Canadian Pacific Rail

CP-T

TSE:CP

358.88
3.97 (1.09%)
The Canadian Pacific Railway, also known formerly as CP Rail between 1968 and 1996, is a historic Canadian Class I railroad incorporated in 1881.
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Analysis and Opinions about CP-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
February 12, 2020
(A Top Pick Jun 27/19, Up 18%) Kansas City Southern and CP have both come out of multi-year consolidations and will benefit from a stronger economy and pick-up in trade.
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(A Top Pick Jun 27/19, Up 18%) Kansas City Southern and CP have both come out of multi-year consolidations and will benefit from a stronger economy and pick-up in trade.
BUY
BUY
February 10, 2020

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He likes the rails. There is no possibility of another national rail network in the US or Canada. He thinks CP-T has more levers to pull to offset volume declines in 2020. They have more projects they can do to offset mining sector headwinds.

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CP-T vs. CNR-T. He likes the rails. There is no possibility of another national rail network in the US or Canada. He thinks CP-T has more levers to pull to offset volume declines in 2020. They have more projects they can do to offset mining sector headwinds.

Varun Anand

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Price
$355.230
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
January 16, 2020

CP-T vs. CNR-T. CP-T was at $220 in 2014 and broke out from there last year. It consolidated for 5 years. This is a great way to participate in economic growth.

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CP-T vs. CNR-T. CP-T was at $220 in 2014 and broke out from there last year. It consolidated for 5 years. This is a great way to participate in economic growth.

BUY
BUY
January 10, 2020

CP vs. CN Own both, but he prefers the cheaper CP. Same growth rate; he sees 10% EPS growth. Crude by rail will extend to 10 years and not stop soon. CP's balance sheet is weaker, though. CN trades at 18x PE, CP and 15.6x.

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CP vs. CN Own both, but he prefers the cheaper CP. Same growth rate; he sees 10% EPS growth. Crude by rail will extend to 10 years and not stop soon. CP's balance sheet is weaker, though. CN trades at 18x PE, CP and 15.6x.

Greg Newman

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Price
$337.100
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
January 7, 2020
Impact of pipelines? Has done very well. Rails are seasonal now to April. The pipeline impact won't be immediate, but long-term, when the pipelines are nearly completed. CP is in an uptrend now. He likes CP.
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Impact of pipelines? Has done very well. Rails are seasonal now to April. The pipeline impact won't be immediate, but long-term, when the pipelines are nearly completed. CP is in an uptrend now. He likes CP.
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 30, 2019
They mostly run east-west and are commodity-oriented. So, if oil shipping declines, so will CP's earnings. The rails are a bet on the Canadian economy continuing to do well and we don't fall into recession. But if markets drop 20-40% and the economy tanks, so will rails fall.
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They mostly run east-west and are commodity-oriented. So, if oil shipping declines, so will CP's earnings. The rails are a bet on the Canadian economy continuing to do well and we don't fall into recession. But if markets drop 20-40% and the economy tanks, so will rails fall.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 11, 2019
(A Top Pick Dec 19/18, Up 36%) They had very good looking growth back then. The multiples still look like pretty good value. If recent manufacturing weakness does not spill into the full economy you could buy here as we..
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(A Top Pick Dec 19/18, Up 36%) They had very good looking growth back then. The multiples still look like pretty good value. If recent manufacturing weakness does not spill into the full economy you could buy here as we..
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 12, 2019
She owns CN instead, because it's the best rail in the industry. The rails have had a nice lift this year. CP has been investing in capacity this year. The rails will continue to benefit from crude-by-rail.
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She owns CN instead, because it's the best rail in the industry. The rails have had a nice lift this year. CP has been investing in capacity this year. The rails will continue to benefit from crude-by-rail.
BUY
BUY
October 24, 2019

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He owns CP-T and not CNR-T although both are excellent. He prefers Canadian rails to US rails. Both just reported modest volume headwinds but CNR-T had to cut their guidance and CP-T did not. The cuts are transitory in nature for both but over the next couple of years CP-T is positioned better to navigate through these volume headwinds.

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CP-T vs. CNR-T. He owns CP-T and not CNR-T although both are excellent. He prefers Canadian rails to US rails. Both just reported modest volume headwinds but CNR-T had to cut their guidance and CP-T did not. The cuts are transitory in nature for both but over the next couple of years CP-T is positioned better to navigate through these volume headwinds.

BUY
BUY
October 21, 2019

CNR-T vs. CP-T. He is optimistic with respect to the rails. You get about 3/4ths of your lift when the industry picks up. CNR-T is slightly better than CP-T but the difference is not massive.

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CNR-T vs. CP-T. He is optimistic with respect to the rails. You get about 3/4ths of your lift when the industry picks up. CNR-T is slightly better than CP-T but the difference is not massive.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
October 1, 2019
(A Top Pick Aug 13/19, Down 7%) This year, it had an uptrend, then has consolidated since June. There's more downside to come. We are testing support levels now. He still likes it.
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(A Top Pick Aug 13/19, Down 7%) This year, it had an uptrend, then has consolidated since June. There's more downside to come. We are testing support levels now. He still likes it.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 30, 2019
(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 13%) He is getting indications that it is starting to run out of gas and he sold it in his fund. It is not an active candidate for purchase.
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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T)
September 30, 2019
(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 13%) He is getting indications that it is starting to run out of gas and he sold it in his fund. It is not an active candidate for purchase.
BUY
BUY
September 26, 2019

CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.

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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T)
September 26, 2019

CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.

HOLD
HOLD
September 25, 2019
If the economy slows, their revenues will drop. They are a high valuation right now. Over the long term it will be okay, but you will not receive a giant return -- more of a grind out story.
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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T)
September 25, 2019
If the economy slows, their revenues will drop. They are a high valuation right now. Over the long term it will be okay, but you will not receive a giant return -- more of a grind out story.
John Kim

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Price
$292.120
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 23, 2019
In light of potential trade wars, could this rail come down? Both of our rails are great moat businesses and incredibly well run. They are cyclical and are capital intensive businesses. If you look at the long term, their maintenance capital is higher than they book for depreciation, so their earnings quality is lower. Lower commodities would impact the bottom line. They are highly owned by US shareholders.
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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T)
September 23, 2019
In light of potential trade wars, could this rail come down? Both of our rails are great moat businesses and incredibly well run. They are cyclical and are capital intensive businesses. If you look at the long term, their maintenance capital is higher than they book for depreciation, so their earnings quality is lower. Lower commodities would impact the bottom line. They are highly owned by US shareholders.
HOLD
HOLD
September 20, 2019

He owns CNR-T over CP-T and CSX-Q in the US. CP-T is more grain and resource orientated -- East to West. CNR-T has more exposure to the US markets. He would hold if you own and wait for a pullback to buy more.

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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T)
September 20, 2019

He owns CNR-T over CP-T and CSX-Q in the US. CP-T is more grain and resource orientated -- East to West. CNR-T has more exposure to the US markets. He would hold if you own and wait for a pullback to buy more.

WATCH
WATCH
September 9, 2019

It could come under pressure with a commodities downturn. He would be more enthusiastic about jumping in if it was 15% lower. He feels the same about CNR-T

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It could come under pressure with a commodities downturn. He would be more enthusiastic about jumping in if it was 15% lower. He feels the same about CNR-T

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 13, 2019

For the last three months, it's been in sidways consolidation, and before that it consolidated at a slightly lower level before it broke out to the upsside. There's still upside with CP. He owns a lot of CN and expects CP to also do well. (Analysts’ price target is $338.32)

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For the last three months, it's been in sidways consolidation, and before that it consolidated at a slightly lower level before it broke out to the upsside. There's still upside with CP. He owns a lot of CN and expects CP to also do well. (Analysts’ price target is $338.32)

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 12, 2019

(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 16%) He swapped out to CNR-T. He is still in the space. The fact that rails have not 'come off the rails' is an endorsement that as long as we have economic headwinds, things are cooking along. You'll do well in either name a year from now.

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(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 16%) He swapped out to CNR-T. He is still in the space. The fact that rails have not 'come off the rails' is an endorsement that as long as we have economic headwinds, things are cooking along. You'll do well in either name a year from now.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 1, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 24/18, Up 28%) Freight volumes are strong. In Canada, there is the added opportunity to move oil by rail. Earnings estimates continue to grow as sales were up 15%. Free cash flow grew by 44%. He still owns it personally.
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(A Top Pick Jul 24/18, Up 28%) Freight volumes are strong. In Canada, there is the added opportunity to move oil by rail. Earnings estimates continue to grow as sales were up 15%. Free cash flow grew by 44%. He still owns it personally.
HOLD
HOLD
July 16, 2019

CP-T earnings have improved with revenues up in all their businesses. He holds CNR-T instead. He would not buy more at these valuations. If you are playing the oil by rail strategy, he would prefer CNR-T as it has more incremental market opportunity as it ships south into the US. He is not adding adding to his position.

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CP-T earnings have improved with revenues up in all their businesses. He holds CNR-T instead. He would not buy more at these valuations. If you are playing the oil by rail strategy, he would prefer CNR-T as it has more incremental market opportunity as it ships south into the US. He is not adding adding to his position.

BUY
BUY
July 15, 2019

CN vs. CP CN, which he owns. It has more growth potential shipping north-south as opposed to east-west in CP. CP also has a cheaper valuation and is a little less dependent on the prices of commodities. Both perform in line though.

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CN vs. CP CN, which he owns. It has more growth potential shipping north-south as opposed to east-west in CP. CP also has a cheaper valuation and is a little less dependent on the prices of commodities. Both perform in line though.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 27, 2019
He really likes this one because they are great operators. They have a new deal with inter-modal with a Chinese shipping company that can grow their business in inter-modal by 10-20% per year over the next 3 years. Their crude by rail has much better pricing power now. They have an opportunity to add to their multiple. They are the only one guiding to higher earnings rather than lower earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $324.36)
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He really likes this one because they are great operators. They have a new deal with inter-modal with a Chinese shipping company that can grow their business in inter-modal by 10-20% per year over the next 3 years. Their crude by rail has much better pricing power now. They have an opportunity to add to their multiple. They are the only one guiding to higher earnings rather than lower earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $324.36)
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2019

CN vs CP The major difference is CN-R goes more North-South into the US. CP-T goes more across Canada. Both trade with similar yields. He does not own either. Both are good for a long term investment. It is splitting hairs deciding on which one to have.

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CN vs CP The major difference is CN-R goes more North-South into the US. CP-T goes more across Canada. Both trade with similar yields. He does not own either. Both are good for a long term investment. It is splitting hairs deciding on which one to have.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 13, 2019
Very well run for a long time. Stable business. Stock should move around less than the market. Revenues are secure. Subject to trade considerations. If trade slows down, they'll be hit. Beneficiary of no new pipelines. Losers if car sales go down, or if we can't sell grain or soybeans to China.
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Very well run for a long time. Stable business. Stock should move around less than the market. Revenues are secure. Subject to trade considerations. If trade slows down, they'll be hit. Beneficiary of no new pipelines. Losers if car sales go down, or if we can't sell grain or soybeans to China.
BUY
BUY
May 10, 2019
Transportation is cyclical. Tends to do better October - May. Optimal time is between December - April, good rate of success. Recently, broke out of head and shoulders bottoming pattern. Went parabolic, now consolidating. Trend is still in your favour. A buy.
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Transportation is cyclical. Tends to do better October - May. Optimal time is between December - April, good rate of success. Recently, broke out of head and shoulders bottoming pattern. Went parabolic, now consolidating. Trend is still in your favour. A buy.
Jon Vialoux

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Price
$294.400
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 7, 2019
Valuations are too high among the rails, so he doesn't own any. But strong dividend growth and balance sheets. Hold, if you own. Maybe buy on a pullback.
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Valuations are too high among the rails, so he doesn't own any. But strong dividend growth and balance sheets. Hold, if you own. Maybe buy on a pullback.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 6, 2019
(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 12%) Pure pre-growth. It will go sideways along $300 for a while after bouncing since the start oft he year. It may rise during the summer, but will fall back to current levels.
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(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 12%) Pure pre-growth. It will go sideways along $300 for a while after bouncing since the start oft he year. It may rise during the summer, but will fall back to current levels.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 29, 2019
(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 14%) The rails both offer upside, though he owns neither now.
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(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 14%) The rails both offer upside, though he owns neither now.
BUY
BUY
April 18, 2019
The rails are stickhandling through the economy very well. Uncertainties include China refusing some crops. This is an economy stock, and the economy is chugging along at 2%. Oil shipments out of Alberta should continue for a while. Efficiencies in new track laid continue to creep into the system. The rails will do well as long as the economy does.
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The rails are stickhandling through the economy very well. Uncertainties include China refusing some crops. This is an economy stock, and the economy is chugging along at 2%. Oil shipments out of Alberta should continue for a while. Efficiencies in new track laid continue to creep into the system. The rails will do well as long as the economy does.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 12, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 24/18, Up 15%) With a large movement of commodities in North America, this has done well. There is a big push in Canada to haul oil by rail for the next couple of years.
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(A Top Pick Jul 24/18, Up 15%) With a large movement of commodities in North America, this has done well. There is a big push in Canada to haul oil by rail for the next couple of years.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 20, 2019
CP vs. CN He feels the same way about both rails (see his CP comments). CP has very good exposure to grain. It will benefit from more Alberta oil shipments. Done well reducing expenses, but both rails are selling at premium multiples, too high for him. He'd be cautious stepping into either today.
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CP vs. CN He feels the same way about both rails (see his CP comments). CP has very good exposure to grain. It will benefit from more Alberta oil shipments. Done well reducing expenses, but both rails are selling at premium multiples, too high for him. He'd be cautious stepping into either today.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
March 11, 2019
CNR-T vs. CP-T It depends on your stage of life. CNR-T is more diversified. CP-T is more Canadian concentrated. He would go with CNR-T because of this. They should do better this year. If the economy got rougher, CP-T would drop off more.
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CNR-T vs. CP-T It depends on your stage of life. CNR-T is more diversified. CP-T is more Canadian concentrated. He would go with CNR-T because of this. They should do better this year. If the economy got rougher, CP-T would drop off more.
Teal Linde

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Price
$276.220
Owned
Unknown
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
February 4, 2019
If you have a pro-growth movement in markets going forward, you have to have an investment like this. They are at the core of this theme. $280 will be its next move. It has really good support at $240. It is trading at a discount to its forward PE. Everything is pointing in the right direction for this. Seasonality for rails kicks in right now. (Analysts’ price target is $300.94)
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If you have a pro-growth movement in markets going forward, you have to have an investment like this. They are at the core of this theme. $280 will be its next move. It has really good support at $240. It is trading at a discount to its forward PE. Everything is pointing in the right direction for this. Seasonality for rails kicks in right now. (Analysts’ price target is $300.94)
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 18, 2019
He owns CNR-T instead. He likes their ownership and management and it has a good US footprint. CP-T has too big of a commodity exposure for him. He likes the outlook for railways overall.
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He owns CNR-T instead. He likes their ownership and management and it has a good US footprint. CP-T has too big of a commodity exposure for him. He likes the outlook for railways overall.
BUY
BUY
January 17, 2019
Railroads. CNR-T vs. CP-T. Railroads are a great industry. A duopoly in Canada. CP-T is the more profitable operator and he favours it.
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Railroads. CNR-T vs. CP-T. Railroads are a great industry. A duopoly in Canada. CP-T is the more profitable operator and he favours it.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 19, 2018

Quality name that has gone on sale. Q3 was very strong with improvising efficiencies. They are doing a buy back. Modeling 16% growth with a name trading at 14 times 2019 earnings. If the economy is fine, which it is their base case, this is a name you want to be buying now. (Analysts’ price target is $312.47)

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Quality name that has gone on sale. Q3 was very strong with improvising efficiencies. They are doing a buy back. Modeling 16% growth with a name trading at 14 times 2019 earnings. If the economy is fine, which it is their base case, this is a name you want to be buying now. (Analysts’ price target is $312.47)

BUY
BUY
December 10, 2018
CP vs. CN It's as good as the Canadian economy. Ottawa's policies haven't been kind to our economy. CP vs. CN depends on their pricing at a given time. CN has a better network across North America, whereas CP is more Canadian. Both are good railroads.
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CP vs. CN It's as good as the Canadian economy. Ottawa's policies haven't been kind to our economy. CP vs. CN depends on their pricing at a given time. CN has a better network across North America, whereas CP is more Canadian. Both are good railroads.
BUY
BUY
November 28, 2018
CP vs. CN He likes and owns both. You're good to own either. Crude by rail is a tailwind. CP: great price momentum and valuation; it ranks in the top 25% of all stocks for him. CN: Almost the same, also in the top 25% and scores slightly better than CP.
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CP vs. CN He likes and owns both. You're good to own either. Crude by rail is a tailwind. CP: great price momentum and valuation; it ranks in the top 25% of all stocks for him. CN: Almost the same, also in the top 25% and scores slightly better than CP.
BUY
BUY
November 1, 2018
CP-T vs. CNR-T.. They will trade in tandem. CNR has $100 as an entry point. CP-T should be bought at $250 or $225. There will be a consolidation period for a couple of months so you can pick away at the names. CP-T has taken over leadership in terms of relative performance.
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CP-T vs. CNR-T.. They will trade in tandem. CNR has $100 as an entry point. CP-T should be bought at $250 or $225. There will be a consolidation period for a couple of months so you can pick away at the names. CP-T has taken over leadership in terms of relative performance.
COMMENT
COMMENT
October 29, 2018

CN-T or CP-T? He owns CN and CSX in the U.S. He likes CN for its north-south traffic to the States--it's safer. CP is east-west (more Canadian). CN will benefit from shipping out Alberta oil to California. It costs $12 per barrel to ship it, but the low WCS cost makes it still worth it.

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