Bonavista Energy Corp

BNP-T

Analysis and Opinions about BNP-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 22, 2015

He sold it when he thought they behaved badly with a new issue and then a dividend cut. He prefers ARX-T and CPG-T and CNQ-T. He also likes TOU-T for gas. There are better opportunities than BNP-T.

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He sold it when he thought they behaved badly with a new issue and then a dividend cut. He prefers ARX-T and CPG-T and CNQ-T. He also likes TOU-T for gas. There are better opportunities than BNP-T.

HOLD
HOLD
June 8, 2015

It has been a tough hold. He wants to revisit the name. It trades at a discount to peers. It struggled.

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It has been a tough hold. He wants to revisit the name. It trades at a discount to peers. It struggled.

BUY
BUY
May 4, 2015

It looks like we are making a bottom. We are in accumulation mode. Get out if you see lower lows.

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It looks like we are making a bottom. We are in accumulation mode. Get out if you see lower lows.

COMMENT
COMMENT
April 2, 2015

This is about 67% gas and he does not really want to invest in companies that are overly weighted to gas. Balance sheet that is a little bit higher than what he is comfortable with. Management team is considered to be one of the best in Calgary. They have a pretty good hedge book in place, so about half of their gas is hedged.

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This is about 67% gas and he does not really want to invest in companies that are overly weighted to gas. Balance sheet that is a little bit higher than what he is comfortable with. Management team is considered to be one of the best in Calgary. They have a pretty good hedge book in place, so about half of their gas is hedged.

COMMENT
COMMENT
February 25, 2015

Has been hammered along with a lot of other energy stocks, but this has always been one of the better managed companies in the group. It is proportionately more exposed to natural gas. With the current pricing of energy commodities, you have to ask how safe the dividend is. This management has always been better at executing in the oil/gas area. For people that are looking for more speculation in their portfolio, this might be a small piece of their portfolio because it could have tremendous upside relative to the downside.

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Has been hammered along with a lot of other energy stocks, but this has always been one of the better managed companies in the group. It is proportionately more exposed to natural gas. With the current pricing of energy commodities, you have to ask how safe the dividend is. This management has always been better at executing in the oil/gas area. For people that are looking for more speculation in their portfolio, this might be a small piece of their portfolio because it could have tremendous upside relative to the downside.

SELL
SELL
February 12, 2015

If you own, you are best to take your loss and move on to another company. This company has had a few issues. Operations are good, but the commodity price is not working for them and she is very concerned about propane prices right now. Even if they cut their dividend, they face a lot of challenges going forward.

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If you own, you are best to take your loss and move on to another company. This company has had a few issues. Operations are good, but the commodity price is not working for them and she is very concerned about propane prices right now. Even if they cut their dividend, they face a lot of challenges going forward.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 7, 2015

Has always had a great amount of respect for management. Has a fairly strong balance sheet and incredible play content and is one of the leaders in the sector. If the market turns and we get a little rebound in prices, it will get caught up in the rally definitely.

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Has always had a great amount of respect for management. Has a fairly strong balance sheet and incredible play content and is one of the leaders in the sector. If the market turns and we get a little rebound in prices, it will get caught up in the rally definitely.

PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
January 6, 2015

The stock is currently below its 2012 low. This is not unusual. This has been a stunning decline. We’ve had the tax loss selling and we are supposed to be rallying through January, but we are running into trouble. He would reduce your holdings.

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The stock is currently below its 2012 low. This is not unusual. This has been a stunning decline. We’ve had the tax loss selling and we are supposed to be rallying through January, but we are running into trouble. He would reduce your holdings.

HOLD
HOLD
December 5, 2014

Well-managed. Has a great yield. Mainly gas and is hedged into next year. 40% of next year’s production is hedged off at much higher prices, so the distribution should be relatively safe. However, the gas price hasn’t lifted up much, partly because we lost a big part of our natural gas export market in the US, to the Marcellus drilling. A low cost producer at under $12 BOE. You just have to be patient.

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Well-managed. Has a great yield. Mainly gas and is hedged into next year. 40% of next year’s production is hedged off at much higher prices, so the distribution should be relatively safe. However, the gas price hasn’t lifted up much, partly because we lost a big part of our natural gas export market in the US, to the Marcellus drilling. A low cost producer at under $12 BOE. You just have to be patient.

COMMENT
COMMENT
November 27, 2014

Senior intermediate sized company with high distribution. Debt is over two times, but they have the same CEO from a long time ago and he can steer them through good and bad times. He is condensing the portfolio of properties to leave only the very best ones. Good hedging policy. Some of the better internal rates of returns in the province.

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Senior intermediate sized company with high distribution. Debt is over two times, but they have the same CEO from a long time ago and he can steer them through good and bad times. He is condensing the portfolio of properties to leave only the very best ones. Good hedging policy. Some of the better internal rates of returns in the province.

WAIT
WAIT
November 26, 2014

This management deserves a lot of credit. They have made a lot of strides. A checkmark for organic execution that we saw in the last quarter. High production. Unfortunately, $75 WTI and $4 natural gas, their effective payout ratio goes to 154% and debt to cash flow goes to an uncomfortable 3.2%, and you don’t want to be above 3. Their cash flow per share growth falls next year by about 20%. He would wait and watch for crude to stabilize at least.

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This management deserves a lot of credit. They have made a lot of strides. A checkmark for organic execution that we saw in the last quarter. High production. Unfortunately, $75 WTI and $4 natural gas, their effective payout ratio goes to 154% and debt to cash flow goes to an uncomfortable 3.2%, and you don’t want to be above 3. Their cash flow per share growth falls next year by about 20%. He would wait and watch for crude to stabilize at least.

HOLD
HOLD
November 25, 2014

Thinks this is okay. Doesn’t see a tremendous amount of catalysts for it. He is struggling to find names that will work for investors in the relatively near term, 5-6 months, given his bearish outlook for oil and gas. Fundamentally it is fine and doesn’t see any major problems.

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Thinks this is okay. Doesn’t see a tremendous amount of catalysts for it. He is struggling to find names that will work for investors in the relatively near term, 5-6 months, given his bearish outlook for oil and gas. Fundamentally it is fine and doesn’t see any major problems.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
November 24, 2014

Have had a checkered existence because of a past dividend cut. But given the current yield and that management learned something about keeping their word, you could own it. The 7% dividend is a bit of a risk.

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Have had a checkered existence because of a past dividend cut. But given the current yield and that management learned something about keeping their word, you could own it. The 7% dividend is a bit of a risk.

COMMENT
COMMENT
November 19, 2014

This has been a tremendous growth story. There is a new management team, which he thinks is very talented and who are doing their best to right side the balance sheet, as they had a little bit too much debt at one point. They stuck with the dividend through thick and thin, but eventually reduced it. He likes the new management team and thinks they are doing the right things. This is one that you could own.

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This has been a tremendous growth story. There is a new management team, which he thinks is very talented and who are doing their best to right side the balance sheet, as they had a little bit too much debt at one point. They stuck with the dividend through thick and thin, but eventually reduced it. He likes the new management team and thinks they are doing the right things. This is one that you could own.

COMMENT
COMMENT
November 14, 2014

Likes this one long-term, but is concerned about where commodity prices are going. He has a $14 target on this. On an $80 oil environment, they seem to be able to stay put for now.

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Likes this one long-term, but is concerned about where commodity prices are going. He has a $14 target on this. On an $80 oil environment, they seem to be able to stay put for now.

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