Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2017-09-22 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Market. This week and the next 2 weeks historically are the 3 weakest of the year. Analysts have a history of overestimating coming into the 3rd quarter and then have to start pulling them down, so there is a tendency for analysts to lower estimates, and for companies to lower guidance. This year in particular, it is likely to happen in the US, because there have been 2 hurricanes which will have an impact on 3rd quarter results. This is a short-term correction, which is going to provide you with a buying opportunity in the latter part of October. The consensus for earnings in the Dow Jones is a gain of about 3.7% in the 3rd quarter, 4.8% for the S&P 500 and 4.8% for the TSE 60 stocks. The strongest quarter of the year comes in the 4th quarter. People are buying things such as the new iPhone, Christmas gifts, etc.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-09-22 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Oil? Historically, oil prices tend to move higher from early in the year through to the end of September, then tend to dribble lower after that. In the last while, crude oil has formed a nice little trading range. If it gets above the $52 level, you could see it move higher. However, we are now into the period of seasonal weakness, and expects you won’t get a break out, and crude oil prices will move lower between now and January. If you want to be in energy, look at gassy stocks as opposed to oil stocks.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-09-22 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Technicals to monitor biotech and healthcare? You want to be in a sector that is in an upward trend and is outperforming the market. Also, you want the momentum indicators to be moving on the upside. Currently, this is not a good sector to be involved with.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-09-22 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Natural gas? This is normally from around the end of August through until the 2nd week in December. Currently, it looks like it is forming a nice base and trying to establish an upward trend. Weather is a very important factor when it comes to natural gas. When the weather is steady, natural gas doesn’t do very well. You get a boost in prices is when you get extreme weather in the fall. Yesterday there was a rude surprise when it turned out that natural gas inventories were larger than expected, which had a direct negative impact on natural gas prices. If you own gas and gassy stocks, stick with them for now. He prefers stocks as opposed to the gas, as natural gas ETF’s have a problem with the futures contracts going forward.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
_N/A
2017-09-22 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart BTE-T Baytex Energy Corp

This is an oily stock, and has a history of moving higher from approximately late January through until May/June of each year. Chart shows the stock has been drifting lower since the beginning of the year. His preference would be into one of the gassy stocks.


Price:
$3.590
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart BTO-T B2Gold Corp.

Gold stocks in general have a very strong period of seasonal strength, normally from the end of July through until the beginning of October. It started out positive this year, but lately has been going sideways to down. The problem is that we are running out of the period of seasonal strength, about 2 weeks from now. Continue holding the stock with the possibility that it might get to the top of its trading range, and you may want to take money off the table in the next 2 weeks.


Price:
$3.270
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 PAST TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CASH CASH

(A Top Pick Aug 25/17.)


Price:
$0.010
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-09-22 TOP PICK Must be logged in to use chart CASH CASH

Holding cash until the middle of October makes sense, because that is when all the economically sensitive sectors turn positive. Wait until that time before using your cash.


Price:
$0.010
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
2017-09-22 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart CLR-T Clearwater Seafoods Inc.

Has just broken down through a very important level. The trend is on the downside. They sell most of their production into the US. The Cdn$ is getting higher, which means margins are getting squeezed and causing the stock to come under some pressure. Also, they had full access to a certain part of the Newfoundland/Labrador area for certain types of fish. Apparently one of the 4 areas has been taken from them to go to the aboriginal community.


Price:
$9.650
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 BUY Must be logged in to use chart CM-T Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

This has 2 periods of seasonal strength during the year, and one of them just started in the last 2 weeks. Bank stocks do very well from approximately the beginning of September right through until the end of November. That is when banks report their 4th quarter results. Look for the stock to test the previous high during its current period of seasonal strength.


Price:
$109.410
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart ECA-T Encana Corp

This is known as a gassy stock, so it is going to follow the trend of natural gas. Last year, they moved very well. Yesterday, the stock broke above short-term resistance, and has established a very faint upward trend. Stick with this until approximately the 2nd week in December.


Price:
$13.890
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ENB-T Enbridge

Usually utility stocks, like this, do well in the summer, from April through to September of each year. It hasn’t really shown through this year. Technically, it established a downward trend and recently broke down below the support level. You are probably better off to look for opportunities elsewhere.


Price:
$50.660
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart G-T Goldcorp Inc

This has been one of the weaker gold stocks in the last while. Yesterday, it broke below support, and as well, the stock is in a downward trend. Not a good situation. Better opportunities exist elsewhere.


Price:
$15.870
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 COMMENT Must be logged in to use chart GILD-Q Gilead Sciences Inc.

This is among biotech stocks which historically, have done very well from April right through until the end of September. It happened again this year, although it didn’t happen last year. Look for an opportunity to take profits on strength.


Price:
$83.270
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
2017-09-22 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart GOOG-Q Alphabet Inc (C)

As a high-tech stock, this has very strong seasonality. It does very well from October to January, followed by another sweet spot in the spring. We are currently in the period where the stock normally doesn’t do that well. Once you get to the 2nd week in October, look for the stock to start moving higher.


Price:
$928.530
Subject:
SEASONAL & TECHNICAL
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Unknown
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,864 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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