Philip Morris International

PM-N

Analysis and Opinions about PM-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 9, 2015

They have diversified into some food businesses. Smokeless tobacco has not been that big for them. 4.8% yield. You can go to other sectors without the same degree of risk.

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They have diversified into some food businesses. Smokeless tobacco has not been that big for them. 4.8% yield. You can go to other sectors without the same degree of risk.

BUY
BUY
September 8, 2015

Scores really well on a relative price momentum basis and volatility. A little expensive at 12X EBITDA and 18X price to free cash flow. Good yield of 5.2%. Balance sheet is in great shape. He would be comfortable holding this here.

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Scores really well on a relative price momentum basis and volatility. A little expensive at 12X EBITDA and 18X price to free cash flow. Good yield of 5.2%. Balance sheet is in great shape. He would be comfortable holding this here.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 12, 2015

An industry that is in secular decline with a lot of regulatory pressure. Over the long-term he doesn’t think it is a business that you particularly want to be invested in. Sentiment is swinging even more towards anti-smoking and anti-tobacco products. He would avoid this stock.

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An industry that is in secular decline with a lot of regulatory pressure. Over the long-term he doesn’t think it is a business that you particularly want to be invested in. Sentiment is swinging even more towards anti-smoking and anti-tobacco products. He would avoid this stock.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 9, 2015

He has an issue that 40% of the S&P earnings come from abroad so it makes it challenging for companies that have even higher international exposure and this one is much higher.

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He has an issue that 40% of the S&P earnings come from abroad so it makes it challenging for companies that have even higher international exposure and this one is much higher.

BUY
BUY
November 20, 2014

Look at the dividend growth history. It has been very regular. He is big fans of this category. As a business model they are very attractive. Not expensive because of the regulatory risk.

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Look at the dividend growth history. It has been very regular. He is big fans of this category. As a business model they are very attractive. Not expensive because of the regulatory risk.

BUY
BUY
October 9, 2014

In the developed economies, there is less cigarette consumption so it is more of a volume and pricing story. Because of their perceived litigation risks, these companies trade at quite low multiples and they tend to increase their dividends very regularly. He prefers British-American Tobacco (BTI-A), but likes this one as well. He would suggest that you buy this, hold it and put it away.

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In the developed economies, there is less cigarette consumption so it is more of a volume and pricing story. Because of their perceived litigation risks, these companies trade at quite low multiples and they tend to increase their dividends very regularly. He prefers British-American Tobacco (BTI-A), but likes this one as well. He would suggest that you buy this, hold it and put it away.

HOLD
HOLD
July 25, 2014

Likes the sin stocks and tobacco has been a great investment longer-term. Prefers British American Tobacco (BTI-A) because it doesn’t have the same level of liability risk. Indonesia and Vietnam are big growth drivers for them. Longer-term you should be fine.

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Likes the sin stocks and tobacco has been a great investment longer-term. Prefers British American Tobacco (BTI-A) because it doesn’t have the same level of liability risk. Indonesia and Vietnam are big growth drivers for them. Longer-term you should be fine.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 10, 2014

Doesn’t think you are going to get a lot of growth out of this. Cigarettes are on the downturn. This is a cash flow income investment, and in this low rate environment, it will find winners. From a growth point of view, no. It is pretty clear that over time, your capital will go down.

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Doesn’t think you are going to get a lot of growth out of this. Cigarettes are on the downturn. This is a cash flow income investment, and in this low rate environment, it will find winners. From a growth point of view, no. It is pretty clear that over time, your capital will go down.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 16, 2014

A Top Pick (May 2/13. Down 2.17%.) Over time, this company has generated a lot of value for him. The stock has been down because of currency movement. It is a very international company.

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A Top Pick (May 2/13. Down 2.17%.) Over time, this company has generated a lot of value for him. The stock has been down because of currency movement. It is a very international company.

COMMENT
COMMENT
April 9, 2014

Doesn’t see growth in the industry. Globally he is seeing a declining smoking rate. Has a hard time investing in a business that is so bad for you.

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Doesn’t see growth in the industry. Globally he is seeing a declining smoking rate. Has a hard time investing in a business that is so bad for you.

BUY
BUY
March 24, 2014

Likes this over the long-term. Had a bit of a pull back over the last year, primarily because of foreign exchange, but looking back over the last 10 years, it is one of those great consumer product companies that just generates gobs of free cash flow. At these levels, it is becoming it pretty compelling investment.

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Likes this over the long-term. Had a bit of a pull back over the last year, primarily because of foreign exchange, but looking back over the last 10 years, it is one of those great consumer product companies that just generates gobs of free cash flow. At these levels, it is becoming it pretty compelling investment.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
March 6, 2014

Everyone is aware of the health concern. Play on Indonesia and Vietnam because they are big smokers there. Prefers BTI-A.

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Everyone is aware of the health concern. Play on Indonesia and Vietnam because they are big smokers there. Prefers BTI-A.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 5, 2014

Cash generating machine. The long term growth outlook is not so robust in developed markets. Growth in emerging markets. Going to underperform in this environment. It is more defensive. Not interested in that category which will decline in the long term.

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Cash generating machine. The long term growth outlook is not so robust in developed markets. Growth in emerging markets. Going to underperform in this environment. It is more defensive. Not interested in that category which will decline in the long term.

WAIT
WAIT
February 20, 2014

The best time is in the summer time until the end of the year. We are in a downtrend and it might set up.

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The best time is in the summer time until the end of the year. We are in a downtrend and it might set up.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 29, 2014

The attractive thing about this is the dividend yield. As interest rates start to rise, dividend attractive companies have less appeal. The company itself is still doing very well. Internationally there is more and more resistance to smoking. However, 20% of the people globally still smoke. Outside of China, this company controls about 29% of the market. They have also moved aggressively into electronic smoking. At 14.5X earnings, this is a pretty good place to be.

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The attractive thing about this is the dividend yield. As interest rates start to rise, dividend attractive companies have less appeal. The company itself is still doing very well. Internationally there is more and more resistance to smoking. However, 20% of the people globally still smoke. Outside of China, this company controls about 29% of the market. They have also moved aggressively into electronic smoking. At 14.5X earnings, this is a pretty good place to be.

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