Chartwell Seniors Housing

CSH.UN-T

TSE:CSH.UN

14.31
0.01 (0.07%)
Chartwell Retirement Residences is the largest participant in the Canadian seniors housing sector, with nearly 180 locations across Quebec, Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia.
More at Wikipedia

Analysis and Opinions about CSH.UN-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
BUY
BUY
December 13, 2019
REITs? The REITs space has been down this week following a good performance year. It may be a temporary rotation in the market going on as investors are moving back into cyclical names. She would be buying at this level. There is some oversupply developing in regions, like Ontario. However, over the long run, demographic trends are supportive. Yield 3%
REITs? The REITs space has been down this week following a good performance year. It may be a temporary rotation in the market going on as investors are moving back into cyclical names. She would be buying at this level. There is some oversupply developing in regions, like Ontario. However, over the long run, demographic trends are supportive. Yield 3%
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.320
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
November 12, 2019
Pays a good yield (4.24%). The share price has pulled back, because they're facing more supply in Ontario which drove the occupancy rate to 87%. Management thinks occupancy has bottomed and will slowly rise. Long-term demand is there, despite this temporary over-build. Outside Ontario is doing well. Their cash flow should improve going forward as will their net operating income in 2020 by 3-4%.
Pays a good yield (4.24%). The share price has pulled back, because they're facing more supply in Ontario which drove the occupancy rate to 87%. Management thinks occupancy has bottomed and will slowly rise. Long-term demand is there, despite this temporary over-build. Outside Ontario is doing well. Their cash flow should improve going forward as will their net operating income in 2020 by 3-4%.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.160
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
November 1, 2019
Has a decent growth of 5% with good dividends. They missed on Q2 with an elevated balance sheet but it is trading at a nice 15.4 times valuation. Longterm outlook is good with an aging population. The management team is executing well.
Has a decent growth of 5% with good dividends. They missed on Q2 with an elevated balance sheet but it is trading at a nice 15.4 times valuation. Longterm outlook is good with an aging population. The management team is executing well.
Greg Newman
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$14.740
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
October 31, 2019
Excellent long-term hold. Hit this year. Great yield. Has been adding to her position.
Excellent long-term hold. Hit this year. Great yield. Has been adding to her position.
Michelle Wearing
Portfolio Manager, Starlight Capital
Price
$14.750
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
October 9, 2019

Stock appreciation and dividend growth coming? It's an income stock and has been rangebound this year. In Ontario, the occupancy rate has declined (too much supply). Demand will catch up to supply eventually. They're well-positioned in a good industry driven by demographics (an aging population). There's room to grow. They gradually increase their dividend (4%).

Stock appreciation and dividend growth coming? It's an income stock and has been rangebound this year. In Ontario, the occupancy rate has declined (too much supply). Demand will catch up to supply eventually. They're well-positioned in a good industry driven by demographics (an aging population). There's room to grow. They gradually increase their dividend (4%).

Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.980
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 12, 2019
(A Top Pick Sep 11/18, Up 1%) Stock's not doing very much, buy you're getting the yield. Still likes it. Attractive space. Temporary over supply issues this year. Want to increase their occupancy rate back above 90%. Yield is 4%.
(A Top Pick Sep 11/18, Up 1%) Stock's not doing very much, buy you're getting the yield. Still likes it. Attractive space. Temporary over supply issues this year. Want to increase their occupancy rate back above 90%. Yield is 4%.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.710
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
August 27, 2019
He has owned this for a long time. Pays a nice distribution that grows 2% per year. The stock has not been rising for years likely because of an occupancy issue that is slowing working itself out. It could be bought here as you are getting paid to wait. The demographics are in its favour. Yield 4.1%
He has owned this for a long time. Pays a nice distribution that grows 2% per year. The stock has not been rising for years likely because of an occupancy issue that is slowing working itself out. It could be bought here as you are getting paid to wait. The demographics are in its favour. Yield 4.1%
Don Lato
President, Padlock Investment Management
Price
$14.710
Owned
Yes
HOLD
HOLD
August 13, 2019
As a senior housing stock, you want to look at occupancy rates and cash flows. There appears to be more supply, so occupancy rates have dipped below 85%, when normally it has been above 90%. She thinks this will improve over time.
As a senior housing stock, you want to look at occupancy rates and cash flows. There appears to be more supply, so occupancy rates have dipped below 85%, when normally it has been above 90%. She thinks this will improve over time.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.900
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
June 19, 2019

Chartwell vs. Sienna for growth He likes and owns both. CSH's latest report says their operating income grew an impressive 4.7%, but Sienna's was 5.4%. CSH's and Sienna's growth are 5-5.5%. CSH has a low 64% payout ratio, but Sienna is a little cheaper at 12.7x vs. CSH's 15.6x. They're similar in many ways, but Sienna has more room for multiple expansion/upside. But CSH is slightly safer because it has a bigger cap. Both are in a good space with demographics as a tailwind.

Chartwell vs. Sienna for growth He likes and owns both. CSH's latest report says their operating income grew an impressive 4.7%, but Sienna's was 5.4%. CSH's and Sienna's growth are 5-5.5%. CSH has a low 64% payout ratio, but Sienna is a little cheaper at 12.7x vs. CSH's 15.6x. They're similar in many ways, but Sienna has more room for multiple expansion/upside. But CSH is slightly safer because it has a bigger cap. Both are in a good space with demographics as a tailwind.

Greg Newman
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$15.530
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
May 30, 2019
Largest in Canada. Really likes it. You need to be here for the fundamentals. Baby boomers are providing a tailwind. It is struggling. Very cheap. Trading at discount to NAV. Great time to enter.
Largest in Canada. Really likes it. You need to be here for the fundamentals. Baby boomers are providing a tailwind. It is struggling. Very cheap. Trading at discount to NAV. Great time to enter.
Michelle Wearing
Portfolio Manager, Starlight Capital
Price
$14.470
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
May 14, 2019
An income stock with an attractive yield. The last little while has seen an overbuild in some markets, so occupancy has decreased, but she's confident this will rise from 91% to 95% in time. It's always traded at a premium vs. its peers. Aging demmographics are on their side. Good management and pipeline of projects. You'll collect a 4% yield plus a few % points. A good long-term hold.
An income stock with an attractive yield. The last little while has seen an overbuild in some markets, so occupancy has decreased, but she's confident this will rise from 91% to 95% in time. It's always traded at a premium vs. its peers. Aging demmographics are on their side. Good management and pipeline of projects. You'll collect a 4% yield plus a few % points. A good long-term hold.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.590
Owned
Yes
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
April 24, 2019
The retirement home space is growing in demand and this company has the market cornered. You want to be selective with how you enter the space. These interest rate sensitive stocks have all surged with the belief the interest rates may be softening. He would watch for a lower entry price.
The retirement home space is growing in demand and this company has the market cornered. You want to be selective with how you enter the space. These interest rate sensitive stocks have all surged with the belief the interest rates may be softening. He would watch for a lower entry price.
Kash Pashootan
CEO & Chief Investment Officer, First Avenue Investment Counsel
Price
$14.680
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 10, 2019
(A Top Pick Apr 16/18, Up 3%) Has long owned this, really an income stock with a yield around 4%. She likes the aging demographic play of seniors' housing. They're the largest player in this space. They can grow by acqusition in Canada and aim for 95% occupancy (9)% now). Ontario penetration is only 5-6% of senior living in these homes--seniors are and will live longer.
(A Top Pick Apr 16/18, Up 3%) Has long owned this, really an income stock with a yield around 4%. She likes the aging demographic play of seniors' housing. They're the largest player in this space. They can grow by acqusition in Canada and aim for 95% occupancy (9)% now). Ontario penetration is only 5-6% of senior living in these homes--seniors are and will live longer.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$15.050
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 12, 2019
The leader in Canadian seniors housing, a fragmented sector so there's room for growth. CSH holds 10% of this market. She likes this sector for the aging demographics that will need more care. CSH has a good pipeline of projects. Occupancy is 91% and they target 95%. They have started to market their services. Top management. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65)
The leader in Canadian seniors housing, a fragmented sector so there's room for growth. CSH holds 10% of this market. She likes this sector for the aging demographics that will need more care. CSH has a good pipeline of projects. Occupancy is 91% and they target 95%. They have started to market their services. Top management. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65)
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$15.040
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 13, 2019
Chartwell vs Sienna She owns Chartwell and thinks both are in a growing sector -- senior housing. Sienna has a lower level of regulation, compared to Chartwell, due to the former's higher level of long term care facilities. Chartwell holds the largest market share in Canada -- giving them economies of scale. Chartwell's yield is just under 4% and they have a good pipeline to develop future growth.
Chartwell vs Sienna She owns Chartwell and thinks both are in a growing sector -- senior housing. Sienna has a lower level of regulation, compared to Chartwell, due to the former's higher level of long term care facilities. Chartwell holds the largest market share in Canada -- giving them economies of scale. Chartwell's yield is just under 4% and they have a good pipeline to develop future growth.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.800
Owned
_N/A
HOLD
HOLD
February 1, 2019
Good place to hide and collect the dividend. Not a growth company. Well run, the demographics are with you. Won't be an $18 stock anytime soon.
Good place to hide and collect the dividend. Not a growth company. Well run, the demographics are with you. Won't be an $18 stock anytime soon.
Bruce Campbell (1)
President, Campbell and Lee InvMngmnt
Price
$14.690
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
January 10, 2019
Very well managed company. Attractive space. We all live longer and there will be increasing demand for what they offer. They don't do any home care that is more open to potential liability. They have a good pipeline to grow over the next couple of years with an attractive distribution yield of around 4%. This is actually a good entry point for this stock.
Very well managed company. Attractive space. We all live longer and there will be increasing demand for what they offer. They don't do any home care that is more open to potential liability. They have a good pipeline to grow over the next couple of years with an attractive distribution yield of around 4%. This is actually a good entry point for this stock.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.030
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
December 19, 2018
63% and declining payout ratio. Distribution is safe. Q3 was decent. Rising occupancy. They see NOI of $3 which translates into an AFFO growth of 7%. Quality name. Fine to own. Good to add when the waterfall stops. Other things are less expensive.
63% and declining payout ratio. Distribution is safe. Q3 was decent. Rising occupancy. They see NOI of $3 which translates into an AFFO growth of 7%. Quality name. Fine to own. Good to add when the waterfall stops. Other things are less expensive.
Greg Newman
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$13.960
Owned
Unknown
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 11, 2018
(A Top Pick Dec 12/17, Down 2%) Pays over 4% yield. It slipped because of rising interest rates. They built somer supply in Ontario and Quebec, so occupancy in Ontario has temporarily slipped to 88% vs. 91% 18 months ago. The demand is definitely there to absorb these new rooms. She likes the play on aging demographics, so there'll be a growing need for seniors housing. CSH is well-positioned to grow in Canada and is the leader.
(A Top Pick Dec 12/17, Down 2%) Pays over 4% yield. It slipped because of rising interest rates. They built somer supply in Ontario and Quebec, so occupancy in Ontario has temporarily slipped to 88% vs. 91% 18 months ago. The demand is definitely there to absorb these new rooms. She likes the play on aging demographics, so there'll be a growing need for seniors housing. CSH is well-positioned to grow in Canada and is the leader.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.650
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
October 17, 2018

The market is struggling to decide what this is: a yield, a REIT, a cash flow play? The demographics are in their favour, but does this drive CSH enough or does it need an acquisition? He doesn't know. Good dividend, but he hasn't looked at CSH deeply.

The market is struggling to decide what this is: a yield, a REIT, a cash flow play? The demographics are in their favour, but does this drive CSH enough or does it need an acquisition? He doesn't know. Good dividend, but he hasn't looked at CSH deeply.

Chris Stuchberry
Portfolio Manager, Wellington-Altus Private Wealth
Price
$14.180
Owned
No
BUY
BUY
October 10, 2018

Still likes it and has been buying it during this pullback. REITs have been pressured by rising rates, but she likes the seniors housing space. Managed well and pays an attractive 4.2% yield. A good long-term hold and would buy it here.

Still likes it and has been buying it during this pullback. REITs have been pressured by rising rates, but she likes the seniors housing space. Managed well and pays an attractive 4.2% yield. A good long-term hold and would buy it here.

Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$13.970
Owned
Yes
SELL
SELL
September 28, 2018

Bad news is costs elevated, more competitive pressure in retirement homes. Pricey. Balance sheet not perfect. Good news is decent growth rate, and good long-term area to be in. But much better value elsewhere. He’s trimmed to move into other areas. You have to buy things at the right price.

Bad news is costs elevated, more competitive pressure in retirement homes. Pricey. Balance sheet not perfect. Good news is decent growth rate, and good long-term area to be in. But much better value elsewhere. He’s trimmed to move into other areas. You have to buy things at the right price.

Greg Newman
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$14.640
Owned
Unknown
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 11, 2018

This is the largest provider of senior communities. The demographics play in their favor. The 75-year-plus population is expected to double in the 20 next years, growing 3 to 4 times faster than the general population. Penetration of the seniors market is still low in Canada, so there is a lot of room for growth. 85% of their homes are private-pay rather than relying on government funding. Yield 4%. (Analysts’ price target is $16.75)

This is the largest provider of senior communities. The demographics play in their favor. The 75-year-plus population is expected to double in the 20 next years, growing 3 to 4 times faster than the general population. Penetration of the seniors market is still low in Canada, so there is a lot of room for growth. 85% of their homes are private-pay rather than relying on government funding. Yield 4%. (Analysts’ price target is $16.75)

Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$15.130
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
August 16, 2018

Extendicare (EXE-T) or Chartwell Retirement (CSH-U-T). Both are good long term holds. He prefers and owns Chartwell. Will see continued growth in this sector. There were shorts on Extendicare and the rebound lately has been a short covering.

Extendicare (EXE-T) or Chartwell Retirement (CSH-U-T). Both are good long term holds. He prefers and owns Chartwell. Will see continued growth in this sector. There were shorts on Extendicare and the rebound lately has been a short covering.

Andrew Pyle
Senior wealth advisor and portfolio manager, The Pyle Group, Scotia Wealth Mgt.
Price
$15.360
Owned
Unknown
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 9, 2018

PE ratio this high is a red flag on the surface. He’d be reluctant to own the high PE multiple in a sector where other companies have lower multiples. Own another one, or own a few to diversify. Can’t tell if high PE due to price too high, or a one-time hit to earnings.

PE ratio this high is a red flag on the surface. He’d be reluctant to own the high PE multiple in a sector where other companies have lower multiples. Own another one, or own a few to diversify. Can’t tell if high PE due to price too high, or a one-time hit to earnings.

Michael Decter
President & CEO, Lawrence Decter Investment Counsel
Price
$15.550
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 31, 2018

Demographically, it’s a theme, but you have to ignore this. Had stayed away because of litigation in the US. Missed earnings. Difficult business because of labour costs, regulations. Other investments make sense and aren’t as complicated. Analysts have downgraded. Trades at an 18x multiple. If you’re going to buy, have to buy it washed out. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65.)

Demographically, it’s a theme, but you have to ignore this. Had stayed away because of litigation in the US. Missed earnings. Difficult business because of labour costs, regulations. Other investments make sense and aren’t as complicated. Analysts have downgraded. Trades at an 18x multiple. If you’re going to buy, have to buy it washed out. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65.)

Paul Gardner, CFA
Partner and Portfolio Manager, Avenue Investment Management
Price
$15.320
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 10, 2018

(A Top Pick July 12, 2017. Up 5%). She continues to like Chartwell. This is the leader in seniors housing in Canada. She likes the demographic trend. Chartwell provides the full spectrum of living and care arrangements, including long-term care, which is fully regulated and which constitutes 15% of their business. Occupancy is very high. They grow organically and by acquisition. She likes the management. Rising interest rates have created a headwind for the stock price, but it offers an adequate yield.

(A Top Pick July 12, 2017. Up 5%). She continues to like Chartwell. This is the leader in seniors housing in Canada. She likes the demographic trend. Chartwell provides the full spectrum of living and care arrangements, including long-term care, which is fully regulated and which constitutes 15% of their business. Occupancy is very high. They grow organically and by acquisition. She likes the management. Rising interest rates have created a headwind for the stock price, but it offers an adequate yield.

Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$15.330
Owned
Yes
BUY
BUY
July 5, 2018

This trend in demographics is going to benefit this company. He has not bought it and there is a better situation elsewhere in the REIT space. We don't have enough nursing home beds. The issue they have is the land grab in the neighborhoods where people want to move from. This is people moving from homes they own into facilities they rent. He has TCN-T as it is a slightly better investment.

This trend in demographics is going to benefit this company. He has not bought it and there is a better situation elsewhere in the REIT space. We don't have enough nursing home beds. The issue they have is the land grab in the neighborhoods where people want to move from. This is people moving from homes they own into facilities they rent. He has TCN-T as it is a slightly better investment.

Lyle Stein
Sr. Portfolio & Managing Director, Vestcap Investment Management
Price
$15.510
Owned
No
BUY
BUY
June 26, 2018

What healthcare stock to buy? In Canada, he likes Chartwell, in the U.S, Merck (MRK-N), and in Europe, Novo Nordisk.

What healthcare stock to buy? In Canada, he likes Chartwell, in the U.S, Merck (MRK-N), and in Europe, Novo Nordisk.

Bruce Campbell (1)
President, Campbell and Lee InvMngmnt
Price
$15.250
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
June 8, 2018

Have held it for a number of years and continue to like it. Would be buyers at these levels below $15. Demographics favour this industry. Most of their revenue comes from private pay, not government. Offer all levels of care -- long term, assisted living, independent living. Strong and experienced management team. Good organic growth plus acquisitions. Company got out of the US; feel they have enough opportunities for growth in Canada. Yield about 4%.

Have held it for a number of years and continue to like it. Would be buyers at these levels below $15. Demographics favour this industry. Most of their revenue comes from private pay, not government. Offer all levels of care -- long term, assisted living, independent living. Strong and experienced management team. Good organic growth plus acquisitions. Company got out of the US; feel they have enough opportunities for growth in Canada. Yield about 4%.

Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$14.690
Owned
Yes
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