Baytex Energy Corp

BTE-T

TSE:BTE

1.49
0.02 (1.36%)
Baytex Energy Corp. is a Calgary-based Canadian producer, developer and explorer of oil and natural gas. Formerly a trust, it converted to a corporation January 2011 because of government changes to tax incentives.
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Analysis and Opinions about BTE-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
September 20, 2019
It may be slightly lower in reputation compared to his other holdings. It is very low valued and he thinks they have fixed the balance sheet. Ten years ago it traded almost $60 per share. They added leverage when oil prices were high and made a large US acquisition at the wrong time. The stock will never return to those lofty levels, it may get back to $4-$5 -- still a great return. A little bit riskier this could be a speculative buy. Yield 0%
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
September 20, 2019
It may be slightly lower in reputation compared to his other holdings. It is very low valued and he thinks they have fixed the balance sheet. Ten years ago it traded almost $60 per share. They added leverage when oil prices were high and made a large US acquisition at the wrong time. The stock will never return to those lofty levels, it may get back to $4-$5 -- still a great return. A little bit riskier this could be a speculative buy. Yield 0%
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
September 18, 2019
Their balance sheet has been slipping for the last five years. It trades at 40% of book value. It has a little bit of upside potential. A war in the Middle East would help this stock significantly. Overall, we need better oil and gas pricing on a sustained level.
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
September 18, 2019
Their balance sheet has been slipping for the last five years. It trades at 40% of book value. It has a little bit of upside potential. A war in the Middle East would help this stock significantly. Overall, we need better oil and gas pricing on a sustained level.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 9, 2019
Had to throw an energy stock in, because they're so cheap. Paid down debt. About 60% of production gets a premium price. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $3.55)
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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T)
September 9, 2019
Had to throw an energy stock in, because they're so cheap. Paid down debt. About 60% of production gets a premium price. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $3.55)
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
August 30, 2019
(A Top Pick Aug 17/18, Down 53%) It's still a core holding, even though it's trading at a 32% free cash flow yield at $60/barrel. It's trading at a third of its historic multiple. And yet this year they're drilling their best holes and unlocked a key shale play. He's confident they'll use their free cash flow to buy back lots of shares.
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(A Top Pick Aug 17/18, Down 53%) It's still a core holding, even though it's trading at a 32% free cash flow yield at $60/barrel. It's trading at a third of its historic multiple. And yet this year they're drilling their best holes and unlocked a key shale play. He's confident they'll use their free cash flow to buy back lots of shares.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 22, 2019
For TFSA? BTE is the poster child of beaten-up Canadian oil stocks. They have a great asset in the U.S. They have both good and bad, but BTE will move with the oil price which is weak now, but will probably go higher in 20201. But BTE still carries a lot of debt. Not the ideal stock in this sector.
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For TFSA? BTE is the poster child of beaten-up Canadian oil stocks. They have a great asset in the U.S. They have both good and bad, but BTE will move with the oil price which is weak now, but will probably go higher in 20201. But BTE still carries a lot of debt. Not the ideal stock in this sector.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 19, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 20/18, Down 58%) It remains a core holding, but it's fallen off the radar of investors. Investors aren't buying Canadian oil. Trades at 30% free cash flow yield. He expects 2x debt-to-cash flow in the second half of 2019. By then, they should heavily buyback shares.
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(A Top Pick Jul 20/18, Down 58%) It remains a core holding, but it's fallen off the radar of investors. Investors aren't buying Canadian oil. Trades at 30% free cash flow yield. He expects 2x debt-to-cash flow in the second half of 2019. By then, they should heavily buyback shares.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
July 19, 2019
It's fallen off many radar screens. Their leverage will be lower in coming months. Trades at 30% free cash flow yield and positioned to buyback a lot of shares. It is clearly mispriced now. (Analysts’ price target is $3.55)
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It's fallen off many radar screens. Their leverage will be lower in coming months. Trades at 30% free cash flow yield and positioned to buyback a lot of shares. It is clearly mispriced now. (Analysts’ price target is $3.55)
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 17, 2019
It has been a while since he held it. He prefers owning the senior producers, when it comes to heavy oil. Their projects have not been well capitalized and they have taken time to get the Duvernay assets incorporated from the Raging River acquisition. Nothing wrong with it and they are paying down debt. There are just better opportunities out there.
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It has been a while since he held it. He prefers owning the senior producers, when it comes to heavy oil. Their projects have not been well capitalized and they have taken time to get the Duvernay assets incorporated from the Raging River acquisition. Nothing wrong with it and they are paying down debt. There are just better opportunities out there.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
July 15, 2019
Canadian oil stocks are finally seeing what the market wants from them: stop production growth, pay shareholders, buy back shares and pay down debt. Hopefully this translates into higher stock prices. We've seen a massive exodus of investment from this sector. Valuations are cheap enough. (Analysts’ price target is $3.59)
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Canadian oil stocks are finally seeing what the market wants from them: stop production growth, pay shareholders, buy back shares and pay down debt. Hopefully this translates into higher stock prices. We've seen a massive exodus of investment from this sector. Valuations are cheap enough. (Analysts’ price target is $3.59)
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 12, 2019
It's very cheap and profitable. The balance sheet has gotten better. This should trade at $4, though he can't see it happening. The current price is a good entry, but the oil sector needs a catalyst (i.e. pipelines) for this--and other energy stocks--to really move.
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It's very cheap and profitable. The balance sheet has gotten better. This should trade at $4, though he can't see it happening. The current price is a good entry, but the oil sector needs a catalyst (i.e. pipelines) for this--and other energy stocks--to really move.
BUY
BUY
July 11, 2019
Stock had a run, but collapsed when earnings didn't follow. Cheap at $1.68, and he'd buy it.
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Stock had a run, but collapsed when earnings didn't follow. Cheap at $1.68, and he'd buy it.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 14, 2019
Perception that western Canada is uninvestible. He owns the bonds at 6.5% instead, and he doesn't have to take the equity risk.
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Perception that western Canada is uninvestible. He owns the bonds at 6.5% instead, and he doesn't have to take the equity risk.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 30, 2019
It's consolidating and could return to the bottom of its trading range. It's sideways. He's lukewarm on it.
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It's consolidating and could return to the bottom of its trading range. It's sideways. He's lukewarm on it.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 26, 2019
(A Top Pick Dec 14/18, Up 12%) He is surprised it is not getting more favour than it is. He is seeing good exposure to the Duvernay and Eagleford plays. It is trading at a 25% free cash-flow yield. He thinks they could even privatize themselves by buying back their shares.
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(A Top Pick Dec 14/18, Up 12%) He is surprised it is not getting more favour than it is. He is seeing good exposure to the Duvernay and Eagleford plays. It is trading at a 25% free cash-flow yield. He thinks they could even privatize themselves by buying back their shares.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
April 26, 2019
Because the balance sheet has been repaired, when they trade at a discount to book value they can use free cash flow to buy back shares. They are trading at a 25% free cash flow yield -- in theory they could buy back their shares in 4 years using this strategy. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $3.90)
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Because the balance sheet has been repaired, when they trade at a discount to book value they can use free cash flow to buy back shares. They are trading at a 25% free cash flow yield -- in theory they could buy back their shares in 4 years using this strategy. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $3.90)
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