Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd. (A)

CTC.A-T

TSE:CTC.A

129.52
0.30 (0.23%)
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited is a Canadian retail company which sells a wide range of automotive, hardware, sports and leisure, and home products. Some stores also sell toys and food products.
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Analysis and Opinions about CTC.A-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
June 5, 2020
He has never purchased this, even though watching it for along time. The recent price rebound may be getting ahead of itself again, he thinks. The company has good assets and strategy, but is fighting an uphill battle in how retail is changing. They have done a good job on the dividend yield given how mature the company is. Not what he is looking for now at this valuation.
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He has never purchased this, even though watching it for along time. The recent price rebound may be getting ahead of itself again, he thinks. The company has good assets and strategy, but is fighting an uphill battle in how retail is changing. They have done a good job on the dividend yield given how mature the company is. Not what he is looking for now at this valuation.
HOLD
HOLD
June 3, 2020

Big line ups at the local stores could be a good sign. Their company is amazingly resilient, especially as people have been predicting their demise with Amazon for so long. You only pay two times earnings and they have good real estate holdings. Continue to hold it.

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Big line ups at the local stores could be a good sign. Their company is amazingly resilient, especially as people have been predicting their demise with Amazon for so long. You only pay two times earnings and they have good real estate holdings. Continue to hold it.

WATCH
WATCH
May 21, 2020
The dividend looks fine & safe. The story looks good. The general franchises do curb side pickup. The valuation looks okay. He does not have any consumer stocks yet but this one he considered.
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The dividend looks fine & safe. The story looks good. The general franchises do curb side pickup. The valuation looks okay. He does not have any consumer stocks yet but this one he considered.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 5, 2020

Doesn't follow it. Their high debt concerns him and there's a drop in shopping demand to their stores. Dollarama and ATD'B also carry debt, but are allowed to stay open and enjoy consumer sales. Compare these two to CTC.

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Doesn't follow it. Their high debt concerns him and there's a drop in shopping demand to their stores. Dollarama and ATD'B also carry debt, but are allowed to stay open and enjoy consumer sales. Compare these two to CTC.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
April 28, 2020
It's tempting to buy it now when it's down, and its PE has been reasonable for a while. Most stores have been open, which helps them. But they face online competition. Retail is not his favourite sector, but CTC is managed well and should do well. A safe bet. But Mark's Work Warehouse has been affected, though online sales will partially offset that hit. CTC is not on his radar tough.
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It's tempting to buy it now when it's down, and its PE has been reasonable for a while. Most stores have been open, which helps them. But they face online competition. Retail is not his favourite sector, but CTC is managed well and should do well. A safe bet. But Mark's Work Warehouse has been affected, though online sales will partially offset that hit. CTC is not on his radar tough.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
February 20, 2020

(A Top Pick Mar 13/19, Up 5%) OK company, cheap. 11x earnings. Competition from Amazon. But people still go there. Sportcheck is doing well. Stick with it. It will continue to do well despite e-commerce.

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(A Top Pick Mar 13/19, Up 5%) OK company, cheap. 11x earnings. Competition from Amazon. But people still go there. Sportcheck is doing well. Stick with it. It will continue to do well despite e-commerce.

BUY
BUY
February 18, 2020
They excel with businesses they own Marks Work Warehouse and Sportcheck. The franchise system is working great; CTC is franchise-driven. A premier retail name in Canada. Strong all around.
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They excel with businesses they own Marks Work Warehouse and Sportcheck. The franchise system is working great; CTC is franchise-driven. A premier retail name in Canada. Strong all around.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 10, 2020
They have lack of growth in Canada; and they've done a poor job of online selling. Some acquisitions have worked like Marks Work Warehouse, but not others. The valuation is alright, but no growth here. As for the real estate holdings, the stores sit on those properties so what to do with them? Look what happened to the Bay.
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They have lack of growth in Canada; and they've done a poor job of online selling. Some acquisitions have worked like Marks Work Warehouse, but not others. The valuation is alright, but no growth here. As for the real estate holdings, the stores sit on those properties so what to do with them? Look what happened to the Bay.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 5, 2020

Retail is very challenging going up against the likes of Amazon. He would not be a buyer, there are others who are more aggressive in the online space to compete and in other sectors.

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Retail is very challenging going up against the likes of Amazon. He would not be a buyer, there are others who are more aggressive in the online space to compete and in other sectors.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2020
The company and the stock has suffered because people feel Rona, Lowes and Home Depot will trampled them. One of the things they have is great locations. They are located in places other big-box stores can't get in. They are also very competitive and they have great selections for new Canadians. They are well positioned to compete with others. The stores are individually managed so they have a lot of say what is on their shelves.
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The company and the stock has suffered because people feel Rona, Lowes and Home Depot will trampled them. One of the things they have is great locations. They are located in places other big-box stores can't get in. They are also very competitive and they have great selections for new Canadians. They are well positioned to compete with others. The stores are individually managed so they have a lot of say what is on their shelves.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 28, 2020
He likes the brand, but he doesn't own retail REITs now. They are challenged. He prefers an industrial company in REITs.
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He likes the brand, but he doesn't own retail REITs now. They are challenged. He prefers an industrial company in REITs.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 22, 2020
It's struggling, because e-retailing will continue to take a big bite out of traditional retailers. CTC has performed respectably with decent same-store sales, but hasn't been executing well overall.
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It's struggling, because e-retailing will continue to take a big bite out of traditional retailers. CTC has performed respectably with decent same-store sales, but hasn't been executing well overall.
PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
January 20, 2020
He worked there for 6 months at age 18 in plumbing. It has been a very good story recently and a good dividend payer. The growth side of this story is behind us. It has peaked out into strength for three years now. He would prefer to own it close to the lows. No more than half a position.
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He worked there for 6 months at age 18 in plumbing. It has been a very good story recently and a good dividend payer. The growth side of this story is behind us. It has peaked out into strength for three years now. He would prefer to own it close to the lows. No more than half a position.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 7, 2020
The chart's been suffering, heading sharply down in late-2019 after a short report warning of weak online sales. Seasonally, CTC does poorly in January, its weakest month; retail pulls back in January. Look at CTC if this reaches $160.
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The chart's been suffering, heading sharply down in late-2019 after a short report warning of weak online sales. Seasonally, CTC does poorly in January, its weakest month; retail pulls back in January. Look at CTC if this reaches $160.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 31, 2019
A short report recently has pressured shares and are now under 10x earnings, cheap. Their problem is that they were slow getting e-commerce. If you don't have good e-commerce, a store is treading water. But the bad news is already priced into the stock price. He prefers Leon's Furniture for buying the Brick and paying off most of that debt. Good return on capital and huge insider ownership.
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A short report recently has pressured shares and are now under 10x earnings, cheap. Their problem is that they were slow getting e-commerce. If you don't have good e-commerce, a store is treading water. But the bad news is already priced into the stock price. He prefers Leon's Furniture for buying the Brick and paying off most of that debt. Good return on capital and huge insider ownership.
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 11, 2019
Voting share divergence? Split share structures can go wrong sometimes. The A shares, gives the founders a larger voting right. This could be an example of an activist voting issue. The CTC shares hardly trade -- only 200 shares a day approximately.
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Voting share divergence? Split share structures can go wrong sometimes. The A shares, gives the founders a larger voting right. This could be an example of an activist voting issue. The CTC shares hardly trade -- only 200 shares a day approximately.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 10, 2019
It's been under pressure, partially from a US short-seller, alleging CTA's weak online selling platform. He doesn't know if this is true, but CTA has taken on more debt to make acquisitions. They have a lot of oars in the water. Its valuation is cheap, though. Retail is full of landmines, like CTC's financing/lending arm. Yes, CTC has holes in its online strategies and is unable to migrate to newer markets.
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It's been under pressure, partially from a US short-seller, alleging CTA's weak online selling platform. He doesn't know if this is true, but CTA has taken on more debt to make acquisitions. They have a lot of oars in the water. Its valuation is cheap, though. Retail is full of landmines, like CTC's financing/lending arm. Yes, CTC has holes in its online strategies and is unable to migrate to newer markets.
SELL STRENGTH
SELL STRENGTH
November 18, 2019
There is only so much they can do with their retail model. He has been waiting to lighten up for his clients that have this. You are looking at continuing tough competition.
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There is only so much they can do with their retail model. He has been waiting to lighten up for his clients that have this. You are looking at continuing tough competition.
BUY
BUY
November 6, 2019
Down 10% today Amazon has not a substantial impact on the bigger box stores yet -- Canadian Tire included. The stores remain busy. Consider them as trading opportunities. The fourth quarter is usually a good earnings time. If you can buy it today at a discount you should.
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Down 10% today Amazon has not a substantial impact on the bigger box stores yet -- Canadian Tire included. The stores remain busy. Consider them as trading opportunities. The fourth quarter is usually a good earnings time. If you can buy it today at a discount you should.
COMMENT
COMMENT
October 18, 2019

CTC.A vs CRT.UN? CRT.UN has had a nice upward breakout recently which is very positive -- you may have missed the upside move on this one. CTC.A-T has been in a choppy trading cycle since last December. It now seems to be showing some relative strength to the S&P Index. He would stick with CTC.A-T.

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CTC.A vs CRT.UN? CRT.UN has had a nice upward breakout recently which is very positive -- you may have missed the upside move on this one. CTC.A-T has been in a choppy trading cycle since last December. It now seems to be showing some relative strength to the S&P Index. He would stick with CTC.A-T.

COMMENT
COMMENT
September 24, 2019

After 30 years in the business he notices that CTC has been the most consistently retailer--but too expensive. He's a value player. CTC has survived the Amazon onslaught, but it has slumped this past year given the Amazon effect. CTC has a great balance sheet and fine inventory control. They have the heart of Canadians. They will continue to do well, but the retail sector is tough now.

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After 30 years in the business he notices that CTC has been the most consistently retailer--but too expensive. He's a value player. CTC has survived the Amazon onslaught, but it has slumped this past year given the Amazon effect. CTC has a great balance sheet and fine inventory control. They have the heart of Canadians. They will continue to do well, but the retail sector is tough now.

WAIT
WAIT
September 20, 2019
The store seems empty to him where he lives. The Party acquisition has been dilutive, which does not help things. He does not own any retail at this time as he thinks soft economic growth will continue. He thinks we are 24 months away for a strong economic boost to incent him back into this one.
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The store seems empty to him where he lives. The Party acquisition has been dilutive, which does not help things. He does not own any retail at this time as he thinks soft economic growth will continue. He thinks we are 24 months away for a strong economic boost to incent him back into this one.
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 5, 2019

Easy to short a stock that's already been beaten up. Nothing in the numbers says they're having trouble. Last quarter wasn't great. Retail is tough. Looks cheap, buying back stock, trying for 10% EPS growth this year. He doesn't like retail against Amazon, which he owns. Could be a trade.

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Easy to short a stock that's already been beaten up. Nothing in the numbers says they're having trouble. Last quarter wasn't great. Retail is tough. Looks cheap, buying back stock, trying for 10% EPS growth this year. He doesn't like retail against Amazon, which he owns. Could be a trade.

PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
September 3, 2019
Worried about some investors shorting CTC. The credit card arm may worry some given high Canadan debt level. Also, CTC stock is expensive now. Canadian consumer confidence report today wasn't great. But shorting this is too aggressive.
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Worried about some investors shorting CTC. The credit card arm may worry some given high Canadan debt level. Also, CTC stock is expensive now. Canadian consumer confidence report today wasn't great. But shorting this is too aggressive.
COMMENT
COMMENT
August 23, 2019
There is a lot of short-term noise. Must look at the retail industry and evaluate risk. They have done a good job at protecting their customer base and they are starting to enter into the online space. The sell-off is probably over done.
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There is a lot of short-term noise. Must look at the retail industry and evaluate risk. They have done a good job at protecting their customer base and they are starting to enter into the online space. The sell-off is probably over done.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 23, 2019

It's looking a bit expensive. However, they have fantastic urban locations. The real estate itself is worth a lot. They haven't done anything different recently and Amazon is a big competitor. In danger of some market erosion. Right now it's around 15x multiple. Maybe should be around 10 times, so it could go down 30% from where they are right now.

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It's looking a bit expensive. However, they have fantastic urban locations. The real estate itself is worth a lot. They haven't done anything different recently and Amazon is a big competitor. In danger of some market erosion. Right now it's around 15x multiple. Maybe should be around 10 times, so it could go down 30% from where they are right now.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 25, 2019
Stay away. Retail is tough. At this stage of the cycle, a lot of things they sell are discretionary. If the cycle turns down, he wants to be in something more defensive. Longer term, you have to figure out how they can grow. Domestically constrained, and competition is increasing.
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Stay away. Retail is tough. At this stage of the cycle, a lot of things they sell are discretionary. If the cycle turns down, he wants to be in something more defensive. Longer term, you have to figure out how they can grow. Domestically constrained, and competition is increasing.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 3, 2019
The problem he sees is that they are catering to people who are financially stressed. Their main target is homeowners who have repairs to make that are financially stretched. That group does not have the money to acquire things like the company needs them to. For now, it look vulnerable to him. He has not used their online system to make purchases, but is not convinced it is doing that great.
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The problem he sees is that they are catering to people who are financially stressed. Their main target is homeowners who have repairs to make that are financially stretched. That group does not have the money to acquire things like the company needs them to. For now, it look vulnerable to him. He has not used their online system to make purchases, but is not convinced it is doing that great.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 14, 2019
$137.22 is his model price, bang-on the current level. It's had a nice pullback, but this will be roadkill during a recession. He's lukewarm. Look at this at $110.
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$137.22 is his model price, bang-on the current level. It's had a nice pullback, but this will be roadkill during a recession. He's lukewarm. Look at this at $110.
WAIT
WAIT
June 14, 2019

It's mid-valuation. Nothing that exciting about it. Big fear was Amazon. Seems as though CTC is very special and hasn't been displaced by Amazon. Special niche, great franchise.

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It's mid-valuation. Nothing that exciting about it. Big fear was Amazon. Seems as though CTC is very special and hasn't been displaced by Amazon. Special niche, great franchise.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 11, 2019

There are better growth names out there as they are limited to the Canadian consumer market only. They have an advantage on larger garden items over Amazon for savings in shipping, but it is not enough to entice her.

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There are better growth names out there as they are limited to the Canadian consumer market only. They have an advantage on larger garden items over Amazon for savings in shipping, but it is not enough to entice her.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 7, 2019

It's a consumer discretionary stock. Canadian consumption is up 7.7% the last quarter and is hitting a 20-year high. However, CTC is in a steady downtrend. Around $142 is resistance, a problem. His indicators are pointing down on this stock. There's also a lot of overhead supply, too. There must be something fundamental affecting this stock.

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It's a consumer discretionary stock. Canadian consumption is up 7.7% the last quarter and is hitting a 20-year high. However, CTC is in a steady downtrend. Around $142 is resistance, a problem. His indicators are pointing down on this stock. There's also a lot of overhead supply, too. There must be something fundamental affecting this stock.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
June 3, 2019
It has come down a bit and so might be a buy. They have done a tremendous job growing the business over the years in the face of intense competition. Management does not see a slowdown. They made an acquisition of a fashion business but there are some synergies. It is not expensive but you need to be aware of some of the risks.
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It has come down a bit and so might be a buy. They have done a tremendous job growing the business over the years in the face of intense competition. Management does not see a slowdown. They made an acquisition of a fashion business but there are some synergies. It is not expensive but you need to be aware of some of the risks.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 10, 2019
China impacts? A neutral valuation for him. Trades at 14 times earnings. Lots of room to improve the yield going forward. Just not compelling right now. Issues with China may result in slightly higher prices. (Analysts’ price target is $170.31)
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China impacts? A neutral valuation for him. Trades at 14 times earnings. Lots of room to improve the yield going forward. Just not compelling right now. Issues with China may result in slightly higher prices. (Analysts’ price target is $170.31)
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 24, 2019
(A Top Pick May 17/18, Down 8%) The HellyHansen acquisition was thought too expensive by the street. Despite their past history of incorporating brands well, he is not concerned it has taken a while to get going. He will continue to hold it.
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(A Top Pick May 17/18, Down 8%) The HellyHansen acquisition was thought too expensive by the street. Despite their past history of incorporating brands well, he is not concerned it has taken a while to get going. He will continue to hold it.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 10, 2019
She doesn't buy Canadian retail, because the Canadian consumer isn't strong now. Also, online commerce is competing more.
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She doesn't buy Canadian retail, because the Canadian consumer isn't strong now. Also, online commerce is competing more.