Alcoa

AA-N

Analysis and Opinions about AA-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 26, 2010
Global aluminium producer. Earnings were in line. Of all the base metals, she is not that positive on aluminium as she can see it being in a surplus in the next year or two.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 26, 2010
Global aluminium producer. Earnings were in line. Of all the base metals, she is not that positive on aluminium as she can see it being in a surplus in the next year or two.
SELL STRENGTH
SELL STRENGTH
May 31, 2010
Moves higher from end of November until end of April. There was a huge run then it peaked around April. Follows China Index.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
May 31, 2010
Moves higher from end of November until end of April. There was a huge run then it peaked around April. Follows China Index.
BUY
BUY
February 4, 2010
Has come down to around the 200-day moving average and trading around 16X forward earnings so looks interesting. Thanks it's due for a bounce. Likes the materials space.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
February 4, 2010
Has come down to around the 200-day moving average and trading around 16X forward earnings so looks interesting. Thanks it's due for a bounce. Likes the materials space.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 28, 2010
(Market Call Minute.) Focused on aluminium and Inventory levels are quite high. China is ramping up their production.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
January 28, 2010
(Market Call Minute.) Focused on aluminium and Inventory levels are quite high. China is ramping up their production.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 8, 2009
Somewhat over supplied. Has not delivered long term on earnings.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
September 8, 2009
Somewhat over supplied. Has not delivered long term on earnings.
BUY
BUY
August 25, 2009
Feels it will be a beneficiary of an improving economy as people gradually start to buy more houses and as they demand from China keeps growing.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
August 25, 2009
Feels it will be a beneficiary of an improving economy as people gradually start to buy more houses and as they demand from China keeps growing.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 30, 2009
There are better names available. Seems to be a mixed bag of revisions upwards and downwards on earnings growth.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 30, 2009
There are better names available. Seems to be a mixed bag of revisions upwards and downwards on earnings growth.
BUY
BUY
July 15, 2009
Screening well. Basically flat lined since November. In the industrial materials sector. An entry point now would be reasonable. To mitigate the stock going down or sideways you could write a Call Option on it. If you wrote a 1-month Call with a strike of $12 you might get about $.50 for doing that, which is a nice 5% premium.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 15, 2009
Screening well. Basically flat lined since November. In the industrial materials sector. An entry point now would be reasonable. To mitigate the stock going down or sideways you could write a Call Option on it. If you wrote a 1-month Call with a strike of $12 you might get about $.50 for doing that, which is a nice 5% premium.
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 10, 2009
Expect this one will go more sideways than up for the time being as the Chinese produce a lot of aluminium themselves and demand is going to come out of there. This company will benefit when we get the turn in the economy.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 10, 2009
Expect this one will go more sideways than up for the time being as the Chinese produce a lot of aluminium themselves and demand is going to come out of there. This company will benefit when we get the turn in the economy.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 3, 2009
Leveraged to global economic recovery and extremely leveraged to the auto and housing industries so you would have to be bullish on these sectors. Also aluminium has been one of the weaker commodities. Reasonably fairly valued but he is not investing in the cyclical type names in the short term.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 3, 2009
Leveraged to global economic recovery and extremely leveraged to the auto and housing industries so you would have to be bullish on these sectors. Also aluminium has been one of the weaker commodities. Reasonably fairly valued but he is not investing in the cyclical type names in the short term.
SELL
SELL
June 2, 2009
(Market Call Minute.) Has virtually doubled since March and now's the time to take profits.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
June 2, 2009
(Market Call Minute.) Has virtually doubled since March and now's the time to take profits.
SELL
SELL
April 23, 2009
(Market Call Minute) Aluminum is a metal where there isn’t a supply/demand imbalance.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
April 23, 2009
(Market Call Minute) Aluminum is a metal where there isn’t a supply/demand imbalance.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 19, 2009
Thinks it will start looking a lot more attractive but quantitatively it is not screening well right now. Weakness in the US$ should help. Writing options on this would make a lot of sense.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
March 19, 2009
Thinks it will start looking a lot more attractive but quantitatively it is not screening well right now. Weakness in the US$ should help. Writing options on this would make a lot of sense.
BUY
BUY
January 30, 2009
(Market Call Minute.) Forming a nice base. Looks like an interesting seasonal play.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
January 30, 2009
(Market Call Minute.) Forming a nice base. Looks like an interesting seasonal play.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 9, 2008
Stock got ahead of itself based on emerging market competition hiding. Some smelters recently closed down which should cut down on supply but stock continues to drop. Won't be priced on earnings but on expectations of the price of aluminium. Expects more downside.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
September 9, 2008
Stock got ahead of itself based on emerging market competition hiding. Some smelters recently closed down which should cut down on supply but stock continues to drop. Won't be priced on earnings but on expectations of the price of aluminium. Expects more downside.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 11, 2008
(Market Call Minute.) The model price is $43.87, a 3% positive differential.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
June 11, 2008
(Market Call Minute.) The model price is $43.87, a 3% positive differential.
BUY
BUY
May 21, 2008
Good benchmark of what you need to do if you believe in worldwide growth.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
May 21, 2008
Good benchmark of what you need to do if you believe in worldwide growth.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 8, 2008
He has a model price of $41.23, a positive 8% differential. He thinks the high on this one will probably be about $42.20 and if it broke up through there he would use $42.20 as a Stop.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
May 8, 2008
He has a model price of $41.23, a positive 8% differential. He thinks the high on this one will probably be about $42.20 and if it broke up through there he would use $42.20 as a Stop.
BUY
BUY
April 15, 2008
Will probably see basic materials types of stocks doing very well going forward. Have likely entered an inflationary cycle in the US causing dollar-based assets to inflated value and the ability to people selling materials to increase prices. There is also growth in demand, especially from the 3rd world.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
April 15, 2008
Will probably see basic materials types of stocks doing very well going forward. Have likely entered an inflationary cycle in the US causing dollar-based assets to inflated value and the ability to people selling materials to increase prices. There is also growth in demand, especially from the 3rd world.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 11, 2008
Of all the base metals, aluminum is the only one that is hitting new highs. This company is the only way to play it.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
March 11, 2008
Of all the base metals, aluminum is the only one that is hitting new highs. This company is the only way to play it.
BUY
BUY
February 7, 2008
There is still room to run because of the demands from the evolving economies for all the base metals.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
February 7, 2008
There is still room to run because of the demands from the evolving economies for all the base metals.
BUY
BUY
October 24, 2007
Have been watching it. The take over bid will be wrapped up soon. Doesn't leave many left. Could be a subject of a take-over.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
October 24, 2007
Have been watching it. The take over bid will be wrapped up soon. Doesn't leave many left. Could be a subject of a take-over.
BUY
BUY
September 13, 2007
Aluminium used in automobiles has doubled over the last two years. Reducing greenhouse gases by 25%, and landfill by 50%. Increasing “green energy” used (37% at the moment).
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
September 13, 2007
Aluminium used in automobiles has doubled over the last two years. Reducing greenhouse gases by 25%, and landfill by 50%. Increasing “green energy” used (37% at the moment).
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 28, 2007
Likes the aluminum business long-term. Expecting a scarcity factor with some of the other players disappearing. Looking for $7 plus in earnings next year, which would be worth 7-8X cash flow.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
August 28, 2007
Likes the aluminum business long-term. Expecting a scarcity factor with some of the other players disappearing. Looking for $7 plus in earnings next year, which would be worth 7-8X cash flow.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 3, 2007
Likes the aluminum space. Cheap at the moment.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
August 3, 2007
Likes the aluminum space. Cheap at the moment.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 27, 2007
His model price is $45.14 giving it an 18% positive differential. He is finding so much value elsewhere, that it is not in his portfolio. Would probably have to go 10%/15% lower before he is interested.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 27, 2007
His model price is $45.14 giving it an 18% positive differential. He is finding so much value elsewhere, that it is not in his portfolio. Would probably have to go 10%/15% lower before he is interested.
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 18, 2007
To own as a long-term aluminum investment, it is probably overpriced. If you are looking for takeover speculation, they are the last major independent aluminum producers.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
July 18, 2007
To own as a long-term aluminum investment, it is probably overpriced. If you are looking for takeover speculation, they are the last major independent aluminum producers.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 11, 2007
Some great assets, great managers. But he likes Alcan better.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
June 11, 2007
Some great assets, great managers. But he likes Alcan better.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
May 25, 2007
Enormously vulnerable to take out.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
May 25, 2007
Enormously vulnerable to take out.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 14, 2007
Trying to acquire Alcan (AL-T). Feels the hold aluminum industry is going to turn out quite well. Higher operating costs. Would prefer Alcan.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Alcoa (AA-N)
May 14, 2007
Trying to acquire Alcan (AL-T). Feels the hold aluminum industry is going to turn out quite well. Higher operating costs. Would prefer Alcan.
Showing 121 to 150 of 167 entries