Arc Resources Ltd

ARX-T

TSE:ARX

7.72
0.01 (0.13%)
ARC was founded in 1996 as a royalty trust with the acquisition of 21 properties from Mobil Oil Canada. The acquisition was funded by an initial IPO of $180 million on the Toronto Stock Exchange.
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Analysis and Opinions about ARX-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
BUY
BUY
August 26, 2019

Their balance sheet is one of the stronger ones out there. They have said they are supportive of their 11% dividend. He thinks it is secure. They are on the fairway of LNG.

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Their balance sheet is one of the stronger ones out there. They have said they are supportive of their 11% dividend. He thinks it is secure. They are on the fairway of LNG.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 21, 2019

(A Top Pick Jun 25/18, Down 50%) Was more bullish on energy then. LNG permits and approvals were happening, but the funds have not been flowing into energy. Should probably look into integrated major like Suncor right now. Need to see LNG facilities operating before the stock can take off. Good dividend with low cost and low debt. Energy has been a tough sector.

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(A Top Pick Jun 25/18, Down 50%) Was more bullish on energy then. LNG permits and approvals were happening, but the funds have not been flowing into energy. Should probably look into integrated major like Suncor right now. Need to see LNG facilities operating before the stock can take off. Good dividend with low cost and low debt. Energy has been a tough sector.

HOLD
HOLD
August 7, 2019

Dividend is approaching 14%. Too good to be true? No. He used to own this. Trades at 0.6x book value, an all-time low. Dividend is safe. LNG will get built on the west coast, so be patient and get paid to wait.

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Dividend is approaching 14%. Too good to be true? No. He used to own this. Trades at 0.6x book value, an all-time low. Dividend is safe. LNG will get built on the west coast, so be patient and get paid to wait.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 26, 2019
They barely cover their dividend, near 100% payout ratio. They have a good balance sheet. It's a cheap energy stock, but there are many these stocks. ARX has no price momentum--that's their problem. He's neutral on it.
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They barely cover their dividend, near 100% payout ratio. They have a good balance sheet. It's a cheap energy stock, but there are many these stocks. ARX has no price momentum--that's their problem. He's neutral on it.
BUY
BUY
July 25, 2019
Strong balance sheet. Very cheap. No problem with the dividend. But nat gas is in the doghouse right now. A quality name. Wants to do some homework on it, and may buy. Massive upside here. Yield is 9.6%.
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Strong balance sheet. Very cheap. No problem with the dividend. But nat gas is in the doghouse right now. A quality name. Wants to do some homework on it, and may buy. Massive upside here. Yield is 9.6%.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 24, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 16/18, Down 52%) It really should not be down. He does not think the dividend is under threat as the balance sheet is strong. It has light crude exposure. He would look to buy more here. He thinks they should buy back their stock. Yield 9.4%
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(A Top Pick Jul 16/18, Down 52%) It really should not be down. He does not think the dividend is under threat as the balance sheet is strong. It has light crude exposure. He would look to buy more here. He thinks they should buy back their stock. Yield 9.4%
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 19, 2019
The CEO believes their 9.6% yield is sustainable. They will cut capex and defer growth to protect the balance sheet. So, the yield is safe, but don't expect growth.
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The CEO believes their 9.6% yield is sustainable. They will cut capex and defer growth to protect the balance sheet. So, the yield is safe, but don't expect growth.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 16, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 03/18, Down 49%) The company made the same amount of money in Q1 as last year. He is perplexed by the market sentiment. The dividend is over 9% and he thinks they will not cut it at current oil and gas prices. Oil accounts for 70% of their cash flow. A bargain and he continues to buy. Yield 9.2%
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(A Top Pick Jul 03/18, Down 49%) The company made the same amount of money in Q1 as last year. He is perplexed by the market sentiment. The dividend is over 9% and he thinks they will not cut it at current oil and gas prices. Oil accounts for 70% of their cash flow. A bargain and he continues to buy. Yield 9.2%
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
July 16, 2019
He does not think the dividend will be cut, unless commodity values drop sharply or they decide to use capital to buy back shares. They have a huge undeveloped land holding position. The management team is building the company for the next decade. He has faith in them. Yield 9.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.37)
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He does not think the dividend will be cut, unless commodity values drop sharply or they decide to use capital to buy back shares. They have a huge undeveloped land holding position. The management team is building the company for the next decade. He has faith in them. Yield 9.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.37)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 16, 2019
Its trend channel is heading south, not north. If it stops making lower lows and lower highs, it may start basing, which would be good. It's not going sideways yet, but keeps going down.
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Its trend channel is heading south, not north. If it stops making lower lows and lower highs, it may start basing, which would be good. It's not going sideways yet, but keeps going down.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 9, 2019
A weak stock and if the market tumbles, the dividend will get cut.
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A weak stock and if the market tumbles, the dividend will get cut.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 3, 2019
A really good company with great properties. But it doesn't matter as their base is natural gas, where prices are not going any where. It may look cheap as a stock, but it is not changing anytime soon.
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A really good company with great properties. But it doesn't matter as their base is natural gas, where prices are not going any where. It may look cheap as a stock, but it is not changing anytime soon.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 14, 2019
Dividend can get cut at any time. They'll do it to protect the balance sheet at any cost, and the stock may go up. Methodical execution. As long as there's a conventional oil and gas business, ARC will be there.
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Dividend can get cut at any time. They'll do it to protect the balance sheet at any cost, and the stock may go up. Methodical execution. As long as there's a conventional oil and gas business, ARC will be there.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 7, 2019
It's in no-man's land now. Avoid new lows like this. This could fall to $5.
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It's in no-man's land now. Avoid new lows like this. This could fall to $5.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
May 24, 2019
Their debt is very low and acceptable and have lots of cash. Book value is over $10 per share. A high yield and good company in the right fairway. They are liquids rich. He thinks this is a very cheap stock, but there are so many others that you can own. There could be another 5-10% downside for weakness. Yield 7.5%.
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Their debt is very low and acceptable and have lots of cash. Book value is over $10 per share. A high yield and good company in the right fairway. They are liquids rich. He thinks this is a very cheap stock, but there are so many others that you can own. There could be another 5-10% downside for weakness. Yield 7.5%.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
May 23, 2019
It is getting kicked out of the MSCI world index tomorrow and going into the small cap index. It got beaten up and so he is recommending it for an energy stock. (Analysts’ price target is $13.23)
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It is getting kicked out of the MSCI world index tomorrow and going into the small cap index. It got beaten up and so he is recommending it for an energy stock. (Analysts’ price target is $13.23)
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 10, 2019
(A Top Pick Apr 05/18, Down 42%) He got stopped out. Crude prices have not rallied, so the stock has not improved. Energy is great value at the moment, but this would not be his first entry back into the space.
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(A Top Pick Apr 05/18, Down 42%) He got stopped out. Crude prices have not rallied, so the stock has not improved. Energy is great value at the moment, but this would not be his first entry back into the space.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
April 30, 2019
The disparity in oil stocks between fundamentals and share prices has never been wider, but ARX falls into a nice middle ground. It's been hit the last few days on weak gas prices, but two-thirds of cash flows are supported by oil, but they also have long-term exposure to LNG Canada and LPG export. Plus, they're marketing their products to the States. Well-run and you get paid a 7% dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $13.53)
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The disparity in oil stocks between fundamentals and share prices has never been wider, but ARX falls into a nice middle ground. It's been hit the last few days on weak gas prices, but two-thirds of cash flows are supported by oil, but they also have long-term exposure to LNG Canada and LPG export. Plus, they're marketing their products to the States. Well-run and you get paid a 7% dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $13.53)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 30, 2019
Still on its long downtrend.
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Still on its long downtrend.
HOLD
HOLD
April 26, 2019
It is an ultra-high level quality company that has been impacted by its exposure to natural gas production. It only trades at 3-4 times cash flow, when it used to trade at 8 times. The lack of trading liquidity in the space is holding back valuations. The only knock is that they are outspending cash flow this year. A short term issue. A solid name.
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It is an ultra-high level quality company that has been impacted by its exposure to natural gas production. It only trades at 3-4 times cash flow, when it used to trade at 8 times. The lack of trading liquidity in the space is holding back valuations. The only knock is that they are outspending cash flow this year. A short term issue. A solid name.
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 18, 2019
Stock is cheap here. Pays a monthly dividend of almost 7%. Book value is $10.39. All natural gas stocks have been beat up. Paid down debt, and equity's gone up. Decent balance sheet. Sitting in the fairway that will benefit from LNG exports 3-4 years from now. Not on his list, but sees the merits of owning it.
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Stock is cheap here. Pays a monthly dividend of almost 7%. Book value is $10.39. All natural gas stocks have been beat up. Paid down debt, and equity's gone up. Decent balance sheet. Sitting in the fairway that will benefit from LNG exports 3-4 years from now. Not on his list, but sees the merits of owning it.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 17, 2019
He used to own it. A great company, but it produces natural gas in Northern BC. The market fundamentals are awful there. He sold out at $14 and he is glad to not own it.
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He used to own it. A great company, but it produces natural gas in Northern BC. The market fundamentals are awful there. He sold out at $14 and he is glad to not own it.
BUY
BUY
April 11, 2019
He sold at the end of the year. This has historically been one of the best run companies. They are caught up in the lack of ability to get gas out of the country. You are getting paid to wait. Consider adding to it here. When these stocks go up, they go up a lot.
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He sold at the end of the year. This has historically been one of the best run companies. They are caught up in the lack of ability to get gas out of the country. You are getting paid to wait. Consider adding to it here. When these stocks go up, they go up a lot.
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
April 3, 2019
Pays a good dividend of 6.7%. He likes it now to play the energy sector. It's come down a lot over time but is now in a seasonal period. Lighten up around June.
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Pays a good dividend of 6.7%. He likes it now to play the energy sector. It's come down a lot over time but is now in a seasonal period. Lighten up around June.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 2, 2019
One of the better operators in Alberta. But as underlying price drops, constant pressure on the company. At these levels, as long as you're at 100% payout ratio, you're probably fine. But if oil price dips, they'll have to reduce capex or dividends, and that's not growth. He's not looking at these levels.
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One of the better operators in Alberta. But as underlying price drops, constant pressure on the company. At these levels, as long as you're at 100% payout ratio, you're probably fine. But if oil price dips, they'll have to reduce capex or dividends, and that's not growth. He's not looking at these levels.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 20, 2019
26% of production is in liquids. Strong balance sheet in a depressed industry. PAys a 6.34% dividend (Analysts’ price target is $13.36)
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26% of production is in liquids. Strong balance sheet in a depressed industry. PAys a 6.34% dividend (Analysts’ price target is $13.36)
HOLD
HOLD
February 27, 2019
Conservative management team. They have re-geared their business around the Montney region. Cash flow today is not a great reflection of what the future will be, he thinks. The dividend has held around 5-6% and he plans to hold for the long term. Yield 5.8%
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Arc Resources Ltd (ARX-T)
February 27, 2019
Conservative management team. They have re-geared their business around the Montney region. Cash flow today is not a great reflection of what the future will be, he thinks. The dividend has held around 5-6% and he plans to hold for the long term. Yield 5.8%
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
January 24, 2019
The stock has been devastated. Debt is not a concern. They are producing well. It is a high quality name.
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Arc Resources Ltd (ARX-T)
January 24, 2019
The stock has been devastated. Debt is not a concern. They are producing well. It is a high quality name.
HOLD
HOLD
January 18, 2019
Is the dividend safe? He owned it a while ago. It is a really good company with good management and a pristine balance sheet. Even still the stock has not done well, due to the low natural gas prices and no sign of improvement. He is cautious on the dividend and thinks it depends on the natural gas price going forward. He would continue to hold it.
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Arc Resources Ltd (ARX-T)
January 18, 2019
Is the dividend safe? He owned it a while ago. It is a really good company with good management and a pristine balance sheet. Even still the stock has not done well, due to the low natural gas prices and no sign of improvement. He is cautious on the dividend and thinks it depends on the natural gas price going forward. He would continue to hold it.
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
January 18, 2019
A great company, but the oil price is hurting them. 143% 2020 payout ratio, so the dividend is not safe. 6.5x earnings, cheaper than the past 5 years, but that's high compared to their peers. That said, it's a quality name. You can own this if you expect oil prices to rise.
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Arc Resources Ltd (ARX-T)
January 18, 2019
A great company, but the oil price is hurting them. 143% 2020 payout ratio, so the dividend is not safe. 6.5x earnings, cheaper than the past 5 years, but that's high compared to their peers. That said, it's a quality name. You can own this if you expect oil prices to rise.
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