to dilute that exposure a bit. A very cheap stock with a very nice dividend yield of 5.6%.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
November 2, 2016

This has been a very, very strong stock for the past couple of months. Their last quarter, which is typically their weakest quarter, had absolute stunning blow away numbers. Raised their dividend by about 5%, and the payout ratio went down dramatically in the quarter. Their divisions are firing on all cylinders. Very heavily tied to aviation and aeronautics, and he would like to see them do another deal to dilute that exposure a bit. A very cheap stock with a very nice dividend yield of 5.6%.

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