Baytex Energy Corp

BTE-T

TSE:BTE

0.42
0.02 (4.55%)
Baytex Energy Corp. is a Calgary-based Canadian producer, developer and explorer of oil and natural gas. Formerly a trust, it converted to a corporation January 2011 because of government changes to tax incentives.
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Analysis and Opinions about BTE-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
January 2, 2019
Too much debt, making acqusitions, and need to fix the balance sheet. The current $2.50 price is too low, though. They are oil-levered, so if oil recovers, you can make a lot of money with BTE. He predicts oil going to $50-60.
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Too much debt, making acqusitions, and need to fix the balance sheet. The current $2.50 price is too low, though. They are oil-levered, so if oil recovers, you can make a lot of money with BTE. He predicts oil going to $50-60.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
December 31, 2018
He would have thought the bottom was higher than this. They did some great acquisitions recently and are in much better shape balance sheet wise. It is a better company than the market gives it credit for. You need crude to get out of the $45 range.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
December 31, 2018
He would have thought the bottom was higher than this. They did some great acquisitions recently and are in much better shape balance sheet wise. It is a better company than the market gives it credit for. You need crude to get out of the $45 range.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 31, 2018
Oil forecast? Used to have a great a balance sheet then levered up at the wrong time to make an acquisition around 2014. It takes a long time to unwind. Some say you can get great torque on BTE, because an upside in oil means an upside in earnings, but it's not worth the risk. Oil price is a little cheap now, so you can dip a toe into oil now. But look for good balance sheets in a company. It's rough to see the WCS differential so wide, but the reason is the lack of pipelines. Things can't get worse, but it can go away as soon as you start building pipelines. Also, demand growth in oil is okay actually.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
December 31, 2018
Oil forecast? Used to have a great a balance sheet then levered up at the wrong time to make an acquisition around 2014. It takes a long time to unwind. Some say you can get great torque on BTE, because an upside in oil means an upside in earnings, but it's not worth the risk. Oil price is a little cheap now, so you can dip a toe into oil now. But look for good balance sheets in a company. It's rough to see the WCS differential so wide, but the reason is the lack of pipelines. Things can't get worse, but it can go away as soon as you start building pipelines. Also, demand growth in oil is okay actually.
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 27, 2018
World oil demand is still growing, so he's not concerned about the future of oil. That said, he'd own the lower-cost oil companies. BTE is well-run, but at the whims of the oil price. If that price is flat in coming years, look at other oil companies.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
December 27, 2018
World oil demand is still growing, so he's not concerned about the future of oil. That said, he'd own the lower-cost oil companies. BTE is well-run, but at the whims of the oil price. If that price is flat in coming years, look at other oil companies.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 14, 2018
This offers great leverage to higher oil prices and tighter heavy oil differentials.. Over 37% of their cash flow comes from the Eagleford and have enormous exposure to the Duvernay. The value of this asset is in excess of the share price. It has had enormous tax loss selling recently, so it has great upside. At $60 WTI prices, he gets about a $4 share price. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $5.09)
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
December 14, 2018
This offers great leverage to higher oil prices and tighter heavy oil differentials.. Over 37% of their cash flow comes from the Eagleford and have enormous exposure to the Duvernay. The value of this asset is in excess of the share price. It has had enormous tax loss selling recently, so it has great upside. At $60 WTI prices, he gets about a $4 share price. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $5.09)
BUY
BUY
December 13, 2018

As long as you believe that energy prices have to trade at some level above marginal cost globally, this company is a good purchase here. Well funded. Trading at 3 times normalized earnings. Everybody hates it. International investors are not coming to Canada as long as they don't see we can work as a country and sell our product and find more of it.

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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
December 13, 2018

As long as you believe that energy prices have to trade at some level above marginal cost globally, this company is a good purchase here. Well funded. Trading at 3 times normalized earnings. Everybody hates it. International investors are not coming to Canada as long as they don't see we can work as a country and sell our product and find more of it.

COMMENT
COMMENT
December 10, 2018
The energy sector has had its problems, including Baytex. They have very good properties, but margins are thin given the oil price. For energy as a whole, you'll have to wait a long time to find value.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
December 10, 2018
The energy sector has had its problems, including Baytex. They have very good properties, but margins are thin given the oil price. For energy as a whole, you'll have to wait a long time to find value.
HOLD
HOLD
November 30, 2018
Real problem with energy and its stocks is that the psychology is totally negative. Until we see the horizon clear with oil price and supply, be very cautious about putting money in. If you hold it, you can continue to do so. (Analysts’ price target is $5.63)
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 30, 2018
Real problem with energy and its stocks is that the psychology is totally negative. Until we see the horizon clear with oil price and supply, be very cautious about putting money in. If you hold it, you can continue to do so. (Analysts’ price target is $5.63)
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 26, 2018
It's the poster child of hate for Canadian energy stocks. Balance sheet is decent now after being stretched for a long time. This is a screaming buy. They could buyback their own shares. This is close to a bottom now. (Analysts’ price target is $5.63)
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 26, 2018
It's the poster child of hate for Canadian energy stocks. Balance sheet is decent now after being stretched for a long time. This is a screaming buy. They could buyback their own shares. This is close to a bottom now. (Analysts’ price target is $5.63)
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
November 22, 2018
(A Top Pick Sep 13/17, Up 8%) This is about the 6.625% 2021 Bond - They have owned it since 2016 when the last oil crisis happened. Since it merged with another company it is a lot less risky. better coverage ratio. Sometimes they prefer to have the bond with an equity-like return.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 22, 2018
(A Top Pick Sep 13/17, Up 8%) This is about the 6.625% 2021 Bond - They have owned it since 2016 when the last oil crisis happened. Since it merged with another company it is a lot less risky. better coverage ratio. Sometimes they prefer to have the bond with an equity-like return.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 19, 2018
He has a problem with this one. Debt went up from 17 to 1.9 or 88% debt to equity ratio. Third of production is heavy oil. The CEO does not own enough shares in the company.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 19, 2018
He has a problem with this one. Debt went up from 17 to 1.9 or 88% debt to equity ratio. Third of production is heavy oil. The CEO does not own enough shares in the company.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
November 16, 2018
This is viewed as a over leveraged heavy oil producer. They have been lacking an institutional base, it is predominantly a retail investment base. They merged with Raging River. They de-levered their balance sheet. Fundamentally, nothing has changed with the company other than the oil price. Their cash flow will enable them to buy back all outstanding shares in 4 years. He sees a 150% upside to this. Yield = 0% (Analysts’ price target is $5.66)
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 16, 2018
This is viewed as a over leveraged heavy oil producer. They have been lacking an institutional base, it is predominantly a retail investment base. They merged with Raging River. They de-levered their balance sheet. Fundamentally, nothing has changed with the company other than the oil price. Their cash flow will enable them to buy back all outstanding shares in 4 years. He sees a 150% upside to this. Yield = 0% (Analysts’ price target is $5.66)
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
November 15, 2018
The whole group, energy, has been pressured. It's slightly riskier than, say, Suncor. A decent opportunity. You may make a 5-10% return on this in 12 months?
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 15, 2018
The whole group, energy, has been pressured. It's slightly riskier than, say, Suncor. A decent opportunity. You may make a 5-10% return on this in 12 months?
BUY
BUY
November 5, 2018
I broke below 2017 support. About $2.50 is a hard exit point. Support is $3.60. Going up to resistance is a pretty good return. The volume does not coincide with the big reversal. He does not see big volume at the low levels.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 5, 2018
I broke below 2017 support. About $2.50 is a hard exit point. Support is $3.60. Going up to resistance is a pretty good return. The volume does not coincide with the big reversal. He does not see big volume at the low levels.
BUY
BUY
November 5, 2018
It's been beaten up and now really cheap. He likes the very strong earnings forecast. His FMV forecasts 140% upside. This can go to $5 easily and perhaps $6.50. Do not sell now.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
November 5, 2018
It's been beaten up and now really cheap. He likes the very strong earnings forecast. His FMV forecasts 140% upside. This can go to $5 easily and perhaps $6.50. Do not sell now.
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