SNC-Lavalin Group Inc.

SNC-T

TSE:SNC

22.30
1.65 (7.99%)
Founded in 1911, SNC-Lavalin Group Inc., a Montreal-based company, provides EPC and EPCM services in a variety of industry sectors, including mining and metallurgy, oil and gas, environment and water, infrastructure and clean power.
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Analysis and Opinions about SNC-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
WAIT
WAIT
May 25, 2020
One of the largest infrastructure companies, world-wide. The next round of support programs for the economy is really going to come back infrastructure. There is still some overhang from previous court battles.
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One of the largest infrastructure companies, world-wide. The next round of support programs for the economy is really going to come back infrastructure. There is still some overhang from previous court battles.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 10, 2020
It has had a wide ride over the last few years. They got away from the corruption charges and they are settled. They sold down their best asset to shore up their balance sheet. He would prefer another owner of the 407 now.
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It has had a wide ride over the last few years. They got away from the corruption charges and they are settled. They sold down their best asset to shore up their balance sheet. He would prefer another owner of the 407 now.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 3, 2020
It has turned the corner or bounced to some extent. There is still some cleaning up to do. He would wait for a couple of good quarters.
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It has turned the corner or bounced to some extent. There is still some cleaning up to do. He would wait for a couple of good quarters.
BUY
BUY
January 27, 2020
He bought in the last 3-4 months as they settled some of the legal issues they had. Management has been doing a good job of cleaning house. 12 months from now they will be out of the higher risk contract construction projects. It is really under priced. There will be volatility over the next 4 quarters.
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He bought in the last 3-4 months as they settled some of the legal issues they had. Management has been doing a good job of cleaning house. 12 months from now they will be out of the higher risk contract construction projects. It is really under priced. There will be volatility over the next 4 quarters.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 14, 2020
They had a nice bounce recently as their legal issues have lifted. Going forward, it'll be based on their fundamentals and new businesses they acquire. She doesn't know any construction stocks now. She wants to see their outlook and plan for future contracts before considering this.
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They had a nice bounce recently as their legal issues have lifted. Going forward, it'll be based on their fundamentals and new businesses they acquire. She doesn't know any construction stocks now. She wants to see their outlook and plan for future contracts before considering this.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 14, 2020
Doesn't qualify as a quality stock for him. True, it's recovered strongly lately after it was punished last year. It's hard to predict their earnings, so he's not comfortable owning this for a long term.
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Doesn't qualify as a quality stock for him. True, it's recovered strongly lately after it was punished last year. It's hard to predict their earnings, so he's not comfortable owning this for a long term.
BUY
BUY
January 2, 2020
They have been rebounding from the disaster of their fiascos. With the asset base and the write-down's, people believe it can get into the $35 range. He thinks it will rebound as political news is behind it.
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They have been rebounding from the disaster of their fiascos. With the asset base and the write-down's, people believe it can get into the $35 range. He thinks it will rebound as political news is behind it.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 31, 2019
He owns no engineering firms. SNC shares have bounced back upon news of a settlement. It has normalized back to $30. It likely won't rise much from here--it has settled. SNC has always traded at a high multiple for a cyclical business. He prefers Aecon, though is trading high as well. The space has run up recently, and these companies will benefit from Canadian infrastructure spending. But the optimism is already priced in.
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He owns no engineering firms. SNC shares have bounced back upon news of a settlement. It has normalized back to $30. It likely won't rise much from here--it has settled. SNC has always traded at a high multiple for a cyclical business. He prefers Aecon, though is trading high as well. The space has run up recently, and these companies will benefit from Canadian infrastructure spending. But the optimism is already priced in.
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 18, 2019
Guilty on federal charges Corruption acquisitions were dropped following a guilty decision on fraud. The stock is up almost 25% at the moment.
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Guilty on federal charges Corruption acquisitions were dropped following a guilty decision on fraud. The stock is up almost 25% at the moment.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 16, 2019
Avoid. Too much negativity attached to this stock with the threat of criminal charges prevents them from bidding on new contracts. It takes time to get bad contracts out of their system and off their books. They need a plan to monetize their infrastructure assets to create shareholder value; for 10 years they've alluded to this plan but haven't done it. They're protected from takeover, because they're based in Quebec, but they suffer from poor governance.
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Avoid. Too much negativity attached to this stock with the threat of criminal charges prevents them from bidding on new contracts. It takes time to get bad contracts out of their system and off their books. They need a plan to monetize their infrastructure assets to create shareholder value; for 10 years they've alluded to this plan but haven't done it. They're protected from takeover, because they're based in Quebec, but they suffer from poor governance.
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 28, 2019
Owns a little bit in their Canadian equity fund and debates every day whether to sell it. Sold a big chunk of the 407 which was their best asset. Not saying it can't rebound to $40, but this is a stock that hasn't made you money in 20 years.
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Owns a little bit in their Canadian equity fund and debates every day whether to sell it. Sold a big chunk of the 407 which was their best asset. Not saying it can't rebound to $40, but this is a stock that hasn't made you money in 20 years.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 26, 2019
He doesn’t really like it. They have looked into it, and value investors, it is a good candidate. However, they’ve avoided it due to all the controversy. There is a lot of uncertainty around the future. He would stay away.
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He doesn’t really like it. They have looked into it, and value investors, it is a good candidate. However, they’ve avoided it due to all the controversy. There is a lot of uncertainty around the future. He would stay away.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 13, 2019
A tricky one. His view is in flux. A tough company to analyze. Maybe now is a dead-cat bounce (snaps back after a heavy drop). What is this business really worth? In two parts. They have concessions like the 407 toll road worth a lot on its own. So you get the engineering/construction side for free, but this side of the operation has performed poorly. He's not convinced they've turned the ship around under the new CEO. There have been governance problems. A lot of hair on this stock.
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A tricky one. His view is in flux. A tough company to analyze. Maybe now is a dead-cat bounce (snaps back after a heavy drop). What is this business really worth? In two parts. They have concessions like the 407 toll road worth a lot on its own. So you get the engineering/construction side for free, but this side of the operation has performed poorly. He's not convinced they've turned the ship around under the new CEO. There have been governance problems. A lot of hair on this stock.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
November 12, 2019
It's bounced back from depressed levels, and enjoyed a decent quarter. They;ve been penalized for cost overruns, so it's important how they execute on current fixed-price contracts. They also are battling a lawsuit that may go to court in 2020--she's watching this.
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It's bounced back from depressed levels, and enjoyed a decent quarter. They;ve been penalized for cost overruns, so it's important how they execute on current fixed-price contracts. They also are battling a lawsuit that may go to court in 2020--she's watching this.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 31, 2019
The results were half decent and there were a lot of short sellers that may have had to cover. It is hard to value as there is a lot of uncertainty. They have a lot of debt, and profit is very volatile. They have proven that they are not good operators on the engineering and construction side.
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The results were half decent and there were a lot of short sellers that may have had to cover. It is hard to value as there is a lot of uncertainty. They have a lot of debt, and profit is very volatile. They have proven that they are not good operators on the engineering and construction side.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 17, 2019
Other companies have gotten into trouble bidding on these large contracts. They got rid of part of the 407, which was their cash cow because they needed cash. They still have a stake, however. This whole global engineering space is hard to predict. It is so hard to know if these large companies underbid on these large contracts then 3 years later find they lost money on them.
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Other companies have gotten into trouble bidding on these large contracts. They got rid of part of the 407, which was their cash cow because they needed cash. They still have a stake, however. This whole global engineering space is hard to predict. It is so hard to know if these large companies underbid on these large contracts then 3 years later find they lost money on them.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 4, 2019
They have a number of huge problems, including the threat of class-action litigation and official prosecution. The contracting business does not seem to be able to make money. The assets are worth more than $16 per share. The issue becomes what is your appetite to accept other people's problems. He does not know if this is the time to buy. It could be the falling knife. He is nervous about it and is not buying.
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They have a number of huge problems, including the threat of class-action litigation and official prosecution. The contracting business does not seem to be able to make money. The assets are worth more than $16 per share. The issue becomes what is your appetite to accept other people's problems. He does not know if this is the time to buy. It could be the falling knife. He is nervous about it and is not buying.
WAIT
WAIT
October 3, 2019
Lower lows, lower highs. Not something he wants to be involved in yet. Signs of positive divergences. Spring is opportune time to get in.
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Lower lows, lower highs. Not something he wants to be involved in yet. Signs of positive divergences. Spring is opportune time to get in.
WATCH
WATCH
September 25, 2019
They got a reprieve when there was a large shareholder who injected cash. The engineering world is still going through some strife and of course there is the political issues around them. He would wait and see what the litigation will hold.
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They got a reprieve when there was a large shareholder who injected cash. The engineering world is still going through some strife and of course there is the political issues around them. He would wait and see what the litigation will hold.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 17, 2019
A classic value trap for several years. It has several issues, starting with a leadership void. They hold some great infrastructure assets, so there's some value here. But there is so much opposition to unlock that value. They got into some political trouble. Avoid.
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A classic value trap for several years. It has several issues, starting with a leadership void. They hold some great infrastructure assets, so there's some value here. But there is so much opposition to unlock that value. They got into some political trouble. Avoid.
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
September 13, 2019
Why the big rally lately? Lots of volatility here. The problem is trying to understand the core business strategy. They used to do a "turnkey" construction business, with a fixed cap on construction costs -- moving towards cost plus instead. Now, with recent asset write downs, he is having a hard time value the underlying business as it changes strategy. He expects further write downs. He would like to see them de-risk things before coming back in. A big shareholder has come in recently to help recapitalize them. A speculative buy at this stage, but he is not back in.
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Why the big rally lately? Lots of volatility here. The problem is trying to understand the core business strategy. They used to do a "turnkey" construction business, with a fixed cap on construction costs -- moving towards cost plus instead. Now, with recent asset write downs, he is having a hard time value the underlying business as it changes strategy. He expects further write downs. He would like to see them de-risk things before coming back in. A big shareholder has come in recently to help recapitalize them. A speculative buy at this stage, but he is not back in.
WATCH
WATCH
August 21, 2019
A good time to consider to buy more right now. The stock could be wroth $30 but a lot of things have to go right. They just sold a stake in the 407. They could sell the rest that can bring in money. They also made a valuable acquisition. There is risk of whether they can bid on contract. High risk, high reward.
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A good time to consider to buy more right now. The stock could be wroth $30 but a lot of things have to go right. They just sold a stake in the 407. They could sell the rest that can bring in money. They also made a valuable acquisition. There is risk of whether they can bid on contract. High risk, high reward.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 8, 2019

He is not a big fan of bottom fishing. Buy it at a new high, not a low. It could be a value trap. He does not follow this company closely. He prefers WSP-T.

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He is not a big fan of bottom fishing. Buy it at a new high, not a low. It could be a value trap. He does not follow this company closely. He prefers WSP-T.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 24, 2019
They're facing so much trouble now. It's not worth it. It continues to decline. Seek better opportunities elsewhere.
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They're facing so much trouble now. It's not worth it. It continues to decline. Seek better opportunities elsewhere.
WAIT
WAIT
July 23, 2019
There is real systemic risk here. However, the 407 highway contract is worth $20 per share and the stock is trading below $22. There is no shortage of political risk. You need to wait to buy, when it is the most painful moment when all the institutional buyers are out. He is watching developments closely.
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There is real systemic risk here. However, the 407 highway contract is worth $20 per share and the stock is trading below $22. There is no shortage of political risk. You need to wait to buy, when it is the most painful moment when all the institutional buyers are out. He is watching developments closely.
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 22, 2019

Opening comment The Caisse just reacted very negatively to SNC Lavalin this morning (https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/caisse-reaction-to-snc-lavalin-statement-823828177.html). SNC's biggest shareholder is losing patience with SNC's management. SNC has been struggling with many issues for a while, but has started address them, like selling their stake in the 407 highway. Now, they are re-evaluing their divisions. SNC has failed to find successful strategies to rescue their business lines and this has failed to stabilize their price, but it hasn't. Caisse want the board to act now, and TD warns that SNC's just-announced strategic direction may not satisfy those fast enough. A strategic review results in selling a division, an entire company or no change at all. Some investors call for cancelling some fixed-price, long-term contracts that risk cost overruns (i.e. steel prices labour costs). There could be job losses in Quebec.

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Opening comment The Caisse just reacted very negatively to SNC Lavalin this morning (https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/caisse-reaction-to-snc-lavalin-statement-823828177.html). SNC's biggest shareholder is losing patience with SNC's management. SNC has been struggling with many issues for a while, but has started address them, like selling their stake in the 407 highway. Now, they are re-evaluing their divisions. SNC has failed to find successful strategies to rescue their business lines and this has failed to stabilize their price, but it hasn't. Caisse want the board to act now, and TD warns that SNC's just-announced strategic direction may not satisfy those fast enough. A strategic review results in selling a division, an entire company or no change at all. Some investors call for cancelling some fixed-price, long-term contracts that risk cost overruns (i.e. steel prices labour costs). There could be job losses in Quebec.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 8, 2019
He does not consider it an infrastructure stock. The chart is brutal and now the supreme court may be saying they violated rules with bribery in Libya. They may not be able to bid on Canadian contracts for 10 years with the government if they are found guilty.
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He does not consider it an infrastructure stock. The chart is brutal and now the supreme court may be saying they violated rules with bribery in Libya. They may not be able to bid on Canadian contracts for 10 years with the government if they are found guilty.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 25, 2019
There are so many issues facing this company presently. If you want to be in the engineering space, this could be a good value entry. He does not see, however, a clear path to growth. He would look elsewhere.
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There are so many issues facing this company presently. If you want to be in the engineering space, this could be a good value entry. He does not see, however, a clear path to growth. He would look elsewhere.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
June 14, 2019
His model price is $24.26, below current prices, but this is book value as he sees it. SNC is interesting now (he's not recommended it before). This is worth a speculation around $23. Wait for a pullback.
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His model price is $24.26, below current prices, but this is book value as he sees it. SNC is interesting now (he's not recommended it before). This is worth a speculation around $23. Wait for a pullback.
WAIT
WAIT
June 11, 2019
SNC-T looks like they will need to go to court for the issues of the past and will not be able to defer the court action. They now have an interim CEO. She will stay away for now until the dust settles.
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SNC-T looks like they will need to go to court for the issues of the past and will not be able to defer the court action. They now have an interim CEO. She will stay away for now until the dust settles.
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 3, 2019

WSP Global is pretty much the gold standard. They are pretty much 100% consulting, whereas STN-T and SNC-T are not. He has shied away from the whole sector. The problem is the engineering and construction business, which he has never liked. Margins are razor thin. STN-T wants to get away from E&C. He would buy WSP-T on a correction. STN-T might be a buy at some other point. SNC-T he stays way from and has done so for many years.

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WSP Global is pretty much the gold standard. They are pretty much 100% consulting, whereas STN-T and SNC-T are not. He has shied away from the whole sector. The problem is the engineering and construction business, which he has never liked. Margins are razor thin. STN-T wants to get away from E&C. He would buy WSP-T on a correction. STN-T might be a buy at some other point. SNC-T he stays way from and has done so for many years.

SELL
SELL
June 3, 2019
They should be shut down for the business they did with Libya. The minute there was a whiff of impropriety, he steered away from it.
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They should be shut down for the business they did with Libya. The minute there was a whiff of impropriety, he steered away from it.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 21, 2019
Wouldn't be buying. Lumpy business, because when you get that large, it's hard to keep moving the needle. Engineering consulting is tough. NVEE, a US company, is in his portfolio. NV5 Global does growth by acquisition, no overseas risk. NVEE stock's a bit volatile, because of a recent accounting scare.
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Wouldn't be buying. Lumpy business, because when you get that large, it's hard to keep moving the needle. Engineering consulting is tough. NVEE, a US company, is in his portfolio. NV5 Global does growth by acquisition, no overseas risk. NVEE stock's a bit volatile, because of a recent accounting scare.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 9, 2019
It is doing a stair-step action down. You have to be careful with stocks like this. It could be a value trap. He would not recommend it.
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It is doing a stair-step action down. You have to be careful with stocks like this. It could be a value trap. He would not recommend it.
SELL
SELL
May 7, 2019

Stay away. This company is under attack from various directions. It's flailing, trying to sell  its crown jewel assets. Many negatives here. If it does happen, it could have a nice move up. Too risky.

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Stay away. This company is under attack from various directions. It's flailing, trying to sell  its crown jewel assets. Many negatives here. If it does happen, it could have a nice move up. Too risky.

WAIT
WAIT
April 23, 2019
The government seems like it wants to penalize SNC unfairly and will cost taxpayers mega-millions. The people who caused problems for SNC no longer work there. It simply doesn't make sense. These politics don't have great understanding of business. He is wary about investing in SNC. There could be more shoes to drop. Management is making smart moves, like selling off part of the 407. Be patient and wait. If you own it, maybe hold it.
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The government seems like it wants to penalize SNC unfairly and will cost taxpayers mega-millions. The people who caused problems for SNC no longer work there. It simply doesn't make sense. These politics don't have great understanding of business. He is wary about investing in SNC. There could be more shoes to drop. Management is making smart moves, like selling off part of the 407. Be patient and wait. If you own it, maybe hold it.
HOLD
HOLD
April 15, 2019
It is oversold, but there is no justice in the markets. It has been in a band since its troubles re-exerted themselves. Just because it is oversold is not a reason to go buying it. We need to break through the band we are in now and then will challenge the $40 range. The 407 is worth $28, which got sold recently. He would stick with it.
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It is oversold, but there is no justice in the markets. It has been in a band since its troubles re-exerted themselves. Just because it is oversold is not a reason to go buying it. We need to break through the band we are in now and then will challenge the $40 range. The 407 is worth $28, which got sold recently. He would stick with it.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 11, 2019
SNC-T sold their 407 highway earlier. This was a big piece. He is worried there is something else lurking out there on another of their projects. Don't buy it if you don’t like volatility.
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SNC-T sold their 407 highway earlier. This was a big piece. He is worried there is something else lurking out there on another of their projects. Don't buy it if you don’t like volatility.
COMMENT
COMMENT
March 26, 2019
Has never owned it. Might be a good buy in time, but they have a lot of fires to put out.
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Has never owned it. Might be a good buy in time, but they have a lot of fires to put out.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 25, 2019
There's so much going on that could lead to, say, criminal charges. It was humming along well, before the political scandal erupted. If you own this, wait and see--hold. If you don't, don't enter it, don't catch the falling knife. See how things shake out.
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There's so much going on that could lead to, say, criminal charges. It was humming along well, before the political scandal erupted. If you own this, wait and see--hold. If you don't, don't enter it, don't catch the falling knife. See how things shake out.