Analysis and Opinions about AA-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 2, 2014

In general, he is not a big fan of the metals industry right now. A lot of capacity has been built in the last few years and China slowing down has an impact. However, this company is in a unique position. They have gotten rid of a lot of their commodity business and have focused on specialty products. Now focused on higher margin products.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
April 2, 2014

In general, he is not a big fan of the metals industry right now. A lot of capacity has been built in the last few years and China slowing down has an impact. However, this company is in a unique position. They have gotten rid of a lot of their commodity business and have focused on specialty products. Now focused on higher margin products.

SELL
SELL
February 27, 2014

(Market Call Minute) Commodity sector rolled over 18 months ago. AA has been a beneficiary of cyclical rally since.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 27, 2014

(Market Call Minute) Commodity sector rolled over 18 months ago. AA has been a beneficiary of cyclical rally since.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 26, 2014

F150 will have the amount of aluminum in it significantly increased. China has come down pretty hard on smelters who use a lot of electricity. Likely supply of aluminum coming out of China will lessen which is good for this stock.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 26, 2014

F150 will have the amount of aluminum in it significantly increased. China has come down pretty hard on smelters who use a lot of electricity. Likely supply of aluminum coming out of China will lessen which is good for this stock.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 29, 2014

Has trouble buying into companies that are really doing well because of cost-cutting. They really don’t control the front end of their business. Supply/demand metrics are still quite poor. There is much more supply than demand by about 700,000 tons. China really holds the trigger here on production.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 29, 2014

Has trouble buying into companies that are really doing well because of cost-cutting. They really don’t control the front end of their business. Supply/demand metrics are still quite poor. There is much more supply than demand by about 700,000 tons. China really holds the trigger here on production.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 8, 2014

Had been hoping to buy this last year at about $8.51. Reporting earnings tomorrow. Looking at it historically, it could quadruple from this point. Could be a buyer if it came down in price.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 8, 2014

Had been hoping to buy this last year at about $8.51. Reporting earnings tomorrow. Looking at it historically, it could quadruple from this point. Could be a buyer if it came down in price.

SELL
SELL
January 7, 2014

(Market Call Minute.) Had a good rally but got ahead of itself. She is not positive on aluminum so she would sell.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 7, 2014

(Market Call Minute.) Had a good rally but got ahead of itself. She is not positive on aluminum so she would sell.

BUY
BUY
January 6, 2014

Aluminum is a growth metal. There are new automobile emissions standards in the US in 2016 so there will be a big run up in aluminum usage in US autos, which usually filters through to the rest of the world. Very bullish on this company.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 6, 2014

Aluminum is a growth metal. There are new automobile emissions standards in the US in 2016 so there will be a big run up in aluminum usage in US autos, which usually filters through to the rest of the world. Very bullish on this company.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 12, 2013

Aluminum is a base metal that has always been in oversupply. Some would say it is higher cost supply, but it is abundant. This one is cheap for a good reason. 4.25% dividend, but not enough to hold on to it if you hold it. You have to have yield AND growth.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 12, 2013

Aluminum is a base metal that has always been in oversupply. Some would say it is higher cost supply, but it is abundant. This one is cheap for a good reason. 4.25% dividend, but not enough to hold on to it if you hold it. You have to have yield AND growth.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 7, 2013

Great company but he would prefer a much more diversified company in mining, such as Rio Tinto (RIO-N), BHP Billiton (BHP-N) and Vale (VALE-N) which would give you a little bit broader base of assets that they are working on.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 7, 2013

Great company but he would prefer a much more diversified company in mining, such as Rio Tinto (RIO-N), BHP Billiton (BHP-N) and Vale (VALE-N) which would give you a little bit broader base of assets that they are working on.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 29, 2013

If they warehouse aluminum that would be positive for demand/supply implying that aluminum prices should stabilize. She does not buy into the aluminum sector because there is excess supply.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 29, 2013

If they warehouse aluminum that would be positive for demand/supply implying that aluminum prices should stabilize. She does not buy into the aluminum sector because there is excess supply.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 21, 2013

He would not be a holder. They have no control over pricing. They have done that very well but not a great business model for him.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 21, 2013

He would not be a holder. They have no control over pricing. They have done that very well but not a great business model for him.

BUY
BUY
October 7, 2013

He sees peak earnings for this company in the $2-$3 range, sometime over the next 5 years. Traditionally, when this happens, it starts to trade at 10-15 times earnings and you end up with a huge winner. You have to have the patience to live through zero earnings periods that we are in right now. A lot of high cost production has come off stream so supply is getting constrained. This should push the price of aluminum up. He sees a big bump in earnings coming by 2016.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 7, 2013

He sees peak earnings for this company in the $2-$3 range, sometime over the next 5 years. Traditionally, when this happens, it starts to trade at 10-15 times earnings and you end up with a huge winner. You have to have the patience to live through zero earnings periods that we are in right now. A lot of high cost production has come off stream so supply is getting constrained. This should push the price of aluminum up. He sees a big bump in earnings coming by 2016.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 4, 2013

The issue with this company is that they are really not in complete control with their own destiny, i.e., China is a big aluminum producer. This is one of those situations where it is just a pure commodity play and because of this, he would steer clear.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 4, 2013

The issue with this company is that they are really not in complete control with their own destiny, i.e., China is a big aluminum producer. This is one of those situations where it is just a pure commodity play and because of this, he would steer clear.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 9, 2013

Just reported and beat expectations by a small amount. This is aluminum and this is a commodity that she does not have a positive outlook for. China is not an importer of aluminum. If the economic recovery continues this will be higher than what it is today but she doesn’t see a sustainable high aluminum price.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
July 9, 2013

Just reported and beat expectations by a small amount. This is aluminum and this is a commodity that she does not have a positive outlook for. China is not an importer of aluminum. If the economic recovery continues this will be higher than what it is today but she doesn’t see a sustainable high aluminum price.

BUY
BUY
July 2, 2013

The one he owns. Aluminum has been depressed for so long that he sees them rebounding earlier. He started buying at $8-$9 level and has been adding to it. You have to buy it when it is wildly out of favour. They are very sound and will benefit from the auto cycle. It is a contrarian play.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
July 2, 2013

The one he owns. Aluminum has been depressed for so long that he sees them rebounding earlier. He started buying at $8-$9 level and has been adding to it. You have to buy it when it is wildly out of favour. They are very sound and will benefit from the auto cycle. It is a contrarian play.

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