Caterpillar

CAT-N

NYSE:CAT

136.93
0.07 (0.05%)
Caterpillar Inc. is an American corporation which designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, markets and sells machinery, engines, financial products and insurance to customers via a worldwide dealer network.
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Analysis and Opinions about CAT-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 23, 2014

We may start to see a pickup with the general economy, but doesn’t think you will see the moves in this like we saw going back several years, when China was busy building roads and highways, etc. Not sure this will move as quickly as it might have, during the development of China. Not expensive, but doesn’t show up in his radar to own.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
July 23, 2014

We may start to see a pickup with the general economy, but doesn’t think you will see the moves in this like we saw going back several years, when China was busy building roads and highways, etc. Not sure this will move as quickly as it might have, during the development of China. Not expensive, but doesn’t show up in his radar to own.

PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
June 4, 2014

Last year they took a 15% hit in revenues, and this year, revenues are only expected to climb 1%. Yet the stock is up 25% in the last 6 months or so. If you own, consider lightening up. He doesn’t care for this one because it is quite sensitive to commodity prices and what is going on in China.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
June 4, 2014

Last year they took a 15% hit in revenues, and this year, revenues are only expected to climb 1%. Yet the stock is up 25% in the last 6 months or so. If you own, consider lightening up. He doesn’t care for this one because it is quite sensitive to commodity prices and what is going on in China.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 20, 2014

Deere (DE-N) or Caterpillar (CAT-N) for at least a 5 year hold? His instincts are saying Deere because it is in the food area. This one depends more on a worldwide pickup in construction, so it might be a slightly better pick at this point, but long-term he would stick with Deere.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
May 20, 2014

Deere (DE-N) or Caterpillar (CAT-N) for at least a 5 year hold? His instincts are saying Deere because it is in the food area. This one depends more on a worldwide pickup in construction, so it might be a slightly better pick at this point, but long-term he would stick with Deere.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 9, 2014

Has been sideways on a 5 year chart. He would prefer names in the consumer space.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
April 9, 2014

Has been sideways on a 5 year chart. He would prefer names in the consumer space.

COMMENT
COMMENT
February 14, 2014

Basically 2 big drivers for them. 1) Construction, which hasn’t picked up until recently and 2) mining which has been experiencing a boom for the last 5-10 years and is slowing down right now. These 2 forces are offsetting somewhat so this is looking to be a transitional year. In the short term he would stay out but over time you will see construction in the US really pick up.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
February 14, 2014

Basically 2 big drivers for them. 1) Construction, which hasn’t picked up until recently and 2) mining which has been experiencing a boom for the last 5-10 years and is slowing down right now. These 2 forces are offsetting somewhat so this is looking to be a transitional year. In the short term he would stay out but over time you will see construction in the US really pick up.

BUY
BUY
February 12, 2014

An industrial company whose period of seasonal strength is from the end of October right through until May of each year. Chart shows that it has had a nice little break out after a long base pattern followed by a pullback and then it took off. We currently have an upward trend, outperforming the market and it is also trading above its 20 day moving average.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
February 12, 2014

An industrial company whose period of seasonal strength is from the end of October right through until May of each year. Chart shows that it has had a nice little break out after a long base pattern followed by a pullback and then it took off. We currently have an upward trend, outperforming the market and it is also trading above its 20 day moving average.

WATCH
WATCH
February 4, 2014

This is on her Watch List as it is a very well run company and they are global. Had issues last year because China was really slowing and they had too much inventory in their system. Would wait a bit to see if China is actually starting to pick up.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
February 4, 2014

This is on her Watch List as it is a very well run company and they are global. Had issues last year because China was really slowing and they had too much inventory in their system. Would wait a bit to see if China is actually starting to pick up.

WATCH
WATCH
November 28, 2013

On his radar screen. Feels it has been unfairly punished. Would like to buy it at 10-11 times earnings and they are not there yet. There could be things that happen with this company such as spin outs or M&A activity. Generating a lot of free cash flow.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
November 28, 2013

On his radar screen. Feels it has been unfairly punished. Would like to buy it at 10-11 times earnings and they are not there yet. There could be things that happen with this company such as spin outs or M&A activity. Generating a lot of free cash flow.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 20, 2013

She is on the sidelines with this one at this point. It has been weak. Things are getting worse at their dealership level. In China a lot of the growth going forward won’t be dependent on infrastructure so much.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
November 20, 2013

She is on the sidelines with this one at this point. It has been weak. Things are getting worse at their dealership level. In China a lot of the growth going forward won’t be dependent on infrastructure so much.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
November 19, 2013

Took advantage by buying a half position when it dropped to the mid-$70s. Has good exposure on the resource side. If there is some good news out of China, it could pop. From a company’s point of view, they are doing good things with what they have. They sell equipment and parts, but are starting to get into the service side a little where they are monitoring and gathering data on equipment and customers, which allows them to get another revenue stream.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
November 19, 2013

Took advantage by buying a half position when it dropped to the mid-$70s. Has good exposure on the resource side. If there is some good news out of China, it could pop. From a company’s point of view, they are doing good things with what they have. They sell equipment and parts, but are starting to get into the service side a little where they are monitoring and gathering data on equipment and customers, which allows them to get another revenue stream.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 1, 2013

Good, maybe great company but in a really tough space. Had a big miss in earnings. Top line is down significantly on a year-over-year basis. He would be more comfortable with this if it got down into the $75 range. Has a big negative overhang from mining but the bigger problem is that they don’t make these machines overnight so there is a longer lead time and they have a lot of inventory built up in the channel. Have to work through that, then work through new sales. Emerging markets are under pressure for them.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
November 1, 2013

Good, maybe great company but in a really tough space. Had a big miss in earnings. Top line is down significantly on a year-over-year basis. He would be more comfortable with this if it got down into the $75 range. Has a big negative overhang from mining but the bigger problem is that they don’t make these machines overnight so there is a longer lead time and they have a lot of inventory built up in the channel. Have to work through that, then work through new sales. Emerging markets are under pressure for them.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 30, 2013

Out of favour. Came out with some nasty earnings a few days ago. Gapped down to about $84 and he has never seen a stock chart where the gap doesn’t get filled in. This should be back up at $88 before too long. Likes industrial companies. Has some support at around $79. If things don’t turn out the way he plans, he’ll be putting a stop loss on at around $70.80-$70.90. 2.9% dividend yield.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
October 30, 2013

Out of favour. Came out with some nasty earnings a few days ago. Gapped down to about $84 and he has never seen a stock chart where the gap doesn’t get filled in. This should be back up at $88 before too long. Likes industrial companies. Has some support at around $79. If things don’t turn out the way he plans, he’ll be putting a stop loss on at around $70.80-$70.90. 2.9% dividend yield.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
October 17, 2013

Looking at seasonal patterns it has done 5% in November and 3% in December. Longer term there is a serious shift in China from highways and bridges into consumption.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
October 17, 2013

Looking at seasonal patterns it has done 5% in November and 3% in December. Longer term there is a serious shift in China from highways and bridges into consumption.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 19, 2013

Has a very mixed opinion on this. Doesn’t like to sit on the fence because it is a really great company and really well run. The problem is, they are in an area of the market where there is low or limited demand for their products. Made an acquisition in Bucyrus a couple of years ago on which they overpaid. Wrote most of this down and will probably write the rest of it down. Globally we are seeing that commodities have rolled over and mining demand is lower.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
September 19, 2013

Has a very mixed opinion on this. Doesn’t like to sit on the fence because it is a really great company and really well run. The problem is, they are in an area of the market where there is low or limited demand for their products. Made an acquisition in Bucyrus a couple of years ago on which they overpaid. Wrote most of this down and will probably write the rest of it down. Globally we are seeing that commodities have rolled over and mining demand is lower.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 17, 2013

Sold his holdings about 6 months ago in the $85-$86 range. What worried him was when the CEO announced that they were struggling in China. Although China continues to grow, the growth rates are starting to fall, especially in the mining area. He would be careful with this one.

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Caterpillar (CAT-N)
July 17, 2013

Sold his holdings about 6 months ago in the $85-$86 range. What worried him was when the CEO announced that they were struggling in China. Although China continues to grow, the growth rates are starting to fall, especially in the mining area. He would be careful with this one.

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