Canfor Corp

CFP-T

TSE:CFP

13.84
0.36 (2.54%)
Canfor Corporation is a Canadian integrated forest products company based in Vancouver, British Columbia.
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Analysis and Opinions about CFP-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 21, 2016

Ranks a bit outside of his fundamental and technical screening. The stock is yo-yoing which has to do with housing starts and new home sales.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
September 21, 2016

Ranks a bit outside of his fundamental and technical screening. The stock is yo-yoing which has to do with housing starts and new home sales.

COMMENT
COMMENT
August 19, 2016

His style of investing usually leads him away from resource focused stocks, because they are cyclical and his requirement that they have a cash ROE greater than 20% over the last 3 years. However, this company has come through his screen and their cash ROE is just shy of 21%, so if he were to own one, this would be it.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
August 19, 2016

His style of investing usually leads him away from resource focused stocks, because they are cyclical and his requirement that they have a cash ROE greater than 20% over the last 3 years. However, this company has come through his screen and their cash ROE is just shy of 21%, so if he were to own one, this would be it.

COMMENT
COMMENT
July 26, 2016

Despite a strong US housing market, overseas is not doing that well. There are a lot of people that have been caught holding the stock, and will start selling above $20 as soon as the price recovers. The stock is under pressure.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
July 26, 2016

Despite a strong US housing market, overseas is not doing that well. There are a lot of people that have been caught holding the stock, and will start selling above $20 as soon as the price recovers. The stock is under pressure.

WAIT
WAIT
June 27, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Lumber is probably the poster child for seasonality. The time to own is going into the 4th quarter. There has been some improvement in housing which favours lumber producers, and this is one of the best suited. He would look toward September.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
June 27, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Lumber is probably the poster child for seasonality. The time to own is going into the 4th quarter. There has been some improvement in housing which favours lumber producers, and this is one of the best suited. He would look toward September.

COMMENT
COMMENT
June 17, 2016

Lumber is something he doesn’t want to be playing in right now. He would prefer OSB through Norbord (OSB-T), which hasn’t really been impacted by Chinese dumping, and benefits from a low Cdn$.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
June 17, 2016

Lumber is something he doesn’t want to be playing in right now. He would prefer OSB through Norbord (OSB-T), which hasn’t really been impacted by Chinese dumping, and benefits from a low Cdn$.

COMMENT
COMMENT
March 15, 2016

When a sector has been out of favour, he looks for companies that have been better than the rest of the group. In forestry he prefers to look at something where there is a tailwind, such as Stella Jones (SJ-T), which creates pressure-treated wood for railroad ties and utility poles, with a lot of stuff selling into the US.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
March 15, 2016

When a sector has been out of favour, he looks for companies that have been better than the rest of the group. In forestry he prefers to look at something where there is a tailwind, such as Stella Jones (SJ-T), which creates pressure-treated wood for railroad ties and utility poles, with a lot of stuff selling into the US.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 10, 2016

Lumber demand has been somewhat weaker. The Chinese have stopped buying. She is positive on US housing so this one can work eventually. She prefers to play US housing differently with companies that are less cyclical like HD-N.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
March 10, 2016

Lumber demand has been somewhat weaker. The Chinese have stopped buying. She is positive on US housing so this one can work eventually. She prefers to play US housing differently with companies that are less cyclical like HD-N.

BUY
BUY
December 22, 2015

This is one that looks okay. It had a really good run and has now come back and tested the run, and then started back up again. Chart shows that it has tested a 2011 high, which becomes the support level. It looks like it is finding a range which is nice.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
December 22, 2015

This is one that looks okay. It had a really good run and has now come back and tested the run, and then started back up again. Chart shows that it has tested a 2011 high, which becomes the support level. It looks like it is finding a range which is nice.

COMMENT
COMMENT
October 26, 2015

Traded his holdings out as this was a highly cyclical stock. You are there for a good time, not necessarily a long time. Had originally bought at $19 and sold at $30. This is on his watch list. It could be close to a $30 price target. This depends on US housing and he is bullish on that. Also, he is looking at what is happening in China and demand for our lumber. A little nervous about a revival in the softwood dispute with the US. That expired October 12 and the US has a year to go back to court to try and get more tariffs put on Canadian lumber. However, this company has been acquiring lumber companies in Arkansas and Louisiana, so the US side is up to 27% from 24%. That will offset this to some extent.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
October 26, 2015

Traded his holdings out as this was a highly cyclical stock. You are there for a good time, not necessarily a long time. Had originally bought at $19 and sold at $30. This is on his watch list. It could be close to a $30 price target. This depends on US housing and he is bullish on that. Also, he is looking at what is happening in China and demand for our lumber. A little nervous about a revival in the softwood dispute with the US. That expired October 12 and the US has a year to go back to court to try and get more tariffs put on Canadian lumber. However, this company has been acquiring lumber companies in Arkansas and Louisiana, so the US side is up to 27% from 24%. That will offset this to some extent.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
May 19, 2015

He has a model price of $31.71, a 33.5% upside. We are in the 8th inning of these particular cyclical stocks, so he would be very, very cautious.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
May 19, 2015

He has a model price of $31.71, a 33.5% upside. We are in the 8th inning of these particular cyclical stocks, so he would be very, very cautious.

COMMENT
COMMENT
April 6, 2015

The Canadian dollar is much closer to a low than a high. The sector looks attractive from a risk reward perspective.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
April 6, 2015

The Canadian dollar is much closer to a low than a high. The sector looks attractive from a risk reward perspective.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
November 24, 2014

(Top Pick Nov 25/13, Up 25.64%) He sold it during the interest rate scares. His re-entry point would be $24/$25 level. Seasonality will keep him out until spring.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
November 24, 2014

(Top Pick Nov 25/13, Up 25.64%) He sold it during the interest rate scares. His re-entry point would be $24/$25 level. Seasonality will keep him out until spring.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 22, 2014

(Top Pick Oct 3/13, Up 10.99%) He sold and made more than this. Thinks you will get a continuing improvement in housing market. He would buy back in at $23.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
September 22, 2014

(Top Pick Oct 3/13, Up 10.99%) He sold and made more than this. Thinks you will get a continuing improvement in housing market. He would buy back in at $23.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 25, 2014

(A Top Pick Aug 27/13. Up 25.17%.) Sold his holdings at $29. If it got back to $22.50, he would probably Buy it back.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
August 25, 2014

(A Top Pick Aug 27/13. Up 25.17%.) Sold his holdings at $29. If it got back to $22.50, he would probably Buy it back.

BUY
BUY
August 19, 2014

Chart shows a long downtrend from February, followed by a break out just recently accompanied by good volume, which is a great sign. He would mark resistance points at around $25 and close to $30. There’s lots of room to go on this. Looks like there is a lot more to be had.

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Canfor Corp (CFP-T)
August 19, 2014

Chart shows a long downtrend from February, followed by a break out just recently accompanied by good volume, which is a great sign. He would mark resistance points at around $25 and close to $30. There’s lots of room to go on this. Looks like there is a lot more to be had.

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