Viewing Expert Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA , Chief Investment Officer, Partner

ETF Capital Management Inc.

Address
5160 Yonge St. Suite 1860
Toronto, ON
M2N 6L9

Contact Info
Telephone: 888-383-9753
Fax: 888-383-9753
Website: http://www.etfcm.com


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2017-08-14 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  We are seeing an equity rebound as we saw nothing over the weekend.  Nobody knows what the odds are of a much larger correction.  If you look at the Cuban Missile Crisis, the market was down over 20%.  This is the best example that is similar to the North Korean Issue.  In all likelihood we are not going to get to the crisis, but the markets may react.  Europe has started to underperform because of the strength of the Euro.  Their index hit a key technical level last week.  (See UUP-N).  In all likelihood the US$ gets a technical bounce.  He thinks we will settle into a new trading range.  The Canadian dollar will probably not get too much stronger than it is now.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-08-14 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Education Segment.  Market Sell-Offs.  Every time we get a pullback we make a higher low followed by a higher high in the S&P.  The Russell 2000 has been testing support.  Until it breaks $133 we won’t have a technical breakdown.  The average stock is weakening, but it is not until the market breaks support that we will have a problem.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-08-14 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart ALA-T Altagas Ltd

There is some regulatory uncertainty as to whether their acquisition in the US will go through.  The drop in stock price has boosted the yield.  He thinks you are pretty close to the bottom so there is a value element to it.


Price:
$27.980
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-08-14 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart DFN-T Dividend 15 Split Corp.

Banks, insurance companies, pipelines – all the big dividend payers.  He does not mind owning any of these things.  It is diversified among a couple of sectors.  He has no strong opinion either way.  Not a bad buy below $11.


Price:
$10.740
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-08-14 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart GE-N General Electric

It is down this year where as the DOW is up, so there is something wrong with it.  Generally they track closely, but now they have diverged massively.  Sometimes GE-N leads the DOW so could be indicating a general market correction.  ZIN-T is an equal weight industrials in Canada and would be an alternative.  It’s rather like a GE-N.


Price:
$25.360
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-08-14 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart XCV-T iShares DJ Canadian Value ETF

XCV-T vs. XEI-T.  XEI-T is a high dividend strategy.  XCV-T is a value approach.  XEI-T has 24% exposures to each of pipelines and banks.  XCV-T has 31% in banks and oil/gas at 16% and these are the major differences.  Neither one is particularly good value, but he would go for XEI-T at the moment.


Price:
$24.970
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-08-14 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart XEI-T iShares S&P/TSX Equity Income

XCV-T vs. XEI-T.  XEI-T is a high dividend strategy.  XCV-T is a value approach.  XEI-T has 24% exposures to each of pipelines and banks.  XCV-T has 31% in banks and oil/gas at 16% and these are the major differences.  Neither one is particularly good value, but he would go for XEI-T at the moment.


Price:
$21.050
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-08-14 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart XTR-T iShares Diversified Monthly IF ETF

He loves the ETF because it gives you a balanced fund, is diversified, and has 20% US exposure in the high yield market.  It yields about 5.5% to 6% so you are getting a payout of capital.  You have to think about bond yields and credit risk and how they might increase.  Think of it as a Canadian balanced fund.  He prefers ZWC-T because it is covered call premium and not payout of capital that gets the yield up to where it is.


Price:
$11.270
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-08-14 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart ZWH-T BMO US High Dividend Covered Call ETF

There is a US version that trades in US currency, but he does not believe there is any difference in the tax treatment of them. 


Price:
$19.700
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-31 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  The earnings season has been pretty impressive so far.  To the degree there is financial engineering and the pricing off of proforma earnings, he is concerned.  The true value investors do not see a lot of value here.  This is a momentum and growth market.  He thinks valuations are high and we are at a risk of correction, as he has been saying for half a year now.  He is impressed with what corporations are doing here, however.  We saw the Fed talk about unwinding QE.  The bank of Japan is talking about not being as simulative and well as the bank of England.  We have seen a dramatic 10% move in the Canadian dollar.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-07-31 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Inverse Market ETFs.  It depends on your overall portfolio and risk tolerance.  Since November the markets have gone straight up.  HIU-T is an example.  He is still net short the US market, but it is hard to make money.  You can make money hedging the currency, however.  It is always important to diversify even if that one thing is not working today.  At some point we will get a little bit of a dip.  Seasonality-wise this is not the time to cover shorts.  It will happen sometime through October.  You might write a call on top of the ETF to enhance returns over time.  He has no fundamental objection to single inverse ETFs, but he does to the leveraged ones.  The singles do not eat way into the NAV.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-07-31 BUY Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Gold should always be a part of everyone’s portfolios.  It does not produce any income, but some ETFs give you some income.  At this level he likes gold, but does not love it.  The high might be $1350 in 6 months.  5% is a good holding right now in your portfolio.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-31 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational Segment.  How to Play the Canadian Dollar in Coming Months.  People are paying more and more attention to currencies.  In early 2015 Canada surprised us by lowering interest rates.  Now they have raised them.  It has had a meaningful impact on the Canadian dollar.  There are three factors for currency decisions:  (a) Oil prices (inverse); (b) Interest rate differential between CAD and US 2 year rate; (c) Net speculative positions in the Canadian dollar.  Oil could potentially move us up if it went up, but there are only a couple of months of potential increases left in this year.  We have probably seen the high end of the Canadian dollar last week.  It should settle into $.77.  He is playing it as a being in a new trading range.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-07-31 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart HBF-T Brand Leaders Plus Income

It is a brand leader.  It looks a lot like the DOW and is quite correlated to it.  It is more of an equally weighted way to play it and there are some option strategies within it.


Price:
$8.860
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-31 BUY Must be logged in to use chart ZPW-T BMO US Put Write ETF.

He talked about swapping out ZPW-T a while back, but now he likes it with the stronger CAD $.  ZPH-T gives you hedging and you would eventually swap back into it.


Price:
$17.830
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-31 BUY Must be logged in to use chart ZWE-T BMO Europe High Dividend Covered Call Hedged to CAD ET

European ETF.  The yield is down because the covered call premiums are low right now due to low volatility.  EUR-T is an alternative.  PRD and RPDH are alternatives also.  Europe is underperforming a little bit because the Euro is getting strong and they are exporting a lot.


Price:
$21.550
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-31 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart ZWH-T BMO US High Dividend Covered Call ETF

It is like ZWE-T.  It finds the best quality or dividend payers.  We have seen a dramatic decline recently because of the Canadian dollar.  He likes the US exposure.  Don’t get out of it.


Price:
$19.380
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-10 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets. The expectation is for less than double digit earnings in the quarter, He is going to be looking for whether they will be making the year or not.  The markets are very much about rotation and they are stable as a whole.  He is a bit nervous, but things seem to be holding in.  Everywhere except Japan wants to ease on stimulus.  He is expecting economic growth to slow and interest rates to rise slightly.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-07-10 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Education segment.  The Role of Gold in your Portfolio.  Gold has been selling off quite a bit.  The best opportunities are when gold is going down.  It is a great diversifier, but it yields nothing so it is hard to hold it in your portfolio.  If you look at the correlation between gold and other asset classes, some have no relation and some are very correlated.  Gold has high correlation with currencies.  The total world index has very low correlation to gold.  VT-N compared to GLD-N have various correlations through time.  TLT-N is more correlated to GLD-N so it represents less diversification.  He is looking at buying gold here.  If gold breaks below $1200 we will see some panic selling and that is the time to look at accumulating.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
No
2017-07-10 SELL ON STRENGTH Must be logged in to use chart CPD-T iShares S&P/TSX Preferred ETF

A basket of preferred stocks, a lot of them being resets.  He has been a net seller of the BMO version late last week.  He would continue to be a seller into strength.  You could buy into pullbacks.  It is unlikely we will break out of the range.


Price:
$14.110
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-07-10 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart HMMJ-T Horizon's Medical Marijuana

You get diversification.  Who knows which stocks are going to be the .coms of the weed industry?  There is still some downside to come in this industry. 


Price:
$8.390
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-10 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart SHOP-T Shopify Inc.

There is a sort of a head and shoulders pattern and now we have made a lower high and a lower low, so the trend is breaking.  At $110 there is big support.  If we break that then we should come back to the next area of big support at $60.  Just sit back and watch it.


Price:
$117.460
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-10 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart ZWE-T BMO Europe High Dividend Covered Call Hedged to CAD ET

How does Larry make a major buy of an ETF without moving the needle?  You can call up an ETF and have them facilitate a very large order, regardless of the liquidity.  They create the necessary ETF units as part of the transaction.  ETFs have the liquidity of the universe of underlying stocks. 


Price:
$22.010
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-07-10 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart ZWU-T BMO Covered Call Utilities ETF

He likes it and holds it in a dividend fund, using it in a defensive way.  It has a covered call overlay.  Unfortunately the premium from the covered call strategy is less than desirable because volatility has been so low for so long.  We are seeing a little sell off because of a sensitivity to interest rates.  If it falls another couple of percent he will go back to accumulating it.


Price:
$13.750
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-06-26 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  An Italian bank is purchasing for one Euro two Italian regional lenders that were being bailed out, and are now being wound up.  This is the continuation of ‘too big to fail’.  The government is not doing a good enough job of regulating the banks there.  This is going to be troubling for decades to come.  If interest rates go up marginally, you see purchasing coming down.  At the end of the day, fixed income is a safe place to put your money.  There are doubts that Trump can ever cut corporate tax rates all the way to 15%.  This will affect small cap US stocks, which would have benefited tremendously from a big tax cut.  That makes the Russell 2000 index the most expensive in the world, so he is short that index. 


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-26 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational Segment.  Robots.  A lot of boring jobs were replaced by computers and so a lot of jobs have gone away.  Amazon is breaking every space.  They could have cost a million jobs by now.  They are only going to get bigger and bigger in this space.  He feels there will be social problems coming.  From the mid-70s to today, the bottom 50% of people have seen no real growth in their incomes.  The next 40% have seen only a marginal growth.  The top 10% are all doing well.  BOTZ-Q and ROBO-Q are ETFs for robots and they have outperformed the world.  He will love them once we get a market correction.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-26 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart CBL-T Callidus Capital Corp

It is specialty financing so they get caught up in the whole HCG-T space.  CBL-T is in a corporate mess.  You have to wait for the dust to settle.  When there is something this acute, the chart and technical analysis are not useful.


Price:
$14.970
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart CNQ-T Canadian Natural Rsrcs

Energy is his biggest weight in his portfolios and has been for a couple of weeks.  We are at the lower end of the oil price range.  CNQ-T has held up well over the last 5 years.  He does not see the tail risk currently.  You want to buy a quarter or a third into a position and do so on weakness.


Price:
$37.530
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart PDC-T PowerShares Canadian Dividend Index ETF

Canadian dividend index.  You have big exposure to banks and insurance.  It is a fine, diversified mix, and fine as long as we don’t get a pull back in any of the names.  He would have preferred a covered call overlay (e.g. ZWC-T).


Price:
$27.600
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 WAIT Must be logged in to use chart TD-T Toronto Dominion

The Canadian market has come off about 5% from the highs.  This is why the banks are off from earlier in the year.  There is definitely risk around real estate and the Canadian economy.  Banks are much more attractive at the level they were at about the time of the Trump election and there is a risk they will go there again.


Price:
$65.210
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 SELL ON STRENGTH Must be logged in to use chart TECK.B-T Teck Resources Ltd. (B)

Steel stocks have been beaten up and he plays it through an ETF.  You have Met. coal in TECK.B-T and so he thinks there is downside potential.  He would sell into rallies.


Price:
$21.900
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ZEF-T BMO Emerging Mkts Bond Hedged CAD

ZEF-T vs. ZHY-T.  The question is credit risk.  You have emerging market risk with ZEF-T and so you get extra yield.  When you do the correlation of the higher yield, they trade more like an equity than a bond.  ZEF-T is an equity type risk, where as ZHY-T is more like fixed income.  He does not think it is the time to step into either of these.


Price:
$17.080
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ZHY-T BMO HighYield Corp Bond US Hedge to CAD ETF

ZEF-T vs. ZHY-T.  The question is credit risk.  You have emerging market risk with ZEF-T and so you get extra yield.  When you do the correlation of the higher yield, they trade more like an equity than a bond.  ZEF-T is an equity type risk, where as ZHY-T is more like fixed income.  He does not think it is the time to step into either of these.


Price:
$14.660
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-26 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart ZWU-T BMO Covered Call Utilities ETF

80% Canada / 20% US.  It is not a fixed income replacement.  He is not adding to his holding right now.  He loves it as a yield play and would add more if we sold off more aggressively.  He has half a position.


Price:
$14.150
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-06-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  They de-stressed the stress test for the banks by taking the qualitative aspects out of it.  This week the stress tests will not have much impact.  He thinks we will see negative interest rates in the future.  He does not think the Fed will be able to unwind the balance sheet of the US much.  The equity markets are breaking out to new highs today.  There is a recession sometime in the future that will be hard on the markets.  He is nibbling away at energy producers, mainly through ETFs such as XEG-T, XLE-N, OIH-N.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

ETF similar to ROBO but in Canada.  There aren’t any.  You will have foreign currency risk with all of these.  But even if there was a Canadian one it would have to hold international equities.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Canadian vs. US $ ETF.  He believes the US stock markets have never been more expensive.  A high quality ETF could fall 25% or more in a bear market.  You would still get a yield throughout, however.  BMO is the best at covered call strategies so you might go that way.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Buy US$ now?  He likes to scale into a position.  If you have years to wait, then the CAD$ might get higher.  For the foreseeable future you are looking at $0.78 as the maximum, if that.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Guest: Danielle DiMartino Booth, author of Fed Up.  She is very critical of the Fed.  Credit markets were frozen solid and liquidity was the issue, not interest rates.  9 years later we are not at normalized interest rates.  She thinks eventually we will have social unrest.  Dividend paying stocks are among the most over valued stocks in the index.  Auto and Energy are the two biggest drivers of growth.  Auto sales volumes have rolled over.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-19 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart ALA-T Altagas Ltd

He hates saying you get paid to wait.  He likes ETFs so you are diversified.  It looks like ALA-T is in a trading range.  You could nibble away at it if you like the dividend, however.  Sell at $35.


Price:
$30.590
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-19 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart HOU-T HBP NYMEX Oil Bull+ ETF

Double bull oil ETF.  It seems you are at the bottom end of the range in oil prices.  This ETF has the usual problem with leveraged ETFs if you hold them a long time.  HOU-T may not go up if oil is too volatile.


Price:
$5.090
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-12 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  The reversal in tech shares is quite meaningful. It stands out as what was leading the markets over the last 6 to 12 months. Look at IYW-N, the tech only ETF that is up 40% year over year, vs. the S&P being up 20%.  If you are a short term trader, you could buy on pull backs, but if you are long term, wait.  Buy when it tests the Trump election night levels, then it is time to step in.  Looking at the UK markets, they don’t like uncertainty.  BREXIT is the first part of the EU coming apart, but 5 years from now the EU won’t exist in its current form.  Italy stands out as the next one to move out.  The soft economic numbers are getting a bit better in Europe, but it is not free and clear.  The US markets are concerned with how the Fed is going to unwind or start to unwind the balance sheet.  It will pull back the liquidity of the markets just a little.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-12 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

If we are in a secular bull market, breaking out from $15 and change in the S&P, if we get back to those levels we would be testing the breakout of the market. And he thinks that is highly likely in the next recession.  We don’t know when the next recession will hit.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-12 BUY Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Caller looking for an ETF that covers retirement homes.  He has not seen one.  There is definitely a growth story there.  The government is considering a lot more in-home care.  Something investing in that would be a terrific growth story for the next 15 years.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-12 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational Segment.  The US Yield Curve.  There have been three rate hikes: Dec/15, Dec/16 and then Mar/17.  The yield curve is the difference between the two year rate and the 10 year rate in the US.  We have seen a flattening of the curve following each rate hike.  Short term rates are rising while long term rates are falling somewhat.  This historically means that the market is anticipating a slowdown in the economy.  He would be shocked if we did not get a rate hike this week, but that should be it for this year.  Longer term rates will continue to fall.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-12 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart AMD-Q Advanced Micro Devices

He would want to buy pullbacks to the $10 area.  We made a good test in May.  A pullback to that level would indicate a buying opportunity. 


Price:
$12.090
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-12 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart MFC-T Manulife Financial

He does like the insurance space.  It is going to be challenged.  Life expectancies are extending and the higher interest rate liabilities are extending.  He thinks rates stay low for the next decade or two.


Price:
$24.110
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-12 SELL ON STRENGTH Must be logged in to use chart XLF-N SPDR Financial E.T.F.

He was looking to buy ZUB-T when it was testing multi-month rallies.  This rally is about expected rate hikes from the Fed and he expects they are over.  He would sell into strength on the banks.


Price:
$24.340
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-12 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ZEO-T BMO S&P/TSX Oil & Gas ETF

He was buying the energy sector last week.  Now it is his biggest overweight sector.  If you go back 5 years, the lows of 2011/12 were in the $12 range.  Oil was on its way up to $100.  When oil was $100, this ETF was almost $18 at the peak.  The recent peak was $13 as oil was at $55 late last year.  That is not really that sustainable.  Own it between $11 and $12 and buy or sell below or above these limits.  He is not inclined to add to it here.


Price:
$10.850
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  C-N has an economic surprise index.  The EU is relatively stable over the last 6 months, but the US has really fallen off a cliff over the last 6 months so there have been far more economic reports that are coming out much worse than expected. The markets are making new highs today.  The percentage of stocks that are above their 200 day average is falling, so the breadth of the market is falling.  It does not mean you sell today, but that there is some underlying weakness.  He wants to be cautious this late in the economic cycle.  Credit is driving a lot of potential growth we are having and is masking some of the weaker underlying demographic and other trends that will limit growth for the next couple of decades.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

S&P 500 – 100 points higher or 100 points lower first?  He was taught never to forecast price and time in the same forecast.  But he would say 100 points lower comes first.  He is conservative for clients and establishing options positions.  He is being more defensive.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-05 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Bitcoins.  Back to about 2010 when it first started trading, it was worth pennies.  We are at 2600 today.  There is a bubble here.  When it breaks you will get a correction like in 2013, at least 50% and then perhaps it is something to own again.  He thinks we will eventually be a paper-currency-less society.  This is not a currency.  Currencies don’t fluctuate like this.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

How to play defensively. Write put options about 10% below market and take a yield of 4%.  You have to want to buy the market 10% lower.  Energy may not come down that much if markets come down because energy is already down.  It is already at a 50 week low.  He has been nibbling at the energy sector.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

CAD$ vs. Euro.  The Euro has been strengthening.  With an election in Italy we will likely see anti EU parties.  He does not see the CAD$ rallying much and the Euro will likely weaken a little.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational Segment.  Chart shown of Market Capitalization of the MSCI world metals and mining index vs. capitalization of GOOGL.  GOOGL is now worth more than the base metals sector of the entire world.  The metals and mining index has been coming down with a lot of it being the Chinese growth story tailing off.  Chinese growth is 100% fueled by Chinese debt.  China is the real catalyst for the next global downturn.  He has been watching Dim Sum Bonds.  It is the worst performing bond index in the world.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-06-05 BUY on WEAKNESS Must be logged in to use chart NFI-T New Flyer Industries Inc.

They build buses.  NFI-T and the TSX have negligible correlation.  There is a bus replacement cycle coming and so NFI-T could do very well, irrespective of what markets do.  Earnings growth is reasonable.  It is not expensive.  Buy on pull backs.


Price:
$56.320
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-05 BUY Must be logged in to use chart SLX-N Markst Vectors Steel Index E.T.F.

See his educational segment.  The bump we saw in China is over.  China will grow at a much lower rate than the last couple of years.  He is playing SLX-N as the best infrastructure play as it is steel in the US.


Price:
$36.500
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-06-05 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ZMT-T BMO S&P/TSX Base Metals ETF

See his educational segment.  It is not a good buy.  The bump we saw in China is over.  China will grow at a much lower rate than the last couple of years.  He is playing SLX-N as the best infrastructure play as it is steel in the US.


Price:
$9.320
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-06-05 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart ZWB-T BMO Covered Call Cdn Banks ETF

Dividends aren’t going up.  The premium on the options is lower.  The dividends on the underlying banks are increasing, but the premium on the covered calls has been coming down.


Price:
$17.900
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-05-29 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  It bothers him that Trudeau has no plan in place to balance the budget.  He is concerned about the debt in the world.  It is unsustainable.  Balancing the budget is important to the conservatives.  Trump has been wavering on some of his promises.  He said he does not like German trade.  It is built on export and it does not matter if Trump does not like it.  Markets don’t seem to care what he does now.  Europe is not fixed because France did not elect an anti-EU leader.  Italy has been underperforming the world for decades.  This is a problem.  Their banks should be a leading indicator as we approach the Italian elections.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
NORTH AMERICAN - LARGE & ETFs
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
Showing 1 to 60 of 2,333 entries
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1 Comment

raziel

April 3rd 2015 at 8:48am

My preferrers have come down substantially as a result of lowered bank rates, I believe. Shouldn't an instrument with a fixed rate go UP when bank rates are lowered?


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