Starbucks

SBUX-Q

NASDAQ:SBUX

78.32
0.33 (0.42%)
Starbucks Corporation is an American coffee company and coffeehouse chain. Starbucks was founded in Seattle, Washington in 1971. As of November 2016, it operates 23,768 locations worldwide.
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Analysis and Opinions about SBUX-Q

Signal
Opinion
Expert
WAIT
WAIT
March 23, 2020
There is no in-restaurant service anymore. A lot of restaurants are closed now. Revenue will take a terrific hit. They are going to have to eat the lease payments. At the end of the crisis you will have the opportunity to buy into one of the premier fast food systems in the world. It will be very attractive but it depends how long this continues.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
March 23, 2020
There is no in-restaurant service anymore. A lot of restaurants are closed now. Revenue will take a terrific hit. They are going to have to eat the lease payments. At the end of the crisis you will have the opportunity to buy into one of the premier fast food systems in the world. It will be very attractive but it depends how long this continues.
HOLD
HOLD
March 20, 2020
He would not sell after the recent draw down. There is still so much uncertainty. This is a brand consumers love. They have almost fully re-opened in China. Overall, a great company. The loyalty program is astounding. In terms of durability in the long term, it is there for sure. A higher level of caffeine keeps people coming back and he loves the margin in the cold drinks.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
March 20, 2020
He would not sell after the recent draw down. There is still so much uncertainty. This is a brand consumers love. They have almost fully re-opened in China. Overall, a great company. The loyalty program is astounding. In terms of durability in the long term, it is there for sure. A higher level of caffeine keeps people coming back and he loves the margin in the cold drinks.
BUY
BUY
February 27, 2020
Below 200-day moving average, which he doesn't like. But Starbucks is a unique brand. Situation is receding in China. Not much revenue comes from China now, but it will. Trades at 26x, with 14-15% growth rate. A name you want to own for the future. Yield is 2.1%.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
February 27, 2020
Below 200-day moving average, which he doesn't like. But Starbucks is a unique brand. Situation is receding in China. Not much revenue comes from China now, but it will. Trades at 26x, with 14-15% growth rate. A name you want to own for the future. Yield is 2.1%.
WAIT
WAIT
February 13, 2020
Doing well in US. World growth has to be international, and China is a big part of that. Coronavirus will hit their stores more than with franchises. Not inexpensive right now, so she'd wait to see what's happening with China before stepping in.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
February 13, 2020
Doing well in US. World growth has to be international, and China is a big part of that. Coronavirus will hit their stores more than with franchises. Not inexpensive right now, so she'd wait to see what's happening with China before stepping in.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 30, 2020
Down about 9-10% just this month. Long-term, you benefit from growing incomes around the world. Overstated how much coronavirus will affect them, as only 10% of revenues come from China. Better mobile, rewards program, enhanced store formats. Not a bad valuation. Yield is 1.91%. (Analysts’ price target is $94.69)
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 30, 2020
Down about 9-10% just this month. Long-term, you benefit from growing incomes around the world. Overstated how much coronavirus will affect them, as only 10% of revenues come from China. Better mobile, rewards program, enhanced store formats. Not a bad valuation. Yield is 1.91%. (Analysts’ price target is $94.69)
BUY
BUY
January 16, 2020
It is a leader in its space. They have so many levers to pull. They are always reinventing themselves and are very well managed. You don’t have to worry about the economy.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 16, 2020
It is a leader in its space. They have so many levers to pull. They are always reinventing themselves and are very well managed. You don’t have to worry about the economy.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
November 29, 2019
A great global brand that he bought on a pull back a year ago. It is a very high margin business and they have done well expanding into China. A great stock to buy on weakness (down 4-5%).
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
November 29, 2019
A great global brand that he bought on a pull back a year ago. It is a very high margin business and they have done well expanding into China. A great stock to buy on weakness (down 4-5%).
BUY
BUY
November 12, 2019
He sold his shares, which he regrets. It's a stock you buy and never look at again. That said, competitors like Tim Horton's are getting busy. Starbucks are good at nudging up prices, but no they can't grow at a spectactular rate. SBUX is safe.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
November 12, 2019
He sold his shares, which he regrets. It's a stock you buy and never look at again. That said, competitors like Tim Horton's are getting busy. Starbucks are good at nudging up prices, but no they can't grow at a spectactular rate. SBUX is safe.
COMMENT
COMMENT
November 4, 2019

If it holds its 200-day moving average, it's now an entry point. China is key--how will their relationship with the Chinese government shape up? Starbucks offers better growth than, say, McDonald's.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
November 4, 2019

If it holds its 200-day moving average, it's now an entry point. China is key--how will their relationship with the Chinese government shape up? Starbucks offers better growth than, say, McDonald's.

BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
October 30, 2019
He thinks it has room to continue expanding. Their last quarterly report suggested they are moving to 36,000 stores worldwide from about 30,000 currently. Much of the growth will be in China -- on average they only consume 4 cups per person on average. On a valuation basis, it is always expensive. Right now it trades at 24 times earnings. Maybe tonight's earnings might make it cheaper?
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
October 30, 2019
He thinks it has room to continue expanding. Their last quarterly report suggested they are moving to 36,000 stores worldwide from about 30,000 currently. Much of the growth will be in China -- on average they only consume 4 cups per person on average. On a valuation basis, it is always expensive. Right now it trades at 24 times earnings. Maybe tonight's earnings might make it cheaper?
BUY
BUY
September 23, 2019

Starbucks vs. McDonald's as a defensive play Good question. They both have strong moats and brands. He prefers Starbucks--their product offering is stronger. McDonald's is still a fast-food franchise, but a good operation. Starbucks has potential huge growth in China; McDonald's is already there.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
September 23, 2019

Starbucks vs. McDonald's as a defensive play Good question. They both have strong moats and brands. He prefers Starbucks--their product offering is stronger. McDonald's is still a fast-food franchise, but a good operation. Starbucks has potential huge growth in China; McDonald's is already there.

WAIT
WAIT
September 11, 2019
An interesting turnaround story. It will never have the Herculean run they had in the past. An interesting candidate for a covered call option write strategy. At the end of the day he wants to see how the market goes -- if the market falls this will fall faster (high beta). Trade resolution will cause the stock to continue higher, but otherwise it may stutter. He would wait for a while.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
September 11, 2019
An interesting turnaround story. It will never have the Herculean run they had in the past. An interesting candidate for a covered call option write strategy. At the end of the day he wants to see how the market goes -- if the market falls this will fall faster (high beta). Trade resolution will cause the stock to continue higher, but otherwise it may stutter. He would wait for a while.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
August 29, 2019
Good over the past year or so. Came through a good long base. A bit overbought. Rule of thumb: if it's over 10% over the 200-day MA, it's overbought. Given a pullback, probably still a good entry point.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
August 29, 2019
Good over the past year or so. Came through a good long base. A bit overbought. Rule of thumb: if it's over 10% over the 200-day MA, it's overbought. Given a pullback, probably still a good entry point.
COMMENT
COMMENT
August 6, 2019

Time to add? They are only in 26 states so far, so there is a long playing field for SHAK-N. It trades at a high multiple, so if they disappoint it can become very painful quickly. Be cautious. He prefers to own the established names like SBUX-Q or CMG-N.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
August 6, 2019

Time to add? They are only in 26 states so far, so there is a long playing field for SHAK-N. It trades at a high multiple, so if they disappoint it can become very painful quickly. Be cautious. He prefers to own the established names like SBUX-Q or CMG-N.

HOLD
HOLD
July 4, 2019
Great performer since mid-2018. Good long-term name. Growthier, with defensive aspects. Dividend of 1.7%. Bit expensive, but 13-14% growth rate. Prefers more defensive names right now.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
July 4, 2019
Great performer since mid-2018. Good long-term name. Growthier, with defensive aspects. Dividend of 1.7%. Bit expensive, but 13-14% growth rate. Prefers more defensive names right now.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 26, 2019
It has had a number of different chapters. The company has been recovering with same store sales increasing and with a positive outlook for its Chinese operations. The problem is the PE ratio trading in the high 20s, means the stock is always priced to perfection with little room for stumbles. He would look elsewhere.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
June 26, 2019
It has had a number of different chapters. The company has been recovering with same store sales increasing and with a positive outlook for its Chinese operations. The problem is the PE ratio trading in the high 20s, means the stock is always priced to perfection with little room for stumbles. He would look elsewhere.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
June 11, 2019
If you bought this a few years, you have done very well. But US growth has flatlined, which is a big challenge. Abroad, as in the UK and Canada, there is heavy coffee competition from other chains. China drinks tea, so penetration into that territory is limited. He missed buying this, but won't buy it now--it's too rich.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
June 11, 2019
If you bought this a few years, you have done very well. But US growth has flatlined, which is a big challenge. Abroad, as in the UK and Canada, there is heavy coffee competition from other chains. China drinks tea, so penetration into that territory is limited. He missed buying this, but won't buy it now--it's too rich.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 6, 2019
He had it for quite a long time and exited last summer. He won't likely get back in. They do everything well and are a well run company but he sees opportunities elsewhere.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
May 6, 2019
He had it for quite a long time and exited last summer. He won't likely get back in. They do everything well and are a well run company but he sees opportunities elsewhere.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
April 25, 2019
He rarely goes to one. A great company. The CEO is now thinking of running for president. With all retail stories, how many more good locations can they find to drive earnings? The food concept at breakfast has worked well. What's their next frontier? Where else to expand to?
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
April 25, 2019
He rarely goes to one. A great company. The CEO is now thinking of running for president. With all retail stories, how many more good locations can they find to drive earnings? The food concept at breakfast has worked well. What's their next frontier? Where else to expand to?
WAIT
WAIT
March 26, 2019
Phenomenal company. Stock is not cheap here. Facing competition, especially from McDonald's. Great business, but not a great entry point.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
March 26, 2019
Phenomenal company. Stock is not cheap here. Facing competition, especially from McDonald's. Great business, but not a great entry point.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
February 13, 2019
It's innovative and has built a coffee culture in places around the world. Wait for a pullback and hold it long-term.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
February 13, 2019
It's innovative and has built a coffee culture in places around the world. Wait for a pullback and hold it long-term.
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2019
With a very long term horizon you can look at it. It is not a value stock. A company that has done a good job and keep on innovating.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 31, 2019
With a very long term horizon you can look at it. It is not a value stock. A company that has done a good job and keep on innovating.
WATCH
WATCH
January 23, 2019
He's owned this and it's on his radar. It's moving above its 200-day moving average. Trading at 25x earnings with a 14% growth rate. They're paring back on some stores which has increased margins a little. He likes it.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 23, 2019
He's owned this and it's on his radar. It's moving above its 200-day moving average. Trading at 25x earnings with a 14% growth rate. They're paring back on some stores which has increased margins a little. He likes it.
BUY
BUY
January 14, 2019
It tends to do well at this time of the year. The revenue on gift cards is recognized when they are redeemed so the first part of the year benefits from them. They tend to do well at the beginning of the year. It gets weaker in April and May. It has technical strength also.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 14, 2019
It tends to do well at this time of the year. The revenue on gift cards is recognized when they are redeemed so the first part of the year benefits from them. They tend to do well at the beginning of the year. It gets weaker in April and May. It has technical strength also.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 19, 2018
It has always been too expensive for him. Maybe they have built out too many stores, but it has had a hard time continuing to justify valuations.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
December 19, 2018
It has always been too expensive for him. Maybe they have built out too many stores, but it has had a hard time continuing to justify valuations.
WATCH
WATCH
December 6, 2018
Moving well nicely. Had some positive results consolidating some of the stores they have. Valuation has come down trading at 25 times earnings with 15% growth rate. They are trying to personalize what thy are ding with apps. They had own it but sold it. It is on his radar now.
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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
December 6, 2018
Moving well nicely. Had some positive results consolidating some of the stores they have. Valuation has come down trading at 25 times earnings with 15% growth rate. They are trying to personalize what thy are ding with apps. They had own it but sold it. It is on his radar now.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 3, 2018

They were the darling of Wall Street for many years with high multiple as they continued to grow. Now they hit a rough patch. The multiple is still in the low 20’s. Probably too high for his liking. He prefers to pay a higher price for more certainty.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
October 3, 2018

They were the darling of Wall Street for many years with high multiple as they continued to grow. Now they hit a rough patch. The multiple is still in the low 20’s. Probably too high for his liking. He prefers to pay a higher price for more certainty.

COMMENT
COMMENT
September 25, 2018

A long-tome owner, despite this going sideways for a few years. China hasn't yet panned out, with some missteps. It opens a store every four hours around the world. Still likes it. They're working through mobile ordering. It will break-out. He's sticking with it.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
September 25, 2018

A long-tome owner, despite this going sideways for a few years. China hasn't yet panned out, with some missteps. It opens a store every four hours around the world. Still likes it. They're working through mobile ordering. It will break-out. He's sticking with it.

WAIT
WAIT
August 24, 2018

Trying to recalibrate. P/E used to be higher. Trying to get into alcoholic beverages. Still looks pricey. Wait for another quarter before getting back in.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
August 24, 2018

Trying to recalibrate. P/E used to be higher. Trying to get into alcoholic beverages. Still looks pricey. Wait for another quarter before getting back in.

BUY
BUY
July 25, 2018

They are watching it and love the growth they see. Going into China should be a good move for them. The new offerings, including alcohol, add to the growth opportunity. He would watch for a good entry point, but holding for a long term investor is good. Yield 3%.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
July 25, 2018

They are watching it and love the growth they see. Going into China should be a good move for them. The new offerings, including alcohol, add to the growth opportunity. He would watch for a good entry point, but holding for a long term investor is good. Yield 3%.

COMMENT
COMMENT
July 24, 2018

Expanding into China is key. Headwinds are management turnover and competition from custom coffee shops--Starbucks is no longer special or unique. Let's see what Q2 earnings are like.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
July 24, 2018

Expanding into China is key. Headwinds are management turnover and competition from custom coffee shops--Starbucks is no longer special or unique. Let's see what Q2 earnings are like.

COMMENT
COMMENT
July 17, 2018

They are trying to expand into other areas like salads. However, there are so many locations now that they could be cannabilizing each other. True, the company is doing really well, but is the stock doing very well? Look at valuation.
Starbucks is in the low/mid-$20s. That said, China loves Starbucks and there's big opportunity here for Starbucks. Research this.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
July 17, 2018

They are trying to expand into other areas like salads. However, there are so many locations now that they could be cannabilizing each other. True, the company is doing really well, but is the stock doing very well? Look at valuation.
Starbucks is in the low/mid-$20s. That said, China loves Starbucks and there's big opportunity here for Starbucks. Research this.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 5, 2018

(A Top Pick May 9/17, Down 19%) It got whacked very recently. Last week they put up some bad news. That is what happens in the US when you change your story. Coffee land is competitive. It is a good global franchise that has done nothing.p

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
July 5, 2018

(A Top Pick May 9/17, Down 19%) It got whacked very recently. Last week they put up some bad news. That is what happens in the US when you change your story. Coffee land is competitive. It is a good global franchise that has done nothing.p

VAGUE
VAGUE
July 4, 2018

Over three years, it's been sideways. He sold his shares because valuations were stretched. The CFO is retiring, they're shutting some US stores, and strong competition overseas. True, they've gotten into juices and other areas which has helped, but consumers can always switch to another brand. Be careful with this now. Watch their next report; their last quarter was weak.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
July 4, 2018

Over three years, it's been sideways. He sold his shares because valuations were stretched. The CFO is retiring, they're shutting some US stores, and strong competition overseas. True, they've gotten into juices and other areas which has helped, but consumers can always switch to another brand. Be careful with this now. Watch their next report; their last quarter was weak.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 24, 2018

Owned it and sold it a while ago. Great franchise. Great name. Valuation is pricey. He doesn’t see a catalyst for the next leg up for this particular name.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
May 24, 2018

Owned it and sold it a while ago. Great franchise. Great name. Valuation is pricey. He doesn’t see a catalyst for the next leg up for this particular name.

PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 5, 2018

(A Top Pick April 27, 2017, Down 2%) Has underperformed for three years. It's been in a tight $59-68 range. Still loves the name. The market's love will return, though he won't increase his holdings. Earnings are up. PE is nearly 24x forward. It does well through bad economic times. It's one of his biggest holdings. Doesn't feel their stores are oversaturating markets.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
April 5, 2018

(A Top Pick April 27, 2017, Down 2%) Has underperformed for three years. It's been in a tight $59-68 range. Still loves the name. The market's love will return, though he won't increase his holdings. Earnings are up. PE is nearly 24x forward. It does well through bad economic times. It's one of his biggest holdings. Doesn't feel their stores are oversaturating markets.

HOLD
HOLD
March 12, 2018

Makes sense as a long-term hold. Locally, we'll see more competition. It'll continue to grow globally. Innovative on the product side, such as introducing alcohol sales at night. One problem is that the CEO left came back and now gone. Investors ask, How is it going to be run? Markets are waiting.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
March 12, 2018

Makes sense as a long-term hold. Locally, we'll see more competition. It'll continue to grow globally. Innovative on the product side, such as introducing alcohol sales at night. One problem is that the CEO left came back and now gone. Investors ask, How is it going to be run? Markets are waiting.

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 31, 2018

Over time, this has been a good holding. However, it’s had a very volatile year since 2016. Partly because the restaurant group has not been in favour, and partly because the company has his own issues. They've grown their dividend 24%-25% a year over the last 4 years. However, this is a sector that is not terribly economically sensitive. If you are going to be in the consumer sector, he would prefer something that is in the travel/leisure space, and would look at a Marriott (MAR-Q) or a Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL-N).

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 31, 2018

Over time, this has been a good holding. However, it’s had a very volatile year since 2016. Partly because the restaurant group has not been in favour, and partly because the company has his own issues. They've grown their dividend 24%-25% a year over the last 4 years. However, this is a sector that is not terribly economically sensitive. If you are going to be in the consumer sector, he would prefer something that is in the travel/leisure space, and would look at a Marriott (MAR-Q) or a Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL-N).

COMMENT
COMMENT
January 30, 2018

This has done extremely well. It’s always been a fairly high valued company. Because of that, he has stayed away, but has a great deal of respect for the franchise and what they’ve done. China is doing extremely well for them, and is very exciting. However, domestic operations in the US, and to some extent in Canada, are suffering from a lack of traffic. If it was a lower multiple company, he might be a little more excited, but there are too many other exciting opportunities.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
January 30, 2018

This has done extremely well. It’s always been a fairly high valued company. Because of that, he has stayed away, but has a great deal of respect for the franchise and what they’ve done. China is doing extremely well for them, and is very exciting. However, domestic operations in the US, and to some extent in Canada, are suffering from a lack of traffic. If it was a lower multiple company, he might be a little more excited, but there are too many other exciting opportunities.

BUY
BUY
December 12, 2017

It is brilliant. It will carry on. It is innovated. Nobody will ever catch it up.

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Starbucks (SBUX-Q)
December 12, 2017

It is brilliant. It will carry on. It is innovated. Nobody will ever catch it up.