Analysis and Opinions about AA-N

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Opinion
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COMMENT
COMMENT
April 2, 2014

In general, he is not a big fan of the metals industry right now. A lot of capacity has been built in the last few years and China slowing down has an impact. However, this company is in a unique position. They have gotten rid of a lot of their commodity business and have focused on specialty products. Now focused on higher margin products.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
April 2, 2014

In general, he is not a big fan of the metals industry right now. A lot of capacity has been built in the last few years and China slowing down has an impact. However, this company is in a unique position. They have gotten rid of a lot of their commodity business and have focused on specialty products. Now focused on higher margin products.

SELL
SELL
February 27, 2014

(Market Call Minute) Commodity sector rolled over 18 months ago. AA has been a beneficiary of cyclical rally since.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 27, 2014

(Market Call Minute) Commodity sector rolled over 18 months ago. AA has been a beneficiary of cyclical rally since.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 26, 2014

F150 will have the amount of aluminum in it significantly increased. China has come down pretty hard on smelters who use a lot of electricity. Likely supply of aluminum coming out of China will lessen which is good for this stock.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 26, 2014

F150 will have the amount of aluminum in it significantly increased. China has come down pretty hard on smelters who use a lot of electricity. Likely supply of aluminum coming out of China will lessen which is good for this stock.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 29, 2014

Has trouble buying into companies that are really doing well because of cost-cutting. They really don’t control the front end of their business. Supply/demand metrics are still quite poor. There is much more supply than demand by about 700,000 tons. China really holds the trigger here on production.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 29, 2014

Has trouble buying into companies that are really doing well because of cost-cutting. They really don’t control the front end of their business. Supply/demand metrics are still quite poor. There is much more supply than demand by about 700,000 tons. China really holds the trigger here on production.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 8, 2014

Had been hoping to buy this last year at about $8.51. Reporting earnings tomorrow. Looking at it historically, it could quadruple from this point. Could be a buyer if it came down in price.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 8, 2014

Had been hoping to buy this last year at about $8.51. Reporting earnings tomorrow. Looking at it historically, it could quadruple from this point. Could be a buyer if it came down in price.

SELL
SELL
January 7, 2014

(Market Call Minute.) Had a good rally but got ahead of itself. She is not positive on aluminum so she would sell.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 7, 2014

(Market Call Minute.) Had a good rally but got ahead of itself. She is not positive on aluminum so she would sell.

BUY
BUY
January 6, 2014

Aluminum is a growth metal. There are new automobile emissions standards in the US in 2016 so there will be a big run up in aluminum usage in US autos, which usually filters through to the rest of the world. Very bullish on this company.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 6, 2014

Aluminum is a growth metal. There are new automobile emissions standards in the US in 2016 so there will be a big run up in aluminum usage in US autos, which usually filters through to the rest of the world. Very bullish on this company.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 12, 2013

Aluminum is a base metal that has always been in oversupply. Some would say it is higher cost supply, but it is abundant. This one is cheap for a good reason. 4.25% dividend, but not enough to hold on to it if you hold it. You have to have yield AND growth.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 12, 2013

Aluminum is a base metal that has always been in oversupply. Some would say it is higher cost supply, but it is abundant. This one is cheap for a good reason. 4.25% dividend, but not enough to hold on to it if you hold it. You have to have yield AND growth.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 7, 2013

Great company but he would prefer a much more diversified company in mining, such as Rio Tinto (RIO-N), BHP Billiton (BHP-N) and Vale (VALE-N) which would give you a little bit broader base of assets that they are working on.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 7, 2013

Great company but he would prefer a much more diversified company in mining, such as Rio Tinto (RIO-N), BHP Billiton (BHP-N) and Vale (VALE-N) which would give you a little bit broader base of assets that they are working on.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 29, 2013

If they warehouse aluminum that would be positive for demand/supply implying that aluminum prices should stabilize. She does not buy into the aluminum sector because there is excess supply.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 29, 2013

If they warehouse aluminum that would be positive for demand/supply implying that aluminum prices should stabilize. She does not buy into the aluminum sector because there is excess supply.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 21, 2013

He would not be a holder. They have no control over pricing. They have done that very well but not a great business model for him.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 21, 2013

He would not be a holder. They have no control over pricing. They have done that very well but not a great business model for him.

BUY
BUY
October 7, 2013

He sees peak earnings for this company in the $2-$3 range, sometime over the next 5 years. Traditionally, when this happens, it starts to trade at 10-15 times earnings and you end up with a huge winner. You have to have the patience to live through zero earnings periods that we are in right now. A lot of high cost production has come off stream so supply is getting constrained. This should push the price of aluminum up. He sees a big bump in earnings coming by 2016.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 7, 2013

He sees peak earnings for this company in the $2-$3 range, sometime over the next 5 years. Traditionally, when this happens, it starts to trade at 10-15 times earnings and you end up with a huge winner. You have to have the patience to live through zero earnings periods that we are in right now. A lot of high cost production has come off stream so supply is getting constrained. This should push the price of aluminum up. He sees a big bump in earnings coming by 2016.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 4, 2013

The issue with this company is that they are really not in complete control with their own destiny, i.e., China is a big aluminum producer. This is one of those situations where it is just a pure commodity play and because of this, he would steer clear.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 4, 2013

The issue with this company is that they are really not in complete control with their own destiny, i.e., China is a big aluminum producer. This is one of those situations where it is just a pure commodity play and because of this, he would steer clear.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 9, 2013

Just reported and beat expectations by a small amount. This is aluminum and this is a commodity that she does not have a positive outlook for. China is not an importer of aluminum. If the economic recovery continues this will be higher than what it is today but she doesn’t see a sustainable high aluminum price.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
July 9, 2013

Just reported and beat expectations by a small amount. This is aluminum and this is a commodity that she does not have a positive outlook for. China is not an importer of aluminum. If the economic recovery continues this will be higher than what it is today but she doesn’t see a sustainable high aluminum price.

BUY
BUY
July 2, 2013

The one he owns. Aluminum has been depressed for so long that he sees them rebounding earlier. He started buying at $8-$9 level and has been adding to it. You have to buy it when it is wildly out of favour. They are very sound and will benefit from the auto cycle. It is a contrarian play.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
July 2, 2013

The one he owns. Aluminum has been depressed for so long that he sees them rebounding earlier. He started buying at $8-$9 level and has been adding to it. You have to buy it when it is wildly out of favour. They are very sound and will benefit from the auto cycle. It is a contrarian play.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 14, 2013

Trying to form a base. It has kind of flat lined for well over a year. Normally it does well from the end of Oct until Feb. You are way too early to be a buyer at current levels. You may have an opportunity at the end of Oct.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
June 14, 2013

Trying to form a base. It has kind of flat lined for well over a year. Normally it does well from the end of Oct until Feb. You are way too early to be a buyer at current levels. You may have an opportunity at the end of Oct.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 13, 2013

Trading like a lot of the metals and mining type of stocks. In a base formation and showing some support at around $8. He would want to see a breakout of that base. Chart shows a little bit of a series of declining highs with a relatively flat support level at $8. This would be called a descending triangle and a breakout to the upside is very, very bullish and one to the downside is bearish.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
June 13, 2013

Trading like a lot of the metals and mining type of stocks. In a base formation and showing some support at around $8. He would want to see a breakout of that base. Chart shows a little bit of a series of declining highs with a relatively flat support level at $8. This would be called a descending triangle and a breakout to the upside is very, very bullish and one to the downside is bearish.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
April 30, 2013

One of the world’s low cost aluminum producers. Aluminum is a growth metal because it is light, therefore every new generation of automobiles and planes that are trying to get more fuel efficient end up using more aluminum. The US is going to go through a change with more efficient automobile legislation so there will be a big increase in demand. You have to buy this one when it is not making money and sell it when it looks cheap because it is selling at a low PE. It may take a couple of years.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
April 30, 2013

One of the world’s low cost aluminum producers. Aluminum is a growth metal because it is light, therefore every new generation of automobiles and planes that are trying to get more fuel efficient end up using more aluminum. The US is going to go through a change with more efficient automobile legislation so there will be a big increase in demand. You have to buy this one when it is not making money and sell it when it looks cheap because it is selling at a low PE. It may take a couple of years.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 15, 2013

Not big on commodity stocks in general. The problem with aluminum is that China is a net exporter of aluminum. You want to own commodities that China is a big buyer of and hopefully influences the price of.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
March 15, 2013

Not big on commodity stocks in general. The problem with aluminum is that China is a net exporter of aluminum. You want to own commodities that China is a big buyer of and hopefully influences the price of.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 14, 2013

If there is improvement in the economy it should do better. Aluminum is not one of her favourite commodities. Prefers copper and met. coal. She only owns TCK.B-T

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Alcoa (AA-N)
March 14, 2013

If there is improvement in the economy it should do better. Aluminum is not one of her favourite commodities. Prefers copper and met. coal. She only owns TCK.B-T

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 13, 2013

He would stay away from this one. Too subjected to the price of the commodity and too subjected to the production levels of areas that we don’t really control.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
March 13, 2013

He would stay away from this one. Too subjected to the price of the commodity and too subjected to the production levels of areas that we don’t really control.

COMMENT
COMMENT
February 19, 2013

Last quarter was pretty good and it will benefit from an expanding economy. Thinks the market feels like he does, nothing wrong with that but nothing to get too excited about either.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 19, 2013

Last quarter was pretty good and it will benefit from an expanding economy. Thinks the market feels like he does, nothing wrong with that but nothing to get too excited about either.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 7, 2013

Problem with aluminum is that there is never a tight supply. There is no shortage of raw materials so it is very hard for them to have pricing power. This company itself, sadly, has a history of disappointing when it comes to earnings. They are often the 1st to report and often the 1st to disappoint. Numbers really don’t show that things are getting a lot better in the near-term.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 7, 2013

Problem with aluminum is that there is never a tight supply. There is no shortage of raw materials so it is very hard for them to have pricing power. This company itself, sadly, has a history of disappointing when it comes to earnings. They are often the 1st to report and often the 1st to disappoint. Numbers really don’t show that things are getting a lot better in the near-term.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 20, 2012

Commodities are not in favour right now. There is a weakness across the spectrum. A rebounding economy is good for the metal stocks but there is no shortage of aluminum right now. An energy heavy commodity that requires a lot of energy. If you own and want to get out, tomorrow is the day you have to sell.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
December 20, 2012

Commodities are not in favour right now. There is a weakness across the spectrum. A rebounding economy is good for the metal stocks but there is no shortage of aluminum right now. An energy heavy commodity that requires a lot of energy. If you own and want to get out, tomorrow is the day you have to sell.

SELL
SELL
November 15, 2012

(Market Call Minute) Broke lows today. One of the weakest in a group you want to be careful of.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 15, 2012

(Market Call Minute) Broke lows today. One of the weakest in a group you want to be careful of.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 22, 2012

Company is really captive to the aluminum commodity. There is a lot of Chinese production coming out, which challenges the price. He would prefer something that he has a little more control on.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
August 22, 2012

Company is really captive to the aluminum commodity. There is a lot of Chinese production coming out, which challenges the price. He would prefer something that he has a little more control on.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 15, 2012

Has very strong seasonality. Last year he shorted it in the summer. Currently the stock is way oversold. He doesn’t have enough technical evidence to indicate a seasonal downtrend again this year. Normally does very well from November right through until April. Way too early for playing Long and needs more technical evidence before playing Short.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
August 15, 2012

Has very strong seasonality. Last year he shorted it in the summer. Currently the stock is way oversold. He doesn’t have enough technical evidence to indicate a seasonal downtrend again this year. Normally does very well from November right through until April. Way too early for playing Long and needs more technical evidence before playing Short.

SELL
SELL
July 25, 2012
They have done everything they possibly can to try to spur the company on. What it is going to take is higher commodity prices, which is something that can't be controlled.
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Alcoa (AA-N)
July 25, 2012
They have done everything they possibly can to try to spur the company on. What it is going to take is higher commodity prices, which is something that can't be controlled.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 11, 2012
The difficulty for aluminum stocks is the high power rates. Has been a very disappointing investment.
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Alcoa (AA-N)
June 11, 2012
The difficulty for aluminum stocks is the high power rates. Has been a very disappointing investment.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 7, 2012
This is probably one of your prime economically sensitive stocks with a very high beta. When times are good, the stock does very well but in uncertain times, such as we are in now, the stock is suffering. Wait for clearer skies and or certainty with what is happening in Europe as well as China.
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Alcoa (AA-N)
June 7, 2012
This is probably one of your prime economically sensitive stocks with a very high beta. When times are good, the stock does very well but in uncertain times, such as we are in now, the stock is suffering. Wait for clearer skies and or certainty with what is happening in Europe as well as China.
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