Hudbay Minerals Inc.

HBM-T

Analysis and Opinions about HBM-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 24, 2020
Analysts see a target of $4.25. He is more cautious based on how vibrant the economy will be. Their business is focused on base metals like copper. Commodities will likely be in a sideways range for some time to come. Earnings are negative and expected to be down over 100% this year. This is not an active purchase candidate for him. He suggests owning gold stocks instead. (Analysts’ price target is $4.25)
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Analysts see a target of $4.25. He is more cautious based on how vibrant the economy will be. Their business is focused on base metals like copper. Commodities will likely be in a sideways range for some time to come. Earnings are negative and expected to be down over 100% this year. This is not an active purchase candidate for him. He suggests owning gold stocks instead. (Analysts’ price target is $4.25)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 10, 2020

Buy Keyera instead? He briefly owned this. An activist last year changed management, which didn't work for him. He doubts they'll get a Tuscon permit for their Rosemont copper mind in the States, given activists opposing it. As for Keyera, it's an apples and oranges talk--very different companies. But Keyera is a stronger company financially, so it'd be an uptrade.

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Buy Keyera instead? He briefly owned this. An activist last year changed management, which didn't work for him. He doubts they'll get a Tuscon permit for their Rosemont copper mind in the States, given activists opposing it. As for Keyera, it's an apples and oranges talk--very different companies. But Keyera is a stronger company financially, so it'd be an uptrade.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 3, 2020
2019 was a bad year, losing top management and a key growth project, Rosemont, has been halted by a court order. But their Manitoba zinc operations are fine. But Peruvian operations are troubled, though they have reached a settlement there. Production going forward may be flat or decline.
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2019 was a bad year, losing top management and a key growth project, Rosemont, has been halted by a court order. But their Manitoba zinc operations are fine. But Peruvian operations are troubled, though they have reached a settlement there. Production going forward may be flat or decline.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 24, 2020
Effected by the coronavirus? The coronavirus has effected the entire space, but HBM has fallen since late-2017 with two spikes up in its chart. In the last six months, it's fallen further to $3.60 with support at this level. Base metals pick up in March (seasonality), though. HBM must tournaround or it will fall below $3, per late-2015 levels.
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Effected by the coronavirus? The coronavirus has effected the entire space, but HBM has fallen since late-2017 with two spikes up in its chart. In the last six months, it's fallen further to $3.60 with support at this level. Base metals pick up in March (seasonality), though. HBM must tournaround or it will fall below $3, per late-2015 levels.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
February 3, 2020
(A Top Pick Feb 26/19, Down 55%) This is nothing but ugly and didn't work out. Sometimes things change that you didn't anticipate. He sold last July. Sometimes your first loss is your best loss. It continued to go down.
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(A Top Pick Feb 26/19, Down 55%) This is nothing but ugly and didn't work out. Sometimes things change that you didn't anticipate. He sold last July. Sometimes your first loss is your best loss. It continued to go down.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
January 17, 2020
(A Top Pick Feb 14/19, Down 36%) Their mine in Arizona is running into delays. This is really a call on copper prices. Copper prices are starting to rebound and with housing construction accounting for 40% of copper demand, the recent uptick in housing starts is also supportive. We could see another leg up on this run. It is currently neutral for him, but he will watch for upward price momentum.
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(A Top Pick Feb 14/19, Down 36%) Their mine in Arizona is running into delays. This is really a call on copper prices. Copper prices are starting to rebound and with housing construction accounting for 40% of copper demand, the recent uptick in housing starts is also supportive. We could see another leg up on this run. It is currently neutral for him, but he will watch for upward price momentum.
SELL
SELL
January 16, 2020
As a pure trend guy, this has been in a gently sloping downtrend for a while. The lows have been getting gently lower, and the highs gently higher. Might rally back a bit, or you just say there's another bus.
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As a pure trend guy, this has been in a gently sloping downtrend for a while. The lows have been getting gently lower, and the highs gently higher. Might rally back a bit, or you just say there's another bus.
HOLD
HOLD
January 8, 2020
Legal hurdles? A play on copper and he has been a long term holder. The proxy fights from last year are over. There is some issue about permitting on the upcoming US project. He thinks it will be approved longer term, but it may take longer. With all the turmoil in the world and given we are near an end of a bull cycle, this is a good time to get into base metals. What he needs to see is more investment in industrial production. You will have to be patient. He will continue to hold it.
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Legal hurdles? A play on copper and he has been a long term holder. The proxy fights from last year are over. There is some issue about permitting on the upcoming US project. He thinks it will be approved longer term, but it may take longer. With all the turmoil in the world and given we are near an end of a bull cycle, this is a good time to get into base metals. What he needs to see is more investment in industrial production. You will have to be patient. He will continue to hold it.
WAIT
WAIT
December 6, 2019
Dispute it coming down, it could go down further. Institutions usually don’t hold stocks cheaper than $5. In this case, wait for it to tick back up in consolidation.
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Dispute it coming down, it could go down further. Institutions usually don’t hold stocks cheaper than $5. In this case, wait for it to tick back up in consolidation.
HOLD
HOLD
December 3, 2019
He isn't looking for buoyancy in the underlying commodity price. Losing Rosemont permit: that appeal will take a long time. Meanwhile, HBM must focus--and is--elsewhere to expand. The stock has been punished by the pullback of the Rosemont permit. Hold this for a few years and it could double. Meanwhile, wait and see.
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He isn't looking for buoyancy in the underlying commodity price. Losing Rosemont permit: that appeal will take a long time. Meanwhile, HBM must focus--and is--elsewhere to expand. The stock has been punished by the pullback of the Rosemont permit. Hold this for a few years and it could double. Meanwhile, wait and see.
BUY
BUY
November 19, 2019
The sector had a slight run and is now rangebound. It is now at the low end of $10. Buy it now as a trade.
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The sector had a slight run and is now rangebound. It is now at the low end of $10. Buy it now as a trade.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 28, 2019
A quality company but really over a decade it made nobody any money. It's tradable. It is an under-performer. He does not like it long term.
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A quality company but really over a decade it made nobody any money. It's tradable. It is an under-performer. He does not like it long term.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
October 22, 2019
(A Top Pick Oct 24/18, Down 7%) If not for the delay in the Rosemount mine, this would do a lot better. Disappointing, but he's waiting--that's key. Its assets are attractive. At least it isn't operating in politically sensitive areas.
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(A Top Pick Oct 24/18, Down 7%) If not for the delay in the Rosemount mine, this would do a lot better. Disappointing, but he's waiting--that's key. Its assets are attractive. At least it isn't operating in politically sensitive areas.
SELL
SELL
October 10, 2019
Arizona mine hung up in admin for at least another year. Copper prices rolled over. Don't want to own a marginal commodity producer admidst slowing global growth.
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Arizona mine hung up in admin for at least another year. Copper prices rolled over. Don't want to own a marginal commodity producer admidst slowing global growth.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 4, 2019
You have to have a strong stomach to be into mining stocks. A recession causes this sector to sold off aggressively. He does not like that fact that miners are price takers -- they have little control over revenues. He likes companies like Apple that are price makers. He predicts HBM-T share prices will be volatile, especially since we are late in the economic cycle. He would stay away.
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You have to have a strong stomach to be into mining stocks. A recession causes this sector to sold off aggressively. He does not like that fact that miners are price takers -- they have little control over revenues. He likes companies like Apple that are price makers. He predicts HBM-T share prices will be volatile, especially since we are late in the economic cycle. He would stay away.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 9, 2019
They recently had a major setback in the permitting of the Rosemont mine. At these levels this stock is down and out for the count, but they would be good long term. They are going to survive but have suffered as of late.
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They recently had a major setback in the permitting of the Rosemont mine. At these levels this stock is down and out for the count, but they would be good long term. They are going to survive but have suffered as of late.
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 17, 2019

LUN vs HBM? He owns LUN-T, but not HBM-T as it has a lower beta to the market. They are good at timing their acquisitions and they know how to balance brownfield expansions, while creating cross-commodity diversification. HBM-T has gone through a proxy fight and their CEO has departed -- it is a wait and see company.

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LUN vs HBM? He owns LUN-T, but not HBM-T as it has a lower beta to the market. They are good at timing their acquisitions and they know how to balance brownfield expansions, while creating cross-commodity diversification. HBM-T has gone through a proxy fight and their CEO has departed -- it is a wait and see company.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 12, 2019
(A Top Pick Jun 26/18, Down 13%) He sold this at over $10, because it had run up so much for him and he didn't expect the China tariffs to get resolved anytime soon. Now, HBM is worth considering again as they transition to a new CEO.
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(A Top Pick Jun 26/18, Down 13%) He sold this at over $10, because it had run up so much for him and he didn't expect the China tariffs to get resolved anytime soon. Now, HBM is worth considering again as they transition to a new CEO.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 17, 2019
(A Top Pick May 30/18, Down 19%) It has been up and down over the last year. It is still one of his favourite stocks within the metals and minerals. They did a great deal to clean up operations in Manitoba. There is potential for increases in cash flows down the road. He'd stick with it.
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(A Top Pick May 30/18, Down 19%) It has been up and down over the last year. It is still one of his favourite stocks within the metals and minerals. They did a great deal to clean up operations in Manitoba. There is potential for increases in cash flows down the road. He'd stick with it.
BUY
BUY
June 13, 2019
Forecasting commodities prices is very difficult. Copper in particular which is one if the main metals that this company produces has been low. If we get a soft landing then copper demand should pick up. China has been a bigger consumer and that demand is going to be there even at a lower growing pace. They are involved in many projects that will increase production in the future. The stock has been choppy as they had a sort of a Board coup with an activist investor being involved. Longer term the stock price will follow the fundamentals.
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Forecasting commodities prices is very difficult. Copper in particular which is one if the main metals that this company produces has been low. If we get a soft landing then copper demand should pick up. China has been a bigger consumer and that demand is going to be there even at a lower growing pace. They are involved in many projects that will increase production in the future. The stock has been choppy as they had a sort of a Board coup with an activist investor being involved. Longer term the stock price will follow the fundamentals.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 15, 2019
(A Top Pick Apr 26/18, Down 25%) It was not long ago it traded $10. In the past four weeks concerns over the economy have dampened the share value. They are doing good work to run the operations. It has great torque to the commodity cycle. He would be a buyer here. Indigenous investigation is causing some worry with mine expansion plans.
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(A Top Pick Apr 26/18, Down 25%) It was not long ago it traded $10. In the past four weeks concerns over the economy have dampened the share value. They are doing good work to run the operations. It has great torque to the commodity cycle. He would be a buyer here. Indigenous investigation is causing some worry with mine expansion plans.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
He would prefer HBM-T. The trend is not your friend with TV-T. The danger is that it can be left for dead and continue to get cheaper without anyone stepping in. HBM-T follows the trend in copper and is trading at under book value.
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He would prefer HBM-T. The trend is not your friend with TV-T. The danger is that it can be left for dead and continue to get cheaper without anyone stepping in. HBM-T follows the trend in copper and is trading at under book value.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
May 6, 2019
The commodity stocks as a sector are pretty reasonable. One of the catalysts you need is for the US$ to roll over and give them some breathing room. There is room for HBM-T to lift up and is one that will lift up if you get this trading thing out of the way.
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The commodity stocks as a sector are pretty reasonable. One of the catalysts you need is for the US$ to roll over and give them some breathing room. There is room for HBM-T to lift up and is one that will lift up if you get this trading thing out of the way.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
May 1, 2019
An unhappy investor is making things challenging in a proxy fight. Production increases will be coming over the next few years. It has been selling at a significant discount to its peers. He thinks management will win the fight. Yield 0.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.70)
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An unhappy investor is making things challenging in a proxy fight. Production increases will be coming over the next few years. It has been selling at a significant discount to its peers. He thinks management will win the fight. Yield 0.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.70)
HOLD
HOLD
April 22, 2019
It trades within a strict range. His target is $9.00. It may see 10% upside from the current price, then it'll go down again. Hold, don't buy.
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It trades within a strict range. His target is $9.00. It may see 10% upside from the current price, then it'll go down again. Hold, don't buy.
BUY
BUY
April 9, 2019
He recommended this 2 weeks ago to clients. If we start a new 4-year economic cycle, then you want to be long cyclical commodities including this stock. A fantastic chart. $12 target. He sees the current rally going to May/June when you would get cautious and maybe take some profits.
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He recommended this 2 weeks ago to clients. If we start a new 4-year economic cycle, then you want to be long cyclical commodities including this stock. A fantastic chart. $12 target. He sees the current rally going to May/June when you would get cautious and maybe take some profits.
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
April 3, 2019
The stock has been rocking, really great. Metals enjoy seasonality now into May. There's still room to return to past highs. Technically, the chart is good. However, if the chart rolls-over, watch out.
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The stock has been rocking, really great. Metals enjoy seasonality now into May. There's still room to return to past highs. Technically, the chart is good. However, if the chart rolls-over, watch out.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
February 26, 2019
A cyclical, a mid-sized metal miner in Alberta as well as Peru and Arizona where they should obtain their permits. Boasts 0.8x book value. Rising copper and zinc prices are tailwinds. (Analysts’ price target is $10.09)
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A cyclical, a mid-sized metal miner in Alberta as well as Peru and Arizona where they should obtain their permits. Boasts 0.8x book value. Rising copper and zinc prices are tailwinds. (Analysts’ price target is $10.09)
WAIT
WAIT
February 21, 2019
We had a downtrend and a bottom in November just before the market bottom. It started to recover before the market bottom, showing signs of leadership. He expects a sideways consolidation now and then it looks good.
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We had a downtrend and a bottom in November just before the market bottom. It started to recover before the market bottom, showing signs of leadership. He expects a sideways consolidation now and then it looks good.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
February 14, 2019
He is bullish on a trade resolution. It ranks in the top 5% of all stocks. 0.7 times book, 7 time PE. They are still able to generate cash flow. It is a bit volatile but has improving price momentum. It has turned the corner. (Analysts’ price target is $9.59)
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He is bullish on a trade resolution. It ranks in the top 5% of all stocks. 0.7 times book, 7 time PE. They are still able to generate cash flow. It is a bit volatile but has improving price momentum. It has turned the corner. (Analysts’ price target is $9.59)
BUY
BUY
February 4, 2019
TV-T vs. HBM-T. TV-T has ties to the zinc market, which has been under severe pressure from tax loss selling. HBM-T would be a better replacement if you want to be here.
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TV-T vs. HBM-T. TV-T has ties to the zinc market, which has been under severe pressure from tax loss selling. HBM-T would be a better replacement if you want to be here.
PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
January 28, 2019
It's had troubles returning to peaks, and it's stuck in a channel for long. $6 is the top, so it's got to get above $6. Traders should sell at $6, but if you're patient, then hold. See what it does. There's no reason to sell it otherwise.
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It's had troubles returning to peaks, and it's stuck in a channel for long. $6 is the top, so it's got to get above $6. Traders should sell at $6, but if you're patient, then hold. See what it does. There's no reason to sell it otherwise.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 9, 2019
Hudbay vs Teck. These are two different companies. Teck being more focused on coal, copper and zinc. Hudbay is more copper and zinc. He would prefer Teck. As these do not provide any yield, he does not stay on top of these ones. He would stay on the sidelines for these given the trade issues globally. The next Presidential election will likely help define the future -- it will be uncertain until then. China will continue to be a big consumer and supply is being curtailed at these low commodity prices. The inventory situation will be improving over time, but it is still too early.
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Hudbay vs Teck. These are two different companies. Teck being more focused on coal, copper and zinc. Hudbay is more copper and zinc. He would prefer Teck. As these do not provide any yield, he does not stay on top of these ones. He would stay on the sidelines for these given the trade issues globally. The next Presidential election will likely help define the future -- it will be uncertain until then. China will continue to be a big consumer and supply is being curtailed at these low commodity prices. The inventory situation will be improving over time, but it is still too early.
BUY
BUY
November 26, 2018
The downside is over, and he's a little optimistic about commodities. Also, the US dollar is peaking, which has been dragging down this sector. We could see a bounce in commodities (copper, zinc, metals), with not much more downside.
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The downside is over, and he's a little optimistic about commodities. Also, the US dollar is peaking, which has been dragging down this sector. We could see a bounce in commodities (copper, zinc, metals), with not much more downside.
WAIT
WAIT
October 29, 2018

Trade tensions with China are going to see demand keep falling for base metals. Sometime in 2021 a lot of these stocks are going to be cheap and have growth for 10 years plus, and that is when to get into them. This is one of the purest plays in the base metals space.

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Trade tensions with China are going to see demand keep falling for base metals. Sometime in 2021 a lot of these stocks are going to be cheap and have growth for 10 years plus, and that is when to get into them. This is one of the purest plays in the base metals space.

HOLD
HOLD
October 26, 2018

All the base metals are getting creamed, down a ton. Frustrating--they aren't hitting on any of their metrics. It's getting more difficult to produce copper at present prices, problems with the mines. It's oversold. There could be heavy tax-loss selling soon. He wishes operations were going better. In a recent controversy, a seller doesn't want Hudbay to buy anything now as takeover and merger specualtion ensues.

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All the base metals are getting creamed, down a ton. Frustrating--they aren't hitting on any of their metrics. It's getting more difficult to produce copper at present prices, problems with the mines. It's oversold. There could be heavy tax-loss selling soon. He wishes operations were going better. In a recent controversy, a seller doesn't want Hudbay to buy anything now as takeover and merger specualtion ensues.