A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

A Commentary

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Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 4, 2020
The Iowa caucus (happened the night before) will probably benefit Pete and Bernie, but down the road he expects Bloomberg to prevail in the Democratic nomination. If Biden were 15 years younger, he would be a favourite. Nobody hates him, but he's pretty old. Bloomberg is old too, but as a rich New Yorker he can take on Trump. The Democratic nominee must seize the center to win... The coronavirus is important, but he looked up some stats and found that most deaths were of very old people, some with existing conditions.
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General Market Comment
February 4, 2020
The Iowa caucus (happened the night before) will probably benefit Pete and Bernie, but down the road he expects Bloomberg to prevail in the Democratic nomination. If Biden were 15 years younger, he would be a favourite. Nobody hates him, but he's pretty old. Bloomberg is old too, but as a rich New Yorker he can take on Trump. The Democratic nominee must seize the center to win... The coronavirus is important, but he looked up some stats and found that most deaths were of very old people, some with existing conditions.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 4, 2020
Can I expect a 10% return from a Canadian bank? A portfolio must be diversified. Don't load up on big tech, for example. They will move in a pack. Also own banks, utilities and pipelines, which are more boring and won't offer explosive growth, but are dependable and safer. Sure, we all want to make 10% a year, but can that happen? True, collecting a 4% dividend and 6% share appreciation is possible. It has been possible for banks in the past, but we're in the low-interest rate world.
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General Market Comment
February 4, 2020
Can I expect a 10% return from a Canadian bank? A portfolio must be diversified. Don't load up on big tech, for example. They will move in a pack. Also own banks, utilities and pipelines, which are more boring and won't offer explosive growth, but are dependable and safer. Sure, we all want to make 10% a year, but can that happen? True, collecting a 4% dividend and 6% share appreciation is possible. It has been possible for banks in the past, but we're in the low-interest rate world.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 4, 2020
Lithium: will we run out given the popularity of Tesla, etc? There's a lot of lithium in the world, so there's not a limited supply. We won't run out.
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General Market Comment
February 4, 2020
Lithium: will we run out given the popularity of Tesla, etc? There's a lot of lithium in the world, so there's not a limited supply. We won't run out.
N/A
N/A
February 3, 2020
Market. These things like the corona virus tend to blow over quite quickly. He does not mean to down play the human cost. Conditions are still in place for a pretty decent year in the stock market. As January goes, so goes the rest of the year often and January posted gains. The data is still supportive of an economical cycle continuing. 85% of the US economy has been in an expansion all along. He is expecting a good year for stocks.
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
Market. These things like the corona virus tend to blow over quite quickly. He does not mean to down play the human cost. Conditions are still in place for a pretty decent year in the stock market. As January goes, so goes the rest of the year often and January posted gains. The data is still supportive of an economical cycle continuing. 85% of the US economy has been in an expansion all along. He is expecting a good year for stocks.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 3, 2020
Energy Stocks. He has exposure to energy stocks that are not Natural Gas. He likes producers and integrateds. The last two weeks have been unsettling but it goes with the turf when you invest in commodities. He plays the bigger, safer companies with the stronger balance sheets.
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
Energy Stocks. He has exposure to energy stocks that are not Natural Gas. He likes producers and integrateds. The last two weeks have been unsettling but it goes with the turf when you invest in commodities. He plays the bigger, safer companies with the stronger balance sheets.
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N/A
February 3, 2020
[Berman's Call did not air today.]
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
[Berman's Call did not air today.]
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 3, 2020
Before Christmas, he called a correction in January and it's happening.
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
Before Christmas, he called a correction in January and it's happening.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 3, 2020
What indicators do you use? First, his father was a stockbroker who taught him to chart stocks; he'd record the volume by hand. He's a big fan of on-balance volume. Also uses price momentum and relative strength (strength of a stock relative to its index). More and more the market is technically driven. He uses these standard indicators used by many.
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
What indicators do you use? First, his father was a stockbroker who taught him to chart stocks; he'd record the volume by hand. He's a big fan of on-balance volume. Also uses price momentum and relative strength (strength of a stock relative to its index). More and more the market is technically driven. He uses these standard indicators used by many.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 3, 2020
Caller sells winners too soon. What length of chart to look at for a short-term trade of 1-3 months? He looks at three time frames: long-term monthly, weekly (3-5 years duration), and daily (a year duration). So, look at weekly to determine long-term trend and direction, and daily to choose entry or sell points.
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
Caller sells winners too soon. What length of chart to look at for a short-term trade of 1-3 months? He looks at three time frames: long-term monthly, weekly (3-5 years duration), and daily (a year duration). So, look at weekly to determine long-term trend and direction, and daily to choose entry or sell points.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 3, 2020
A four-year cycle started in Dec. 2018 with upside into 2021. This current correction is an opportunity, but wait--don't step in yet. There's more downside to come. His S&P target is 3,100, or 5% downside from today's close. So, the hardest thing to do in coming weeks is....nothing. Wait. Overall, he's very bullish for the rest of the year....Gold has played out perfectly since Dec. 24. Say this correction we're in now last another 2-3 weeks. By the end of Febraury, there's a window of seasonality for gold (Oct-Feb) when demand peaks. Gold is fine as a place to hide during this correction. Hedgers are very short gold; gold could come under pressure into summer.... Oil's support level is $50, then $40. There could be continued downside. We're seeing lower highs and lows. Commodities are in a bear market that he expects to last 10 years--but with pockets of performance. In the next week or two, there'll be an opportunity to add some energy exposure.
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General Market Comment
February 3, 2020
A four-year cycle started in Dec. 2018 with upside into 2021. This current correction is an opportunity, but wait--don't step in yet. There's more downside to come. His S&P target is 3,100, or 5% downside from today's close. So, the hardest thing to do in coming weeks is....nothing. Wait. Overall, he's very bullish for the rest of the year....Gold has played out perfectly since Dec. 24. Say this correction we're in now last another 2-3 weeks. By the end of Febraury, there's a window of seasonality for gold (Oct-Feb) when demand peaks. Gold is fine as a place to hide during this correction. Hedgers are very short gold; gold could come under pressure into summer.... Oil's support level is $50, then $40. There could be continued downside. We're seeing lower highs and lows. Commodities are in a bear market that he expects to last 10 years--but with pockets of performance. In the next week or two, there'll be an opportunity to add some energy exposure.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2020
Market Outlook Caronavirus is creating short term moves down, including today. This is creating some really good buys, with some stocks down 10-15% -- especially energies and small caps. Averaging in should be a good strategy. The WHO announced a health emergency yesterday afternoon and stocks rallied into the close as it was the believe that China is going to be able to contain it.
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General Market Comment
January 31, 2020
Market Outlook Caronavirus is creating short term moves down, including today. This is creating some really good buys, with some stocks down 10-15% -- especially energies and small caps. Averaging in should be a good strategy. The WHO announced a health emergency yesterday afternoon and stocks rallied into the close as it was the believe that China is going to be able to contain it.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2020
When the market reaches these new highs, the moment it shows that there is some cracking, then people will try to take their gains and exit. If you're sitting on profits, it might be the time people take their profits.
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General Market Comment
January 31, 2020
When the market reaches these new highs, the moment it shows that there is some cracking, then people will try to take their gains and exit. If you're sitting on profits, it might be the time people take their profits.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2020
The profits are still there because of the long run we've had. He expects that the sell-off will continue for a couple days or the next week. He doesn't see any news that would make it go down more. However, there is momentum to continue going down.
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General Market Comment
January 31, 2020
The profits are still there because of the long run we've had. He expects that the sell-off will continue for a couple days or the next week. He doesn't see any news that would make it go down more. However, there is momentum to continue going down.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2020
He thinks there could be some problems with the coronavirus, but China is better organized that during SARS. The tricky part is the longer incubation period that helps the virus spread. China has shut everything down, and it's interesting to see how this pans out. Canada and the US are on guard, but it's not like SARS. It's more a Chinese problem generally but they will over come it.
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General Market Comment
January 31, 2020
He thinks there could be some problems with the coronavirus, but China is better organized that during SARS. The tricky part is the longer incubation period that helps the virus spread. China has shut everything down, and it's interesting to see how this pans out. Canada and the US are on guard, but it's not like SARS. It's more a Chinese problem generally but they will over come it.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2020
He wonders if consumption will fall because of the virus. If you're nervous about your energy stocks, people might jump off. Energy stocks might not perform until the anti-fossil fuel group gets rid of all their positions. The sector is super cheap, but they could stay cheap for quite a while. Energy is not partaking in the lift that we see in other sectors.
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General Market Comment
January 31, 2020
He wonders if consumption will fall because of the virus. If you're nervous about your energy stocks, people might jump off. Energy stocks might not perform until the anti-fossil fuel group gets rid of all their positions. The sector is super cheap, but they could stay cheap for quite a while. Energy is not partaking in the lift that we see in other sectors.
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