NYSE:DB

15.96
0.60 (3.91%) 1d
0

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HOLD
Deutsche Bank AG
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

DB has fallen 94% since just before 2008 and on paper, this is a very similar pattern to CS. DB is down ~6% today and its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) have been moving substantially higher today, indicating that investors are paying up for insurance in the event that DB fails or defaults. At times, these events can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, and a material decline in its share price can lead to fewer funding options and a worse liquidity picture for the company. The Fed and other central banks around the world established open swap lines the other weekend so that in the event of depositors withdrawing funds from a foreign bank, that foreign bank can call upon the Fed and receive par for US Treasury Bills, even if they are well below par on the market. This was not established when CS failed, and we feel that this might help to alleviate any issues with DB.  

Overall, as we've learned, these events can happen fast, and we're not ruling out the possibility of DB failing, but everyone, including the Fed and the US Treasury are keeping a closer eye on these possibilities and we think that higher level of scrutiny should help to quickly respond to any weaknesses in the bank.  
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COMMENT
Deutsche Bank AG
options Put-buying today of 20,000 of the July 9 puts for about 30 cents. That's interesting because they own the June 10 puts, made money, sold them and rolled to July 9. The stock was trading at $9.60 at the time.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
Believes banks exposed to North America will benefit positively from rising interest rates. Revolving door with management, and host of other problems has created problems for company. Recommends giving stock some time to recover, but don't buy more.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
DB vs. CS CS is the worse performing one because they lent 5B to the hedge fund that lost 20B in two days, written off. European banks are not that attractive. DB has some strong sells. All are slow growth, unattractive valuations. Prefers Canadian banks.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
The UK banking system, especially in Germany, has not required big banks to clean up their balance sheets like within the US. He would not put more money into this region. He would stay away.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
Among the worst banks in Europe. Trying to cut costs since 7 years, but still losing market share. Reduced dividends again. They don't know what they're doing. Want quality companies with free cashflow.
banks
PAST TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG
(A Top Pick Jun 29/18, Down 32%) The flat yield curve, along with a riskier play resulted in this holding being stopped out. A collapse of a proposed merger also hurt them.
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BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
Barclays vs. Deutsche Bank He prefers Deutsche Bank, because it trades at a much lower valuation. Both trade at a fraction of their book value. Deutsche Bank has turned a corner with cost-cutting, though Barclays pays a better dividend. He likes European banks because they've been so beaten down and are trading at a fraction of valuation of the US banks. This is a pivotal year for Deutsche Bank and it should enjoy a big earnings bump.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
A Merger with another bank? He stayed way because he does not like their lines of business. Merging both balance sheets leaves him at a loss. He does not see how it helps them except perhaps to close branches and lay people off. Germany is a massively over-banked market.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
This has been a train wreck -- there are better companies out there. They continue to see problems come forward. The only way to see a recovery is if interest rates go up -- something he does not expect soon.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
Deustche Bank vs. Barclay's DB is poorly run; he much prefers Barclay's. DB has gone though massive restructuring with many difficulties, still is. They've had a poorly run retail banking business. With their investment bank, they've bought a lot of things without integrating their technology. So, after the 2008 crash, things got very difficult for DB. A lot of their business was in fixed income where a lot of capital is used. Barclay's is in a much better position. They bought Lehman Brothers; has a great retail business; great credit card and superb investment bank businesses. It's run by an ex-JP Morgan buy. DB is a trade at best, while Barclay's will see growth for a while.
banks
PAST TOP PICK
Deutsche Bank AG
(A Top Pick Jun 29/18, Down 17%) They recapitalized and has shrunk to grow. Regulators never hiked rates in Europe like in North America, which was a surprise to him. Now there are no forecasts for rate hikes in North America, which will create further headwinds. You make more money when they are being fined, than during regular course of business. Rumours of merger abound, but he puts no value in that. He is sticking with it.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
Down 47% over last 12 months. No growth in Europe, lawsuits, people leaving, constantly reconfiguring the company. Please avoid this one. (Analysts’ price target is $9.80)
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG
Can it go bankrupt? It was one of the first to see widening credit spreads. They have not been doing well since the crisis. They have been more negatively affected by the change in banking business mix than the rest. Rhetoric around trade is going to ratchet up and down but global trade is still intact.
banks
DON'T BUY
Deutsche Bank AG

[Is Europe a bad bet?] He would broadly stay away from European banks. They have a limited history as public companies. Europe is terribly over banked. He suggests you are better off with an American bank that serves Europe.

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Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) Rating

Ranking : 3 out of 5

Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 0

Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 1

Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 0

Total Signals / Votes : 1

Stockchase rating for Deutsche Bank AG is calculated according to the stock experts' signals. A high score means experts mostly recommend to buy the stock while a low score means experts mostly recommend to sell the stock.

Deutsche Bank AG(DB-N) Frequently Asked Questions

What is Deutsche Bank AG stock symbol?

Deutsche Bank AG is a American stock, trading under the symbol DB-N on the New York Stock Exchange (DB). It is usually referred to as NYSE:DB or DB-N

Is Deutsche Bank AG a buy or a sell?

In the last year, 1 stock analyst published opinions about DB-N. 0 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 0 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Deutsche Bank AG.

Is Deutsche Bank AG a good investment or a top pick?

Deutsche Bank AG was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for Deutsche Bank AG.

Why is Deutsche Bank AG stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.

Is Deutsche Bank AG worth watching?

1 stock analyst on Stockchase covered Deutsche Bank AG In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is Deutsche Bank AG stock price?

On 2024-03-27, Deutsche Bank AG (DB-N) stock closed at a price of $15.96.