Analysis and Opinions about AA-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
Chart
COMMENT
COMMENT
October 23, 2017

The only mining stock he owns, because aluminum is a growth metal. Because it is light, every new generation of cars and planes has more aluminum. Aluminum has been in a down cycle for a long time. Alcoa has split itself into 2 companies. For aluminum, the up cycle is now here. This is a cyclical stock, so when it starts going up even further and looks really, really cheap, it is probably time to start looking at selling it, because it is a pure aluminum play.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
October 23, 2017

The only mining stock he owns, because aluminum is a growth metal. Because it is light, every new generation of cars and planes has more aluminum. Aluminum has been in a down cycle for a long time. Alcoa has split itself into 2 companies. For aluminum, the up cycle is now here. This is a cyclical stock, so when it starts going up even further and looks really, really cheap, it is probably time to start looking at selling it, because it is a pure aluminum play.

Lorne Steinberg
Price
$47.930
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 24, 2017

Chart shows this was in a gently trending down-trend since February, and then broke out in June. The stock looks great, plus it is metal products and materials seem to be doing okay right now. The price of aluminum seems to be in an uptrend right now.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
July 24, 2017

Chart shows this was in a gently trending down-trend since February, and then broke out in June. The stock looks great, plus it is metal products and materials seem to be doing okay right now. The price of aluminum seems to be in an uptrend right now.

Keith Richards
Price
$36.690
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 6, 2017

Being in the materials based metals space, it will be a beneficiary in a cyclical environment where earnings are going to start to grow. Share price has weakened off a little, along with the rest of the market. It has come down to the 100-day moving average which could be interesting. RSI is down to about 45, and it hit oversold levels about a week ago. It is certainly a name you could consider owning.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
April 6, 2017

Being in the materials based metals space, it will be a beneficiary in a cyclical environment where earnings are going to start to grow. Share price has weakened off a little, along with the rest of the market. It has come down to the 100-day moving average which could be interesting. RSI is down to about 45, and it hit oversold levels about a week ago. It is certainly a name you could consider owning.

Stan Wong
Price
$33.650
Owned
No
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 24, 2016

Split into 2 companies, Alcoa (AA-N) and Arconic (ARNC-N). He likes them both. Alcoa is a classic deep cyclical, where he bought it down 75%. Shares have rallied, but this is the commodity side. With all the shutdowns, aluminum demand is outstripping supply, so Alcoa has started to rally, with the new US rule requiring more aluminum content in cars. Arconic is a great value added area. These are cyclicals, so you buy them when they have no earnings, and sell them when they are selling at 6X earnings.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 24, 2016

Split into 2 companies, Alcoa (AA-N) and Arconic (ARNC-N). He likes them both. Alcoa is a classic deep cyclical, where he bought it down 75%. Shares have rallied, but this is the commodity side. With all the shutdowns, aluminum demand is outstripping supply, so Alcoa has started to rally, with the new US rule requiring more aluminum content in cars. Arconic is a great value added area. These are cyclicals, so you buy them when they have no earnings, and sell them when they are selling at 6X earnings.

Lorne Steinberg
Price
$31.510
Owned
Unknown
SELL
SELL
November 15, 2016

Manufacturers of aluminum have not been very good stocks. Profit margins are not very good. He does not like to own stocks that lose money at the bottom of a cycle, and this is certainly one of those companies. There is a lot of risk with this.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
November 15, 2016

Manufacturers of aluminum have not been very good stocks. Profit margins are not very good. He does not like to own stocks that lose money at the bottom of a cycle, and this is certainly one of those companies. There is a lot of risk with this.

John Burke
Price
$30.210
Owned
No
SELL
SELL
September 2, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Not particularly good momentum, highly volatile and low ROE’s. Has not been able to grow earnings. This is a Short for him.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
September 2, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Not particularly good momentum, highly volatile and low ROE’s. Has not been able to grow earnings. This is a Short for him.

Jason Mann
Price
$10.130
Owned
Yes
WAIT
WAIT
May 20, 2016

Wouldn’t go into this just yet. It is still firmly in the value investor camp. Starting to gain traction and commodity stabilization is starting.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
May 20, 2016

Wouldn’t go into this just yet. It is still firmly in the value investor camp. Starting to gain traction and commodity stabilization is starting.

Cameron Hurst
Price
$9.110
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 19, 2016

(Top Pick June 2/15, Down 29.16%) They are a low cost producer and can still generate cash flow at reduced commodity prices. You have to step in at low prices because if you wait for the commodity price to increase you will miss it.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
May 19, 2016

(Top Pick June 2/15, Down 29.16%) They are a low cost producer and can still generate cash flow at reduced commodity prices. You have to step in at low prices because if you wait for the commodity price to increase you will miss it.

WAIT
WAIT
April 13, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) This is looking a little bit cleaner now and has gone through some really tough stuff. He would give it a little more time.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
April 13, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) This is looking a little bit cleaner now and has gone through some really tough stuff. He would give it a little more time.

Cameron Hurst
Price
$9.790
Owned
Unknown
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 6, 2016

This is a Short for him. It falls into the cyclical category of stocks, but doesn’t hit enough of his metrics to be a Buy. Low ROE at 6%. It also has a debt problem. Weak price momentum. Very volatile. 1.3% dividend yield.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
April 6, 2016

This is a Short for him. It falls into the cyclical category of stocks, but doesn’t hit enough of his metrics to be a Buy. Low ROE at 6%. It also has a debt problem. Weak price momentum. Very volatile. 1.3% dividend yield.

Jason Mann
Price
$9.500
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 9, 2016

A pretty solid company. They are splitting their upstream and downstream operations. She is not putting money into the commodity space as she would rather wait for everything to stabilize.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 9, 2016

A pretty solid company. They are splitting their upstream and downstream operations. She is not putting money into the commodity space as she would rather wait for everything to stabilize.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 2, 2016

Chart shows a rounded bottom running from 2011 to 2014, and then it topped. A classic top with a bunch of peaks, and then it broke the neck line, tested, and then fell further. Since that time it has been pretty much in a downtrend. Until it bases, he wouldn’t touch this.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
February 2, 2016

Chart shows a rounded bottom running from 2011 to 2014, and then it topped. A classic top with a bunch of peaks, and then it broke the neck line, tested, and then fell further. Since that time it has been pretty much in a downtrend. Until it bases, he wouldn’t touch this.

Keith Richards
Price
$6.970
Owned
Unknown
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 21, 2016

Tied to the commodity complex and so he shies away from it. They are not in control of the commodity. There has been a historic oversupply of aluminum.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 21, 2016

Tied to the commodity complex and so he shies away from it. They are not in control of the commodity. There has been a historic oversupply of aluminum.

Gordon Reid
Price
$7.090
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 12, 2016

In the process of splitting into 2 different companies. Commodity will be one and “value added” the other. US auto demand, in terms of aluminum, will be rising sharply over the next couple of years because of new emission standards. Every time they increase emission standards, cars incorporate more aluminum. Increasing Chinese supply has been putting pressure on aluminum pricing. Supply demand is slowly coming back into a better picture, and he thinks over time this is worth double the current share price.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 12, 2016

In the process of splitting into 2 different companies. Commodity will be one and “value added” the other. US auto demand, in terms of aluminum, will be rising sharply over the next couple of years because of new emission standards. Every time they increase emission standards, cars incorporate more aluminum. Increasing Chinese supply has been putting pressure on aluminum pricing. Supply demand is slowly coming back into a better picture, and he thinks over time this is worth double the current share price.

PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
January 11, 2016

We are back to the $8 level that it was at when they took it out of the DOW. You have to think there is value here as it is at the lows of 2012/2013. He would have half a position right now.

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Alcoa (AA-N)
January 11, 2016

We are back to the $8 level that it was at when they took it out of the DOW. You have to think there is value here as it is at the lows of 2012/2013. He would have half a position right now.

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