TSE:PBL

35.53
1.48 (4.35%) 1d
0

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Investor Insights

This summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.

Pollard Banknote Ltd is a leading player in the lottery ticket business with strong business performance and a defensive business model. The company is pivoting into the online business line and is positioned as the #2 in the world for instant printed lottery tickets with huge barriers to entry. Despite high valuation, experts advise waiting for weakness before buying and holding onto shares if already owned. The company faces challenges with input costs and fixed-price contracts, but the renewal of contracts at higher prices is expected to improve margins significantly.

Consensus
Positive
Valuation
High
HOLD

Lottery ticket business with strong business performance. Family owner/operated business with oligopoly. Pivoting into online business line. Very defensive business model (gambling not going away). Current valuation high, would wait for weakness before buying. Would hold if already own shares. 

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TOP PICK

#2 in the world in instant printed lottery tickets, huge barriers to entry. All customers are governments. Huge input costs affected fixed-price contracts, but contracts are now being renewed at much higher prices. Lottery business is booming. Leader in iLottery. Margins will improve significantly. Yield is 0.67%.

(Analysts’ price target is $29.75)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 29/22, Down 19%)

It is the second largest supplier of printed lottery tickets and a leader in web based lottery tickets in the U.S. There are only three players allowed to sell printed lottery tickets for the government, all of which have trouble meeting demand. The only problem is the big increase in the costs of materials along with fixed price contracts with the government. However the new contracts are at higher prices so there should be a great increase in profits ahead. Margins should recover and do even better. Trading at 7X earnings.

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BUY

A major core holding of his. Sports betting doesn't impact instant lottery tickets which is in fact booming. PBL leads in online lotteries. But shares got way overvalued because excitement over online lotteries and has come down (also due to higher raw costs like ink and paper). He sold then bought back shares. A high-quality, stable company. Drivers: an oligopoly of only 3 players, and governments constantly need revenues.

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BUY
It is one of their core holdings. It is one of only three companies allowed to sell instant lottery tickets that they design and manufacture. The business is growing long term. Although costs are increasing there should be good long term margin improvement in the next few years.
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BUY
He has been buying since it is very well priced and a great opportunity. Three players control the market. Margins are down a little bit in the last few quarters but contracts are now being renewed at much better prices. Low Capex and strong cash flow.
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BUY

Family owns around 65% of company. Not a highly traded stock. Lottery tickets is largest component of business (steady business model). Smaller stock that isn't very liquid (don't expect much growth).

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HOLD
Has not looked at the company for 1.5 years. Unsure whether current share price is presenting buying opportunity. Cost inflation is hard for the company. Does not own shares in the company. Well run company with high cash flow.
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BUY
Core position. Sales and profits have gone up a lot. Second biggest in the world. E-lotteries are growing. Enormous barriers to entry. Higher input costs, which will get passed on when contracts are renewed. Amazing business, great valuation. Very well managed.
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BUY ON WEAKNESS
Great company that is a good business. Stock price recently over valued, which has caused selloff. Current prices presenting good buying opportunity. One of three companies in the world allowed to print lottery tickets. Huge barriers to entry creates a good business.
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TOP PICK
It's the second-largest supplier of lottery tickets in the world and the leader in electronic lotteries in the U.S. There are three such companies in North America, so there's a good moat. The stock has fallen to attractive levels. Demand for lottery tickets is so high that these companies are struggling to meet demand, though they face higher input costs (for paper and ink). PBL has added an extra shift to production lines. 2022 could be a record year for sales, though margins may not beat records. Brookfield is buying one of their competitors, which is a good sign. This trades at 9x earnings. Well-run with strong growth ahead, because governments needed money (through lotteries). (Analysts’ price target is $37.25)
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BUY
Nothing wrong with this. This ran up to $60 because of an influential money manager in the US who vocally pushed this up. PBL also has business in digital lotteries, which offer far higher margins than traditional lotteries and has a lot of room to grow. This grows 20% a year consistently. The family are great stewards of capital. Shares fell because it got ahead of itself. He's fine with the current PE.
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BUY
Great company with a strong business. American influence having negative influence on share price (investors selling shares). Current share price presents good buying opportunity. Has been buying in mid to high $30 share price. Huge barrier to entry in the business. Expecting strong financial results for 2022.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 25/21, Up 5%) He trimmed in the high 50s, recently buying it back in the high 30s. High conviction on this one. Huge barriers to entry. High margins and free cashflow. Stock pulled back on a missed quarter, since demand was so strong that sales had to be pushed to next quarter, setting that one up for strong numbers.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 25/21, Up 5%) The stock had a great run up over $60 and it has had a pullback. It is 2nd largest maker of instant lottery tickets in the world. There are only three players in North America. One of their highest conviction stocks they own. They had a rare earnings miss recently, because of high demand that forced sales into the next quarter (which should be a record one). A great time to buy as government continues to need revenues through gaming. They just added to their position in the high $30s and should be back into the $50s soon.
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Pollard Banknote Ltd(PBL-T) Rating

Ranking : 3 out of 5

Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 1

Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 1

Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 0

Total Signals / Votes : 2

Stockchase rating for Pollard Banknote Ltd is calculated according to the stock experts' signals. A high score means experts mostly recommend to buy the stock while a low score means experts mostly recommend to sell the stock.

Pollard Banknote Ltd(PBL-T) Frequently Asked Questions

What is Pollard Banknote Ltd stock symbol?

Pollard Banknote Ltd is a Canadian stock, trading under the symbol PBL-T on the Toronto Stock Exchange (PBL-CT). It is usually referred to as TSX:PBL or PBL-T

Is Pollard Banknote Ltd a buy or a sell?

In the last year, 2 stock analysts published opinions about PBL-T. 1 analyst recommended to BUY the stock. 0 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Pollard Banknote Ltd.

Is Pollard Banknote Ltd a good investment or a top pick?

Pollard Banknote Ltd was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for Pollard Banknote Ltd.

Why is Pollard Banknote Ltd stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.

Is Pollard Banknote Ltd worth watching?

2 stock analysts on Stockchase covered Pollard Banknote Ltd In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is Pollard Banknote Ltd stock price?

On 2024-03-28, Pollard Banknote Ltd (PBL-T) stock closed at a price of $35.53.