Chartwell Seniors Housing

CSH.UN-T

TSE:CSH.UN

10.22
0.00 (0.00%)
Chartwell Retirement Residences is the largest participant in the Canadian seniors housing sector, with nearly 180 locations across Quebec, Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia.
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Analysis and Opinions about CSH.UN-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
BUY
BUY
August 11, 2020
The demographics are attractive in seniors housing and this won't go away. The pandemic did strain long-term care homes, but CSH has only 10% in this area. Their main business are luxury retirement homes. Their occupancy rate did decline because tours and move-ins were forbidden during the lockdown, but each week since the lockdown occupancy slightly climbs. Occupancy should improve going forward. Seniors continue to need help in accommodation. CSH has had to spend more on PPP equipment in response to the pandemic. The industry has learned a lot from the pandemic and will be better prepared if there's a second wave. The Ontario government has announced funding programs to address deficiencies in LTCs.
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The demographics are attractive in seniors housing and this won't go away. The pandemic did strain long-term care homes, but CSH has only 10% in this area. Their main business are luxury retirement homes. Their occupancy rate did decline because tours and move-ins were forbidden during the lockdown, but each week since the lockdown occupancy slightly climbs. Occupancy should improve going forward. Seniors continue to need help in accommodation. CSH has had to spend more on PPP equipment in response to the pandemic. The industry has learned a lot from the pandemic and will be better prepared if there's a second wave. The Ontario government has announced funding programs to address deficiencies in LTCs.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 10, 2020
She once owned it. The retirement sector was weak even before COVID due to oversupply of seniors' housing in Canada. (CSH has only 15% exposed to long-term care.) She expects ongoing occupancy decline, and with COVID expenses will impact their 2020 revenues. This stock is on hold, though the seniors housing sector is attractive long-term. The stock will stay cheap until COVID is resolved and the oversupply ends.
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She once owned it. The retirement sector was weak even before COVID due to oversupply of seniors' housing in Canada. (CSH has only 15% exposed to long-term care.) She expects ongoing occupancy decline, and with COVID expenses will impact their 2020 revenues. This stock is on hold, though the seniors housing sector is attractive long-term. The stock will stay cheap until COVID is resolved and the oversupply ends.
BUY
BUY
July 16, 2020
Industry hard hit with Covid. Chartwell's handled it quite well. Government is putting money into long term care. A needs driven industry, and this need still exists. 90% of income is from private care, with a more affluent client base. With reopening, tours have restarted so occupancy rates will stabilize.
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Industry hard hit with Covid. Chartwell's handled it quite well. Government is putting money into long term care. A needs driven industry, and this need still exists. 90% of income is from private care, with a more affluent client base. With reopening, tours have restarted so occupancy rates will stabilize.
BUY
BUY
July 13, 2020

CSH.UN vs. Sienna A tough call. He owns both. Loves their yields and their valuations have plunged. Nursing homes remain a growth area. Sienna has more problems than Chartwell--Sienna was faulted in the Canadian army report about seniors' deaths in their homes. Chartwell is the stronger play, due to fewer cases in their homes. Both are hamstrung now, because they can't offer tours to prospective clients or allow visitors. This will effect occupancy rates in the short term. (His mother is in a retirement home.)

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CSH.UN vs. Sienna A tough call. He owns both. Loves their yields and their valuations have plunged. Nursing homes remain a growth area. Sienna has more problems than Chartwell--Sienna was faulted in the Canadian army report about seniors' deaths in their homes. Chartwell is the stronger play, due to fewer cases in their homes. Both are hamstrung now, because they can't offer tours to prospective clients or allow visitors. This will effect occupancy rates in the short term. (His mother is in a retirement home.)

BUY
BUY
July 9, 2020
You have to be picky in this space, so he likes this high quality one. He added during the March downturn. There's growth demand, and supply is not catching up. Nice yield. Good long term.
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You have to be picky in this space, so he likes this high quality one. He added during the March downturn. There's growth demand, and supply is not catching up. Nice yield. Good long term.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 25, 2020

SIA-T vs. CSH.UN-T. It was sad what the pandemic has done in the long term care sector. Sienna has had to make some difficult management changes. This is an important needs-based sector in Canada. In Ontario the government has to look how they can properly fund that business. With question marks on the horizon, he would focus on CSH.UN-T because it does not depend on government finding as much. They have done a phenomenal job during the pandemic.

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SIA-T vs. CSH.UN-T. It was sad what the pandemic has done in the long term care sector. Sienna has had to make some difficult management changes. This is an important needs-based sector in Canada. In Ontario the government has to look how they can properly fund that business. With question marks on the horizon, he would focus on CSH.UN-T because it does not depend on government finding as much. They have done a phenomenal job during the pandemic.

BUY
BUY
June 24, 2020
They have owned this for a number of years. She has been in regular contact with their management since COVID-19 lock downs. Only about 10% of their income comes from long term care. Longer term this sector is attractive due to an aging demographic. They have handled the crisis well. She is not sure if short term growth will continue as most locations are not allowed to offer tours presently and vacancy rates are increasing as a result. She has been putting new customer money into Chartwell over the past few weeks. Yield 6%
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They have owned this for a number of years. She has been in regular contact with their management since COVID-19 lock downs. Only about 10% of their income comes from long term care. Longer term this sector is attractive due to an aging demographic. They have handled the crisis well. She is not sure if short term growth will continue as most locations are not allowed to offer tours presently and vacancy rates are increasing as a result. She has been putting new customer money into Chartwell over the past few weeks. Yield 6%
BUY
BUY
June 9, 2020
Concerns about the Canadian army report which implicated Sienna Senior Living and other operators for mistreating seniors He owns Chartwell instead and likes it for its 6.5%+ dividend. There's a shortage of seniors housing long term, so you need a long-term outlook like 5-10 years. Demand will remain good. Be patient and collect the dividend.
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Concerns about the Canadian army report which implicated Sienna Senior Living and other operators for mistreating seniors He owns Chartwell instead and likes it for its 6.5%+ dividend. There's a shortage of seniors housing long term, so you need a long-term outlook like 5-10 years. Demand will remain good. Be patient and collect the dividend.
WAIT
WAIT
June 5, 2020
Dividend safe? This sector is a the heart of pandemic concerns. He is watching this, but has not yet purchased. He thinks the dividend is safe as long as there is not a second wave in the pandemic. This is a well respected company in the space. It is too early to tell.
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Dividend safe? This sector is a the heart of pandemic concerns. He is watching this, but has not yet purchased. He thinks the dividend is safe as long as there is not a second wave in the pandemic. This is a well respected company in the space. It is too early to tell.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 5, 2020

People are now fishing for companies that were the most beaten up -- like airlines, etc. The long term thesis is still good for this space, but he sees other ways to play this. He would favour CSH.UN instead.

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People are now fishing for companies that were the most beaten up -- like airlines, etc. The long term thesis is still good for this space, but he sees other ways to play this. He would favour CSH.UN instead.

SELL
SELL
May 14, 2020

CSH.UN-T vs. SU-T. They seem to have nothing relating to one another. Both have had a difficult time. There is a logical answer to this. Falling interest rates are the single biggest supporter of real estate values. We are at or near generational lows in interest rates. If you saw reflation then commodity assets would start to participate. He would own SU-T or CNQ-T if he were to own something in energy. He owns SU-T. He would sell CHR.UN-T in order to buy SU-T.

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CSH.UN-T vs. SU-T. They seem to have nothing relating to one another. Both have had a difficult time. There is a logical answer to this. Falling interest rates are the single biggest supporter of real estate values. We are at or near generational lows in interest rates. If you saw reflation then commodity assets would start to participate. He would own SU-T or CNQ-T if he were to own something in energy. He owns SU-T. He would sell CHR.UN-T in order to buy SU-T.

HOLD
HOLD
May 13, 2020
Exposed to LT care? They own this one. As there have been deaths in long term care units, there is concern. Their level of care is very high to residents. As most units are in lockdown presently, their occupancy is declining. This will be difficult for senior housing for sure. She trusts their protocols for residents and employees. They will continue to hold.
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Exposed to LT care? They own this one. As there have been deaths in long term care units, there is concern. Their level of care is very high to residents. As most units are in lockdown presently, their occupancy is declining. This will be difficult for senior housing for sure. She trusts their protocols for residents and employees. They will continue to hold.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 13, 2020

She does not own Sienna. Their mix of long term care homes is much larger than others in the space. She has chosen Chartwell instead.

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She does not own Sienna. Their mix of long term care homes is much larger than others in the space. She has chosen Chartwell instead.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
March 13, 2020
(A Top Pick Mar 12/19, Down 30%) It has been hit hard. The CEO indicates the trends are moving in the right direction. None of their facilities had any COVID-19 outbreaks (as of late February).
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(A Top Pick Mar 12/19, Down 30%) It has been hit hard. The CEO indicates the trends are moving in the right direction. None of their facilities had any COVID-19 outbreaks (as of late February).
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 28, 2020

Extendicare has a better chart than Chartwell. It has a head-and-shoulder chart movement. If you take into account the general market sell-off, investors need to be forgiving.

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Extendicare has a better chart than Chartwell. It has a head-and-shoulder chart movement. If you take into account the general market sell-off, investors need to be forgiving.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
February 26, 2020
(A Top Pick Dec 16/19, Down 3%) He'd still be buying this. Demographics are massively in their favour, but the small overhang is some overcapacity (number of retirement home units) in this sector.
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(A Top Pick Dec 16/19, Down 3%) He'd still be buying this. Demographics are massively in their favour, but the small overhang is some overcapacity (number of retirement home units) in this sector.
HOLD
HOLD
February 13, 2020
Didn't do well last year because too much supply in Ontario, so their supply rate dipped down. Long-term demand trend and demographic in its favour. Nice distribution around 4%. Lots of growth going forward. Strong operator. Largest in Canada.
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Didn't do well last year because too much supply in Ontario, so their supply rate dipped down. Long-term demand trend and demographic in its favour. Nice distribution around 4%. Lots of growth going forward. Strong operator. Largest in Canada.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 6, 2020
When you look at it initially, you wonder how you could lose. They are in a great business – retirement homes. They pay a nice yield. First of all the company has been paying out more than it earns so the balance sheet is steadily falling in attractiveness. The price to book has remained high and so the company took advantage of that by raising equity. The average price to book goes up. The company is raising money in the markets and then paying it out to shareholders. He thinks the company should come to market now.
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When you look at it initially, you wonder how you could lose. They are in a great business – retirement homes. They pay a nice yield. First of all the company has been paying out more than it earns so the balance sheet is steadily falling in attractiveness. The price to book has remained high and so the company took advantage of that by raising equity. The average price to book goes up. The company is raising money in the markets and then paying it out to shareholders. He thinks the company should come to market now.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 31, 2019
Pays a 4.3% yield. It's a trading stock, moving up and down. The highs are getting lower over time, though it's not a bearish chart. He isn't bullish and would buy elsewhere.
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Pays a 4.3% yield. It's a trading stock, moving up and down. The highs are getting lower over time, though it's not a bearish chart. He isn't bullish and would buy elsewhere.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 16, 2019
A defensive, income name. Earnings growth has been weaker than expected given more room supply, but demographics will push strong demand, long-term. Trades at 14.5x funds from operations and pays a 4% dividend. Offers above-average growth. You're paid to wait with strong earnings growth than the banks. (Analysts’ price target is $16.04)
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A defensive, income name. Earnings growth has been weaker than expected given more room supply, but demographics will push strong demand, long-term. Trades at 14.5x funds from operations and pays a 4% dividend. Offers above-average growth. You're paid to wait with strong earnings growth than the banks. (Analysts’ price target is $16.04)
BUY
BUY
December 13, 2019
REITs? The REITs space has been down this week following a good performance year. It may be a temporary rotation in the market going on as investors are moving back into cyclical names. She would be buying at this level. There is some oversupply developing in regions, like Ontario. However, over the long run, demographic trends are supportive. Yield 3%
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REITs? The REITs space has been down this week following a good performance year. It may be a temporary rotation in the market going on as investors are moving back into cyclical names. She would be buying at this level. There is some oversupply developing in regions, like Ontario. However, over the long run, demographic trends are supportive. Yield 3%
BUY
BUY
November 12, 2019
Pays a good yield (4.24%). The share price has pulled back, because they're facing more supply in Ontario which drove the occupancy rate to 87%. Management thinks occupancy has bottomed and will slowly rise. Long-term demand is there, despite this temporary over-build. Outside Ontario is doing well. Their cash flow should improve going forward as will their net operating income in 2020 by 3-4%.
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Pays a good yield (4.24%). The share price has pulled back, because they're facing more supply in Ontario which drove the occupancy rate to 87%. Management thinks occupancy has bottomed and will slowly rise. Long-term demand is there, despite this temporary over-build. Outside Ontario is doing well. Their cash flow should improve going forward as will their net operating income in 2020 by 3-4%.
BUY
BUY
November 1, 2019
Has a decent growth of 5% with good dividends. They missed on Q2 with an elevated balance sheet but it is trading at a nice 15.4 times valuation. Longterm outlook is good with an aging population. The management team is executing well.
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Has a decent growth of 5% with good dividends. They missed on Q2 with an elevated balance sheet but it is trading at a nice 15.4 times valuation. Longterm outlook is good with an aging population. The management team is executing well.
BUY
BUY
October 31, 2019
Excellent long-term hold. Hit this year. Great yield. Has been adding to her position.
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Excellent long-term hold. Hit this year. Great yield. Has been adding to her position.
BUY
BUY
October 9, 2019

Stock appreciation and dividend growth coming? It's an income stock and has been rangebound this year. In Ontario, the occupancy rate has declined (too much supply). Demand will catch up to supply eventually. They're well-positioned in a good industry driven by demographics (an aging population). There's room to grow. They gradually increase their dividend (4%).

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Stock appreciation and dividend growth coming? It's an income stock and has been rangebound this year. In Ontario, the occupancy rate has declined (too much supply). Demand will catch up to supply eventually. They're well-positioned in a good industry driven by demographics (an aging population). There's room to grow. They gradually increase their dividend (4%).

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 12, 2019
(A Top Pick Sep 11/18, Up 1%) Stock's not doing very much, buy you're getting the yield. Still likes it. Attractive space. Temporary over supply issues this year. Want to increase their occupancy rate back above 90%. Yield is 4%.
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(A Top Pick Sep 11/18, Up 1%) Stock's not doing very much, buy you're getting the yield. Still likes it. Attractive space. Temporary over supply issues this year. Want to increase their occupancy rate back above 90%. Yield is 4%.
BUY
BUY
August 27, 2019
He has owned this for a long time. Pays a nice distribution that grows 2% per year. The stock has not been rising for years likely because of an occupancy issue that is slowing working itself out. It could be bought here as you are getting paid to wait. The demographics are in its favour. Yield 4.1%
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He has owned this for a long time. Pays a nice distribution that grows 2% per year. The stock has not been rising for years likely because of an occupancy issue that is slowing working itself out. It could be bought here as you are getting paid to wait. The demographics are in its favour. Yield 4.1%
HOLD
HOLD
August 13, 2019
As a senior housing stock, you want to look at occupancy rates and cash flows. There appears to be more supply, so occupancy rates have dipped below 85%, when normally it has been above 90%. She thinks this will improve over time.
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As a senior housing stock, you want to look at occupancy rates and cash flows. There appears to be more supply, so occupancy rates have dipped below 85%, when normally it has been above 90%. She thinks this will improve over time.
BUY
BUY
June 19, 2019

Chartwell vs. Sienna for growth He likes and owns both. CSH's latest report says their operating income grew an impressive 4.7%, but Sienna's was 5.4%. CSH's and Sienna's growth are 5-5.5%. CSH has a low 64% payout ratio, but Sienna is a little cheaper at 12.7x vs. CSH's 15.6x. They're similar in many ways, but Sienna has more room for multiple expansion/upside. But CSH is slightly safer because it has a bigger cap. Both are in a good space with demographics as a tailwind.

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Chartwell vs. Sienna for growth He likes and owns both. CSH's latest report says their operating income grew an impressive 4.7%, but Sienna's was 5.4%. CSH's and Sienna's growth are 5-5.5%. CSH has a low 64% payout ratio, but Sienna is a little cheaper at 12.7x vs. CSH's 15.6x. They're similar in many ways, but Sienna has more room for multiple expansion/upside. But CSH is slightly safer because it has a bigger cap. Both are in a good space with demographics as a tailwind.

BUY
BUY
May 30, 2019
Largest in Canada. Really likes it. You need to be here for the fundamentals. Baby boomers are providing a tailwind. It is struggling. Very cheap. Trading at discount to NAV. Great time to enter.
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Largest in Canada. Really likes it. You need to be here for the fundamentals. Baby boomers are providing a tailwind. It is struggling. Very cheap. Trading at discount to NAV. Great time to enter.
BUY
BUY
May 14, 2019
An income stock with an attractive yield. The last little while has seen an overbuild in some markets, so occupancy has decreased, but she's confident this will rise from 91% to 95% in time. It's always traded at a premium vs. its peers. Aging demmographics are on their side. Good management and pipeline of projects. You'll collect a 4% yield plus a few % points. A good long-term hold.
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An income stock with an attractive yield. The last little while has seen an overbuild in some markets, so occupancy has decreased, but she's confident this will rise from 91% to 95% in time. It's always traded at a premium vs. its peers. Aging demmographics are on their side. Good management and pipeline of projects. You'll collect a 4% yield plus a few % points. A good long-term hold.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
April 24, 2019
The retirement home space is growing in demand and this company has the market cornered. You want to be selective with how you enter the space. These interest rate sensitive stocks have all surged with the belief the interest rates may be softening. He would watch for a lower entry price.
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The retirement home space is growing in demand and this company has the market cornered. You want to be selective with how you enter the space. These interest rate sensitive stocks have all surged with the belief the interest rates may be softening. He would watch for a lower entry price.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 10, 2019
(A Top Pick Apr 16/18, Up 3%) Has long owned this, really an income stock with a yield around 4%. She likes the aging demographic play of seniors' housing. They're the largest player in this space. They can grow by acqusition in Canada and aim for 95% occupancy (9)% now). Ontario penetration is only 5-6% of senior living in these homes--seniors are and will live longer.
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(A Top Pick Apr 16/18, Up 3%) Has long owned this, really an income stock with a yield around 4%. She likes the aging demographic play of seniors' housing. They're the largest player in this space. They can grow by acqusition in Canada and aim for 95% occupancy (9)% now). Ontario penetration is only 5-6% of senior living in these homes--seniors are and will live longer.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 12, 2019
The leader in Canadian seniors housing, a fragmented sector so there's room for growth. CSH holds 10% of this market. She likes this sector for the aging demographics that will need more care. CSH has a good pipeline of projects. Occupancy is 91% and they target 95%. They have started to market their services. Top management. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65)
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The leader in Canadian seniors housing, a fragmented sector so there's room for growth. CSH holds 10% of this market. She likes this sector for the aging demographics that will need more care. CSH has a good pipeline of projects. Occupancy is 91% and they target 95%. They have started to market their services. Top management. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65)
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 13, 2019
Chartwell vs Sienna She owns Chartwell and thinks both are in a growing sector -- senior housing. Sienna has a lower level of regulation, compared to Chartwell, due to the former's higher level of long term care facilities. Chartwell holds the largest market share in Canada -- giving them economies of scale. Chartwell's yield is just under 4% and they have a good pipeline to develop future growth.
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Chartwell vs Sienna She owns Chartwell and thinks both are in a growing sector -- senior housing. Sienna has a lower level of regulation, compared to Chartwell, due to the former's higher level of long term care facilities. Chartwell holds the largest market share in Canada -- giving them economies of scale. Chartwell's yield is just under 4% and they have a good pipeline to develop future growth.
HOLD
HOLD
February 1, 2019
Good place to hide and collect the dividend. Not a growth company. Well run, the demographics are with you. Won't be an $18 stock anytime soon.
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