Viewing Expert Don Vialoux | StockChase
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Compiling comments that experts make about stocks while on public TV.

Viewing Expert

Don Vialoux , Research Analyst

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

Contact Info

Website: http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Date Signal Chart Symbol Company Opinion Price
2016-12-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  In a post election year markets typically go higher.  The market typically goes up until inauguration day, then pulls back and then goes higher again.  During big changes in government you get big changes in markets.  When Eisenhower and Reagan were elected, markets dropped from inauguration day until September.  Be careful for now because markets are overbought.  Between now and inauguration day you should still do well.  The TSX typically goes up more than 2% in that period.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Euro vs. US Dollar.  The Euro is still in a downward trend but may be forming a base.  You want confirmation that a base is forming.  The US dollar is still strong and broke to new highs Friday.  There is a longer term base at par to the Euro.  Euro stocks during the last two or three weeks have started to outperform Canada and the US.  It looks like Europe is finally starting to show some good signs.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Oil.  Historically prices bottom in the first week of October and move higher until August each year.  The sweet spot is the first week of January until May.  It broke out last week to a new high.  It looks like OPEC agreements could hold.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-19 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Gold.  Seasonally, gold and gold stocks are strong from the middle to the end of December until the end of February and then again from the end of June until September.  We don’t know if gold and gold stocks have bottomed.  Watch for another couple of weeks.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Canadian Banks – any going to split their stocks?  When banks get to $100 they often do a split at the next AGM.  Seasonally, bank stocks are strong from the end of August to the end of November.  He is still looking for a technical reason to sell banks but they just keep going higher.  Around this time of year, the banks tend to underperform.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-19 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational Segment.  When Stocks are Overbought or Oversold.  Look at the percentage of stocks above and below their 50 day moving average.  Below 20% (30% in Canada) is a buying opportunity and above 80% is a selling opportunity.  These give you signs of the market preparing to sell off or to go up after buying.  He suggests you hold off until inauguration day and then you have a good opportunity to take money off the table.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-19 STRONG BUY Must be logged in to use chart EWW-N iShares MSCI Mexico E.T.F.

Sold off because of the election in the US.  There is a nice little reverse head and shoulders pattern.  It is finally showing some good technical action.  Seasonally, it is strong from mid-October until the end of May of each year.


Price:
$44.260
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-19 BUY Must be logged in to use chart EXE-T Extendicare Inc

It is in a distinct upward trend.  There is an upside potential during the next couple of weeks.  It is outperforming the market and has positive momentum.


Price:
$10.010
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-19 WATCH Must be logged in to use chart K-T Kinross Gold

It has a distinct downward trend.  Seasonally it goes up in February and again in July.  Wait until it shows a base pattern before making a major commitment.  Be patient.  It is not there yet.


Price:
$4.040
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-19 PARTIAL SELL Must be logged in to use chart TECK.B-T Teck Resources Ltd. (B)

You had a couple of negative technical indicators the last couple of weeks.  It has formed a slight downward trend, breaking the former upward trend.  Coal broke down on Friday.  Seasonally this stock does well from the end of January.  Take some money off the table until then.


Price:
$27.580
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-19 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart TRP-T Trans Canada Corp

Similar seasonality to oil.  The stock has formed a trading range for the last 6 months.  If it breaks the trading range it should get to $69, but wait for a confirmation of a breakout where it getting above the resistance level around $61.


Price:
$61.680
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
CAUTIOUS
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Markets.  This is the best time for performance for the TSX and the S&P.  The US market during December averaged 1.4% over the last 50 years, up 70% of the time.  The first half of the month the market is usually flat and then the second half of the month has an average 1.6% return 80% of the time.  In Canada it is 2.1% on the month 84% of the time.  It is still back end weighted in Canada as well.  Trump is going to reduce tax rates and this will impact aggressiveness of tax loss selling.  This year is different because of the Trump Rally and it should continue through to inauguration day (Jan 20) at which point markets typically drop as the new president begins in office.  The following 2 to 3 months after a new president is elected, markets typically go lower and then rebound after that.  Jan 20 will be a significant top in markets.


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-05 N/A Must be logged in to use chart A Commentary A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert

Educational Segment.  Why the TSX outperforms in the early part of the year.  The Canadian market outperforms the US from December to the end of February.  It has to do with commodity prices, which move higher.  Crude oil is at the end of its seasonal weakness after which it moves higher.  Silver moves higher from December into March.  Copper moves higher from now until April.  Gasoline goes up from now until the beginning of March. 


Price:
$0.020
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
_N/A
2016-12-05 DON'T BUY Must be logged in to use chart ATD.B-T Alimentation Couche-Tard (B)

It recently broke a support level and formed a double top.  It is now starting to underperform the market.  This is not a good sign.  For the next three months you should look for better opportunities elsewhere.


Price:
$60.590
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
2016-12-05 HOLD Must be logged in to use chart CCO-T Cameco Corporation

It has been in a distinct downward trend for years.  Last year it did not do anything.  This year we have mild encouragement.  It is trying to bottom.  Short term momentum indicators are positive.  It moved above the 50 and 20 day moving averages. 


Price:
$12.950
Subject:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & SEASONAL INVESTING
Bias:
BULLISH
Owned:
Unknown
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,632 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 1:24pm

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 1:58pm

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 4:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 1:09pm

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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