Carnival Corp.

CCL-N

NYSE:CCL

49.45
0.43 (0.86%)
Carnival Corporation & plc is an American cruise company and the world's largest travel leisure company, with a combined fleet of over 100 vessels across 10 cruise line brands.
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Analysis and Opinions about CCL-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
December 5, 2019
Model price is $98.36 or 124% upside. He has seen it go down the last two and a half years. It will bottom at $38.20. He sees a little bit of down side so if you are a long term holder, buy half and if it goes down then buy the other half or do so if it goes up to $46.80.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
December 5, 2019
Model price is $98.36 or 124% upside. He has seen it go down the last two and a half years. It will bottom at $38.20. He sees a little bit of down side so if you are a long term holder, buy half and if it goes down then buy the other half or do so if it goes up to $46.80.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 29, 2019
In the good old days, pretty solid. Now we're in a downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows is not good. Wouldn't be a buyer. Even if a stock goes sideways, you get some indication that it's forming a base. But not even close to that here.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
August 29, 2019
In the good old days, pretty solid. Now we're in a downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows is not good. Wouldn't be a buyer. Even if a stock goes sideways, you get some indication that it's forming a base. But not even close to that here.
HOLD
HOLD
April 19, 2018

It got up to his original target for this company and is now peeling off a little bit. It is problematic because their earnings estimates have been picking up. That peak on the stock will probably remain.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
April 19, 2018

It got up to his original target for this company and is now peeling off a little bit. It is problematic because their earnings estimates have been picking up. That peak on the stock will probably remain.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 16, 2018

Cruise lines are leveraged to fuel, and oil prices are rising. True, cruises appeal to certain demographics, so there's demand, but this is not a sector she invests in.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
April 16, 2018

Cruise lines are leveraged to fuel, and oil prices are rising. True, cruises appeal to certain demographics, so there's demand, but this is not a sector she invests in.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 20, 2018

They’re in the middle of a transition, trying to improve their use of capital and the utilization of their ships. The stock has had a great run for the past several years. He likes the metrics they are focusing on but he is not following it closely today because of its high valuation.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
March 20, 2018

They’re in the middle of a transition, trying to improve their use of capital and the utilization of their ships. The stock has had a great run for the past several years. He likes the metrics they are focusing on but he is not following it closely today because of its high valuation.

WATCH
WATCH
February 23, 2018

He generally likes this and likes consumer discretionary stocks at these levels as US consumers are in really good shape. Experience purchases are more important than material purchases to consumers. Talk at cocktail parties is favorable for cruises.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
February 23, 2018

He generally likes this and likes consumer discretionary stocks at these levels as US consumers are in really good shape. Experience purchases are more important than material purchases to consumers. Talk at cocktail parties is favorable for cruises.

COMMENT
COMMENT
October 26, 2017

This has some good numbers. The free cash flow yield is high. Pays a nice dividend. However, it is cyclical. You are going to lose a lot of money in the stock if there is a recession, so be careful. In the long run, if you can withstand the deep troughs and the recessions, then you are going to be okay.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
October 26, 2017

This has some good numbers. The free cash flow yield is high. Pays a nice dividend. However, it is cyclical. You are going to lose a lot of money in the stock if there is a recession, so be careful. In the long run, if you can withstand the deep troughs and the recessions, then you are going to be okay.

HOLD
HOLD
September 6, 2017

A great company. It does have its moments. Has been on a pretty strong run since mid-2016. It might be considered a parabolic move, so it needs to take a pause. It wouldn’t surprise him for this to consolidate and then break out. You might see it go up and down for a little bit before breaks out again.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
September 6, 2017

A great company. It does have its moments. Has been on a pretty strong run since mid-2016. It might be considered a parabolic move, so it needs to take a pause. It wouldn’t surprise him for this to consolidate and then break out. You might see it go up and down for a little bit before breaks out again.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
September 5, 2017

With hurricane Irma bearing down, he would be careful about getting in this. As a general proposition, he likes this for the long haul. The cruise/leisure industry makes a whole lot of sense going forward. You can never go wrong generally, by going with the largest player in the group. However, you do want to pick your spots.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
September 5, 2017

With hurricane Irma bearing down, he would be careful about getting in this. As a general proposition, he likes this for the long haul. The cruise/leisure industry makes a whole lot of sense going forward. You can never go wrong generally, by going with the largest player in the group. However, you do want to pick your spots.

BUY
BUY
April 24, 2017

It was a bargain for a while because a number of the companies in the sector had struggled and had accidents. This is viewed as the leader in the industry. Fuel costs being low are an added benefit. You could have bought it cheaper a year ago, but there is plenty of upside going forward.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
April 24, 2017

It was a bargain for a while because a number of the companies in the sector had struggled and had accidents. This is viewed as the leader in the industry. Fuel costs being low are an added benefit. You could have bought it cheaper a year ago, but there is plenty of upside going forward.

BUY
BUY
April 19, 2017

Carnival Cruise (CCL-N) or Royal Caribbean Cruise (RCL-N)? As a thematic investor, one of the key themes he is interested in is travel and leisure. Both these companies play into that theme, as does Disney (DIS-N). Both are well run companies and global. He would buy either one. Both should grow earnings in the mid-teens, and you could do well in either one.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
April 19, 2017

Carnival Cruise (CCL-N) or Royal Caribbean Cruise (RCL-N)? As a thematic investor, one of the key themes he is interested in is travel and leisure. Both these companies play into that theme, as does Disney (DIS-N). Both are well run companies and global. He would buy either one. Both should grow earnings in the mid-teens, and you could do well in either one.

HOLD
HOLD
March 15, 2017

Cruise ships have a tendency to do very well in the latter part of the year and into the spring. Chart shows a long-term upward trend from 2014 and it just recently broke to new highs. This is outperforming the market, and we are still in a period of seasonal strength. When owning a stock, you want technicals showing an upward trend and positive strength relative to the S&P 500, with positive seasonality as the extra positive. If you own, continue holding until April.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
March 15, 2017

Cruise ships have a tendency to do very well in the latter part of the year and into the spring. Chart shows a long-term upward trend from 2014 and it just recently broke to new highs. This is outperforming the market, and we are still in a period of seasonal strength. When owning a stock, you want technicals showing an upward trend and positive strength relative to the S&P 500, with positive seasonality as the extra positive. If you own, continue holding until April.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 26, 2016

(Top Pick Jul 7/16, Up 8.05%) Cruise companies have a big expense in oil. She thought it was a great buying opportunity with there being fewer travelers across Europe. You can still buy in at this level. She likes the outlook. China is important to this company. There is a huge consumption base that has not been tapped.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
September 26, 2016

(Top Pick Jul 7/16, Up 8.05%) Cruise companies have a big expense in oil. She thought it was a great buying opportunity with there being fewer travelers across Europe. You can still buy in at this level. She likes the outlook. China is important to this company. There is a huge consumption base that has not been tapped.

COMMENT
COMMENT
August 22, 2016

Cruise line operators benefitted from the fall in energy and then along comes the Zika virus, but he thinks that will be solved in some way. Cruise operators have been confronted with things like this before.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
August 22, 2016

Cruise line operators benefitted from the fall in energy and then along comes the Zika virus, but he thinks that will be solved in some way. Cruise operators have been confronted with things like this before.

HOLD
HOLD
August 15, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Valuations are high. There has recently been a little slowdown in the industry because of some of the International issues on travel. This would be a Hold at best.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
August 15, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Valuations are high. There has recently been a little slowdown in the industry because of some of the International issues on travel. This would be a Hold at best.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 13, 2016

Has had quite a lot of volatility. Als,o has a lot of exposure every time there is a sense of a terrorist attack, particularly in Europe or the Mediterranean. That can really push the stock down. Right now she is not a fan of this. Although they have been having very good growth, there are a lot of headline risks. There has been a big drop in some of the travel industry, particularly in Europe where a lot of their revenues come from.

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Has had quite a lot of volatility. Als,o has a lot of exposure every time there is a sense of a terrorist attack, particularly in Europe or the Mediterranean. That can really push the stock down. Right now she is not a fan of this. Although they have been having very good growth, there are a lot of headline risks. There has been a big drop in some of the travel industry, particularly in Europe where a lot of their revenues come from.

COMMENT
COMMENT
September 3, 2015

Clearly benefiting from weaker oil prices. A global company, so would have exposure to consumer demand on a global basis. The strong US consumer helps them. Feels the outlook is relatively strong for the whole industry.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
September 3, 2015

Clearly benefiting from weaker oil prices. A global company, so would have exposure to consumer demand on a global basis. The strong US consumer helps them. Feels the outlook is relatively strong for the whole industry.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
July 9, 2015

Cruising is an underappreciated segment. It is attracting a lot of people, not just the older demographic. Fewer ships are being built and demand is increasing. Cash flow is improving and debt is decreasing. Asia, China, and Cuba are popular destinations. There is a 38% growth rate on the dividend. A lot of the cash flow is currently going to pay down debt.

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Cruising is an underappreciated segment. It is attracting a lot of people, not just the older demographic. Fewer ships are being built and demand is increasing. Cash flow is improving and debt is decreasing. Asia, China, and Cuba are popular destinations. There is a 38% growth rate on the dividend. A lot of the cash flow is currently going to pay down debt.

COMMENT
COMMENT
April 9, 2015

Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL-N) or Carnival Corp (CCL-N)? Royal Caribbean has outperformed Carnival in the last 12 months. It is up about 50%, where this one is up about 30%. On a valuation perspective, this trades at over 1.1 PEG ratio compared to Royal Caribbean at .85. It is also cheaper. Both should do well.

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Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL-N) or Carnival Corp (CCL-N)? Royal Caribbean has outperformed Carnival in the last 12 months. It is up about 50%, where this one is up about 30%. On a valuation perspective, this trades at over 1.1 PEG ratio compared to Royal Caribbean at .85. It is also cheaper. Both should do well.

COMMENT
COMMENT
October 8, 2013

Has had a lot of problems. Theoretically the cruise ship business is a great way to take a fairly inexpensive holiday. There is probably some pretty good protection from an asset point of view. The trouble is, the brand has taken a huge, huge beating. This is a high risk trade. He looked at it and decided against it.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
October 8, 2013

Has had a lot of problems. Theoretically the cruise ship business is a great way to take a fairly inexpensive holiday. There is probably some pretty good protection from an asset point of view. The trouble is, the brand has taken a huge, huge beating. This is a high risk trade. He looked at it and decided against it.

COMMENT
COMMENT
October 7, 2013

This is something that he is looking at. Because of high fixed costs, cruise ships are extremely cyclical and totally tied to the global economy. Economic bad news is horrible for these companies, but it is a stock that intrigues him.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
October 7, 2013

This is something that he is looking at. Because of high fixed costs, cruise ships are extremely cyclical and totally tied to the global economy. Economic bad news is horrible for these companies, but it is a stock that intrigues him.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 2, 2012

Have had lots of difficulties with the cruise line that got in accidents but have recovered brilliantly from that. Revenues have recovered. Bottom line took a big hit but it is doing reasonably well now. Insiders have been selling quite a bit. Do about $15 billion of revenues but debt load is about $9 billion. That is a pretty heavy debt load and he doesn’t like that.

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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
October 2, 2012

Have had lots of difficulties with the cruise line that got in accidents but have recovered brilliantly from that. Revenues have recovered. Bottom line took a big hit but it is doing reasonably well now. Insiders have been selling quite a bit. Do about $15 billion of revenues but debt load is about $9 billion. That is a pretty heavy debt load and he doesn’t like that.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 26, 2012
Not handling the PR very well. Even before the accident, the stock had been moving down and earnings had been looking at little bit murky. It's in the discretionary space so could do well going forward for the time being it is below both the 200 day and 50 day averages. $30 might be its support level.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
January 26, 2012
Not handling the PR very well. Even before the accident, the stock had been moving down and earnings had been looking at little bit murky. It's in the discretionary space so could do well going forward for the time being it is below both the 200 day and 50 day averages. $30 might be its support level.
WAIT
WAIT
January 19, 2012
Contrarian and Value. He looked at it but decided maybe, but let things settle out. You have seen most of the damage in the stock. There are regulars and they are not affected. The one third that aren’t regulars are the ones who you will lose. The question is whether you lose them for one year or three years.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
January 19, 2012
Contrarian and Value. He looked at it but decided maybe, but let things settle out. You have seen most of the damage in the stock. There are regulars and they are not affected. The one third that aren’t regulars are the ones who you will lose. The question is whether you lose them for one year or three years.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 17, 2012
Had a severe drop today because of the sinking of their ship. He also doesn't know their financials. People are going to keep on cruising but there will be a lot of people with a knee-jerk reaction.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
January 17, 2012
Had a severe drop today because of the sinking of their ship. He also doesn't know their financials. People are going to keep on cruising but there will be a lot of people with a knee-jerk reaction.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 14, 2011
Cruise lines. Hasn't looked at this closely in the last few months. Fuel is a large component of their operating costs. A consumer discretionary type name so Cruise line stocks have not done that well in general. Consumer spending will be muted.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
September 14, 2011
Cruise lines. Hasn't looked at this closely in the last few months. Fuel is a large component of their operating costs. A consumer discretionary type name so Cruise line stocks have not done that well in general. Consumer spending will be muted.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 13, 2009
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 14.22%.) Has had a very nice run lately.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
August 13, 2009
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 14.22%.) Has had a very nice run lately.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 16, 2009
(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 35.7%.) With consumer pressures and oil going back up they have under performed. Very cheap stock and he is still recommending it.
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(A Top Pick Aug 27/08. Down 35.7%.) With consumer pressures and oil going back up they have under performed. Very cheap stock and he is still recommending it.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 21, 2009
When the economy improves it should be helpful to this company. In the meantime it has problems the same as any other retail. He is watching this one.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
January 21, 2009
When the economy improves it should be helpful to this company. In the meantime it has problems the same as any other retail. He is watching this one.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 27, 2008
Cruise lines. The cost to buying a new cruise ship is in enormous. Demographics of the cruise business are great. Number of people taking cruises is going up every year. Think they can beat earnings estimates over the long term. Trading at about 12X forward earnings. Yield of 4.4%.
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Carnival Corp. (CCL-N)
August 27, 2008
Cruise lines. The cost to buying a new cruise ship is in enormous. Demographics of the cruise business are great. Number of people taking cruises is going up every year. Think they can beat earnings estimates over the long term. Trading at about 12X forward earnings. Yield of 4.4%.
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