Cenovus Energy

CVE-T

Analysis and Opinions about CVE-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
March 12, 2018

They put some hedges on and then the differentials blew out. A lot of US investors are taking positions right now. Crude by rail contracts are being signed. Keystone could get up and going any minute now. They bought the best oil sands properties. Eventually you will see this company recover.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
March 12, 2018

They put some hedges on and then the differentials blew out. A lot of US investors are taking positions right now. Crude by rail contracts are being signed. Keystone could get up and going any minute now. They bought the best oil sands properties. Eventually you will see this company recover.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
February 22, 2018

CPG-T vs. CVE-T. Seasonality starts Feb 25th. Today they announced a draw from inventory rather than a build. This might be enough to get this one going. He would prefer CVE-T a little bit more.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
February 22, 2018

CPG-T vs. CVE-T. Seasonality starts Feb 25th. Today they announced a draw from inventory rather than a build. This might be enough to get this one going. He would prefer CVE-T a little bit more.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
February 15, 2018

Since the acquisition almost 3 years ago they have made divestitures and paid the debt down. You could do worse.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
February 15, 2018

Since the acquisition almost 3 years ago they have made divestitures and paid the debt down. You could do worse.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 13, 2018

She is not buying energy now because of her overall negative view of the Canadian energy market at this time. If she was going to buy at this time, she would buy a large producer (which Cenovus is) but she would prefer CNQ because it is more diversified a

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
February 13, 2018

She is not buying energy now because of her overall negative view of the Canadian energy market at this time. If she was going to buy at this time, she would buy a large producer (which Cenovus is) but she would prefer CNQ because it is more diversified a

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 12, 2018

Leery at $9 level. If it closes below $9 it's got plenty of room to fall.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
February 12, 2018

Leery at $9 level. If it closes below $9 it's got plenty of room to fall.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 6, 2018

He is negative on the commodity space generally and has not participated in the rise in oil and gas prices. He doesn’t see the rise as based on fundamentals and sees high geopolitical risk. Strongly prefers US Oil and Gas companies over Canadian ones at this time.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
February 6, 2018

He is negative on the commodity space generally and has not participated in the rise in oil and gas prices. He doesn’t see the rise as based on fundamentals and sees high geopolitical risk. Strongly prefers US Oil and Gas companies over Canadian ones at this time.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 19, 2018

Has looked through all the energy companies on both sides of the border to see if he could find some value. He didn't find much, which is peculiar, because he had expected he would find more stuff in the US. However, they are just as reluctant to raise earnings forecasts (his FMV) as are Canadian analysts. This one is cheap, and selling at a 36% discount to its BV. It’s 1.53% dividend is covered. It needs some earnings in order to turn and give it some earnings momentum, then he thinks the stock would go pretty quickly to $17. However, it does need that momentum.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
January 19, 2018

Has looked through all the energy companies on both sides of the border to see if he could find some value. He didn't find much, which is peculiar, because he had expected he would find more stuff in the US. However, they are just as reluctant to raise earnings forecasts (his FMV) as are Canadian analysts. This one is cheap, and selling at a 36% discount to its BV. It’s 1.53% dividend is covered. It needs some earnings in order to turn and give it some earnings momentum, then he thinks the stock would go pretty quickly to $17. However, it does need that momentum.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 18, 2018

They got into trouble last year. They paid a lot of money for an acquisition. They have since sold a lot of assets and de-levered. 7% cash flow yield vs. 4% for the group. They will have torque to an energy cycle that he feels in its early stages. (Analysts’ target: $15.00).

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
January 18, 2018

They got into trouble last year. They paid a lot of money for an acquisition. They have since sold a lot of assets and de-levered. 7% cash flow yield vs. 4% for the group. They will have torque to an energy cycle that he feels in its early stages. (Analysts’ target: $15.00).

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 9, 2018

She is very low on energy weighted stocks. It’s not conducive for strength in cash flow and pricing in the US producers. The large cap ones, including this one, have done relatively better than smaller oil producers.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
January 9, 2018

She is very low on energy weighted stocks. It’s not conducive for strength in cash flow and pricing in the US producers. The large cap ones, including this one, have done relatively better than smaller oil producers.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 29, 2017

An integrated oil company. They bought out a partner in their oil sands deal. Took on a lot of debt, but did an equity issue, which didn't go very well. Lost their CEO but there is a new one in. They have to bring down their cost structure and thinks that is going to happen. They'll sell off some assets in the next little while and bring down their debt. Trading at 4.7X cash flow. Dividend yield of 1.7%. (Analysts' price target is $15.)

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
December 29, 2017

An integrated oil company. They bought out a partner in their oil sands deal. Took on a lot of debt, but did an equity issue, which didn't go very well. Lost their CEO but there is a new one in. They have to bring down their cost structure and thinks that is going to happen. They'll sell off some assets in the next little while and bring down their debt. Trading at 4.7X cash flow. Dividend yield of 1.7%. (Analysts' price target is $15.)

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 28, 2017

When they made their big acquisition he wondered what they were doing. They destroyed their balance sheet. It’s becoming a show me stock. There are better quality names to choose from.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
December 28, 2017

When they made their big acquisition he wondered what they were doing. They destroyed their balance sheet. It’s becoming a show me stock. There are better quality names to choose from.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 20, 2017

He would not have predicted that the differential would blow out. Most of the damage in the stock is temporary because of the differential. He can see costs coming down in 2-3 years time. Dividend yield of 1.8%. (Analysts price target is $16.)

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
December 20, 2017

He would not have predicted that the differential would blow out. Most of the damage in the stock is temporary because of the differential. He can see costs coming down in 2-3 years time. Dividend yield of 1.8%. (Analysts price target is $16.)

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 30, 2017

He wishes he was as positive on the long term prospects as with TOU-T. They sold some assets but he would stay on the sidelines with CVE-T.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
November 30, 2017

He wishes he was as positive on the long term prospects as with TOU-T. They sold some assets but he would stay on the sidelines with CVE-T.

WATCH
WATCH
November 9, 2017

They are in the process of selling assets. It is down for the year and bounced on results plus a new CEO coming on. It is definitely a tax loss candidate. He would be careful here. For the long term, they have a strong platform, however.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
November 9, 2017

They are in the process of selling assets. It is down for the year and bounced on results plus a new CEO coming on. It is definitely a tax loss candidate. He would be careful here. For the long term, they have a strong platform, however.

PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
November 6, 2017

He would be inclined to take a little profit. This company rolled the dice, and it looks like it is going to pay off for them. They still have some issues in that they have to sell off some assets, and there is a chance that the pop we are seeing in the oil price may not necessarily last. He would be inclined to take a little profit.

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Cenovus Energy (CVE-T)
November 6, 2017

He would be inclined to take a little profit. This company rolled the dice, and it looks like it is going to pay off for them. They still have some issues in that they have to sell off some assets, and there is a chance that the pop we are seeing in the oil price may not necessarily last. He would be inclined to take a little profit.

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