Exchange Income

EIF-T

Analysis and Opinions about EIF-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
HOLD
HOLD
August 9, 2018

Collection of companies, aviation and others, where he thinks there’s huge value. In it for the long haul. It’s a hold at this level, but only because they already own a lot.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
August 9, 2018

Collection of companies, aviation and others, where he thinks there’s huge value. In it for the long haul. It’s a hold at this level, but only because they already own a lot.

BUY
BUY
May 18, 2018

It ranks in the top 10% of his dividend model. It had an earnings surprise earlier this month, and is expected to grow 15% this year with a 13 P/E. He likes it. ROE is 15%.

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It ranks in the top 10% of his dividend model. It had an earnings surprise earlier this month, and is expected to grow 15% this year with a 13 P/E. He likes it. ROE is 15%.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 8, 2018

This company has had a hard time with aggressive short sellers. They have responded with insider buying and by raising the dividend. This is a conglomerate. They have some good businesses, but he always gets nervous with companies that acquire other businesses. He’s not nervous about the short sellers, thinks they’ve been proven wrong. The yield is quite generous, over 7%, but this is a hard company to analyze because it has so many moving parts.

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This company has had a hard time with aggressive short sellers. They have responded with insider buying and by raising the dividend. This is a conglomerate. They have some good businesses, but he always gets nervous with companies that acquire other businesses. He’s not nervous about the short sellers, thinks they’ve been proven wrong. The yield is quite generous, over 7%, but this is a hard company to analyze because it has so many moving parts.

BUY
BUY
May 3, 2018

This name really moves around. This company has some issues with respects as to what is classified as maintenance and capex. Some short sellers have drawn attention to that. It is a small cap. The balance sheet is not perfect. But it has a P/E of 10. 57% payout ratio and a nice dividend yield. You can have this name for a taxable account.

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This name really moves around. This company has some issues with respects as to what is classified as maintenance and capex. Some short sellers have drawn attention to that. It is a small cap. The balance sheet is not perfect. But it has a P/E of 10. 57% payout ratio and a nice dividend yield. You can have this name for a taxable account.

BUY
BUY
March 29, 2018

It is a small cap. The balance sheet is not bad. There are a lot of dividends in Canada that are a lot higher than they should be (5-7%) but he feels we have an all clear on this one. He models 17% earnings growth. Last quarter they beat estimates by 10% and boosted the divided. It is a good buy here.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
March 29, 2018

It is a small cap. The balance sheet is not bad. There are a lot of dividends in Canada that are a lot higher than they should be (5-7%) but he feels we have an all clear on this one. He models 17% earnings growth. Last quarter they beat estimates by 10% and boosted the divided. It is a good buy here.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 28, 2018

There is an aviation and manufacturing division within this company. As a conglomerate it usually trades at a discount. There was a short selling investor who had issues with some of their acquisitions in the past. Some lower margin leasing activity in the aviation division may also be creating some uncertainty with investors.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
March 28, 2018

There is an aviation and manufacturing division within this company. As a conglomerate it usually trades at a discount. There was a short selling investor who had issues with some of their acquisitions in the past. Some lower margin leasing activity in the aviation division may also be creating some uncertainty with investors.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 21, 2018

This company grows by acquisition with an aviation business in Northern Canada and in the manufacturing sector. A high yield with only a 34% payout ratio and an ROE of 14.9%. Yield 6.6%. (Analysts’ price target is $45.20 )

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
March 21, 2018

This company grows by acquisition with an aviation business in Northern Canada and in the manufacturing sector. A high yield with only a 34% payout ratio and an ROE of 14.9%. Yield 6.6%. (Analysts’ price target is $45.20 )

PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
March 9, 2018

As a proud Manitoban, he likes this company. It has mostly government contracted aviation deals. It is trading at a discount to its historical multiple, but the problem is they keep spending their money. They need a couple years to consolidate capital. They could face future competition in their Northern Canadian market space. The yield is about 6%. It is not a bad buy here at the current price weakness.

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As a proud Manitoban, he likes this company. It has mostly government contracted aviation deals. It is trading at a discount to its historical multiple, but the problem is they keep spending their money. They need a couple years to consolidate capital. They could face future competition in their Northern Canadian market space. The yield is about 6%. It is not a bad buy here at the current price weakness.

BUY
BUY
December 6, 2017

Regional planes and aftermarket parts distribution. He likes the business. It’s been under pressure from a Short seller making comments about using debt to pay the dividend. He is not convinced. They’ve been fairly active doing acquisitions, and he looks at the debt as being for acquisitions. Trading at a reasonable valuation at about 16X, and pays a great dividend of almost 6%. He is buying for new clients.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
December 6, 2017

Regional planes and aftermarket parts distribution. He likes the business. It’s been under pressure from a Short seller making comments about using debt to pay the dividend. He is not convinced. They’ve been fairly active doing acquisitions, and he looks at the debt as being for acquisitions. Trading at a reasonable valuation at about 16X, and pays a great dividend of almost 6%. He is buying for new clients.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 16, 2017

(Market Call Minute.) There are Short reports out there, and he is trying to get his head around as to whether the Shorts have nailed this or not. There are some concerning signals. He would hold off on this.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
November 16, 2017

(Market Call Minute.) There are Short reports out there, and he is trying to get his head around as to whether the Shorts have nailed this or not. There are some concerning signals. He would hold off on this.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 25, 2017

This has gotten beaten up over the last 6-12 months. A short seller report came out questioning what they need to spend on some of the CapX on their airlines, as well as if dividends are sustainable. The company came out with good earnings which solidified their dividends. The stock rebounded up to around $34-$35, but has now come back down to around the $30 mark for no rhyme or reason. (Analysts’ price target is $42.)

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
October 25, 2017

This has gotten beaten up over the last 6-12 months. A short seller report came out questioning what they need to spend on some of the CapX on their airlines, as well as if dividends are sustainable. The company came out with good earnings which solidified their dividends. The stock rebounded up to around $34-$35, but has now come back down to around the $30 mark for no rhyme or reason. (Analysts’ price target is $42.)

COMMENT
COMMENT
September 28, 2017

A kind of illiquid stock that moves around a lot. There is a Short Seller piece out there that says they are not going to have enough free cash to meet their dividend. CapX has been elevated. Thinks the Short Sellers are wrong and that they are going to grow their earnings by 12% over the next couple of years compounded annually. He models a payout ratio of 96% for 2017 next year. Thinks you will get a good combination of dividend and upside from here. Dividend yield of 6%+.

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Exchange Income (EIF-T)
September 28, 2017

A kind of illiquid stock that moves around a lot. There is a Short Seller piece out there that says they are not going to have enough free cash to meet their dividend. CapX has been elevated. Thinks the Short Sellers are wrong and that they are going to grow their earnings by 12% over the next couple of years compounded annually. He models a payout ratio of 96% for 2017 next year. Thinks you will get a good combination of dividend and upside from here. Dividend yield of 6%+.

BUY
BUY
July 24, 2017

It is still a buy. It is a really good company back to 2005. They have almost always had 10% or more return on capital.

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It is still a buy. It is a really good company back to 2005. They have almost always had 10% or more return on capital.

COMMENT
COMMENT
July 6, 2017

This had a Short report issued on it. The Short thesis is not new at all, as it has been on and off for the last few years. Primarily it has to do with the sustainability of dividends. Doesn’t think the Short thesis is solid. The company’s argument that a lot of capital expenditure has been for growth, rather than maintaining its operations, makes a lot of sense. The real question is, are you comfortable with the underlying business mix being essentially a specialty regional airline with some older planes, but make them last by completely overhauling them. There is also the acquisition of Region 1 taking older airplanes and selling them for parts. You have to be comfortable with the cyclicality and how well they manage it. If you are, this is a bargain.

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This had a Short report issued on it. The Short thesis is not new at all, as it has been on and off for the last few years. Primarily it has to do with the sustainability of dividends. Doesn’t think the Short thesis is solid. The company’s argument that a lot of capital expenditure has been for growth, rather than maintaining its operations, makes a lot of sense. The real question is, are you comfortable with the underlying business mix being essentially a specialty regional airline with some older planes, but make them last by completely overhauling them. There is also the acquisition of Region 1 taking older airplanes and selling them for parts. You have to be comfortable with the cyclicality and how well they manage it. If you are, this is a bargain.

HOLD
HOLD
June 16, 2017

Missed on Q1 operational challenges in aerospace. They increased costs on a fleet overhaul, as well as having some bad weather. Even without some of these challenges, they would have missed by 5%. Management is still modelling 12% EPS. The stock is pretty illiquid. Trading below its five-year average.

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Missed on Q1 operational challenges in aerospace. They increased costs on a fleet overhaul, as well as having some bad weather. Even without some of these challenges, they would have missed by 5%. Management is still modelling 12% EPS. The stock is pretty illiquid. Trading below its five-year average.

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